State briefing · TX
Texas
PVI
R+5
Electors
40
Senate class
2
Region
South
Polling intensity · last 60 days
6 races covered Senate
drought
Senate
drought
Governor · Hinojosa / Abbott
drought
Race · Alexander / Moran
drought
Race · Finnie / Crenshaw
drought
Race · Hunt / Newgent
drought
Active races
TX · Senate · 2027
— vs —
TX · Senate · 2026
— vs —
Tilt D D+1.0
TX · Governor · 2026
Gina Hinojosa vs Greg Abbott
Likely R R+7.4
TX · President · 2026
Dax Alexander vs Nathaniel Moran
Lean R R+2.0
TX · President · 2026
Shaun Finnie vs Dan Crenshaw
Lean R R+2.0
TX · President · 2026
Evan Hunt vs Mark Newgent
Lean R R+2.0
All races · 320
- 2027 us-senate-special-2027-tx-20270315
- 2026 us-senate-2026-tx Tilt D
- 2026 us-governor-2026-tx Likely R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-1 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-2 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-3 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-4 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-5 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-6 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-7 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-8 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-9 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-10 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-11 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-12 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-13 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-14 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-15 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-16 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-17 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-18 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-19 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-20 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-21 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-22 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-23 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-24 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-25 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-26 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-27 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-28 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-29 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-30 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-31 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-32 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-33 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-34 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-35 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-36 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-37 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-2026-tx-38 Lean R
- 2026 us-house-special-2026-tx-18-20260131
- 2026 us-house-special-2026-tx-23-20260414
- 2026 us-governor-recall-2026-tx Lean R
- 2024 us-senate-2024-tx Lean R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-1 Safe R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-2 Likely R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-3 Likely R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-4 Safe R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-5 Likely R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-6 Likely R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-7 Likely D
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-8 Safe R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-9 Safe D
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-10 Likely R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-11 Safe R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-12 Likely R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-13 Safe R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-14 Safe R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-15 Lean R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-16 Likely D
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-17 Likely R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-18 Safe D
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-19 Safe R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-20 Likely D
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-21 Likely R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-22 Likely R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-23 Lean R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-24 Lean R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-25 Safe R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-26 Likely R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-27 Likely R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-28 Tilt R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-29 Likely D
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-30 Safe D
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-31 Likely R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-32 Likely D
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-33 Safe D
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-34 Tossup
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-35 Safe D
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-36 Safe R
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-37 Safe D
- 2024 us-house-2024-tx-38 Likely R
- 2022 us-governor-2022-tx Lean R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-1 Safe R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-2 Likely R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-3 Likely R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-4 Safe R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-5 Likely R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-6 Likely R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-7 Likely D
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-8 Safe R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-9 Safe D
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-10 Likely R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-11 Safe R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-12 Likely R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-13 Safe R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-14 Safe R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-15 Lean R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-16 Likely D
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-17 Likely R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-18 Safe D
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-19 Safe R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-20 Likely D
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-21 Likely R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-22 Likely R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-23 Lean R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-24 Lean R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-25 Safe R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-26 Likely R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-27 Likely R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-28 Tilt R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-29 Likely D
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-30 Safe D
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-31 Likely R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-32 Likely D
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-33 Safe D
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-34 Tossup
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-35 Safe D
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-36 Safe R
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-37 Safe D
- 2022 us-house-2022-tx-38 Likely R
- 2020 us-senate-2020-tx Lean R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-1 Safe R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-2 Likely R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-3 Likely R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-4 Safe R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-5 Likely R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-6 Likely R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-7 Likely D
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-8 Safe R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-9 Safe D
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-10 Likely R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-11 Safe R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-12 Likely R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-13 Safe R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-14 Safe R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-15 Lean R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-16 Likely D
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-17 Likely R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-18 Safe D
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-19 Safe R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-20 Likely D
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-21 Likely R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-22 Likely R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-23 Lean R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-24 Lean R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-25 Safe R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-26 Likely R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-27 Likely R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-28 Tilt R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-29 Likely D
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-30 Safe D
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-31 Likely R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-32 Likely D
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-33 Safe D
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-34 Tossup
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-35 Safe D
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-36 Safe R
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-37 Safe D
- 2020 us-house-2020-tx-38 Likely R
- 2018 us-senate-2018-tx Lean R
- 2018 us-governor-2018-tx Lean R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-1 Safe R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-2 Likely R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-3 Likely R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-4 Safe R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-5 Likely R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-6 Likely R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-7 Likely D
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-8 Safe R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-9 Safe D
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-10 Likely R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-11 Safe R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-12 Likely R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-13 Safe R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-14 Safe R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-15 Lean R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-16 Likely D
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-17 Likely R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-18 Safe D
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-19 Safe R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-20 Likely D
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-21 Likely R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-22 Likely R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-23 Lean R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-24 Lean R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-25 Safe R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-26 Likely R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-27 Likely R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-28 Tilt R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-29 Likely D
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-30 Safe D
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-31 Likely R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-32 Likely D
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-33 Safe D
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-34 Tossup
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-35 Safe D
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-36 Safe R
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-37 Safe D
- 2018 us-house-2018-tx-38 Likely R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-1 Safe R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-2 Likely R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-3 Likely R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-4 Safe R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-5 Likely R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-6 Likely R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-7 Likely D
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-8 Safe R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-9 Safe D
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-10 Likely R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-11 Safe R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-12 Likely R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-13 Safe R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-14 Safe R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-15 Lean R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-16 Likely D
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-17 Likely R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-18 Safe D
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-19 Safe R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-20 Likely D
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-21 Likely R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-22 Likely R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-23 Lean R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-24 Lean R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-25 Safe R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-26 Likely R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-27 Likely R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-28 Tilt R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-29 Likely D
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-30 Safe D
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-31 Likely R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-32 Likely D
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-33 Safe D
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-34 Tossup
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-35 Safe D
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-36 Safe R
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-37 Safe D
- 2016 us-house-2016-tx-38 Likely R
- 2014 us-governor-2014-tx Lean R
- 2014 us-senate-2014-tx Lean R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-1 Safe R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-2 Likely R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-3 Likely R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-4 Safe R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-5 Likely R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-6 Likely R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-7 Likely D
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-8 Safe R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-9 Safe D
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-10 Likely R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-11 Safe R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-12 Likely R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-13 Safe R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-14 Safe R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-15 Lean R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-16 Likely D
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-17 Likely R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-18 Safe D
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-19 Safe R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-20 Likely D
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-21 Likely R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-22 Likely R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-23 Lean R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-24 Lean R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-25 Safe R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-26 Likely R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-27 Likely R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-28 Tilt R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-29 Likely D
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-30 Safe D
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-31 Likely R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-32 Likely D
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-33 Safe D
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-34 Tossup
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-35 Safe D
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-36 Safe R
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-37 Safe D
- 2014 us-house-2014-tx-38 Likely R
- 2012 us-senate-2012-tx Lean R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-1 Safe R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-2 Likely R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-3 Likely R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-4 Safe R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-5 Likely R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-6 Likely R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-7 Likely D
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-8 Safe R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-9 Safe D
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-10 Likely R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-11 Safe R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-12 Likely R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-13 Safe R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-14 Safe R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-15 Lean R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-16 Likely D
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-17 Likely R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-18 Safe D
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-19 Safe R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-20 Likely D
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-21 Likely R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-22 Likely R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-23 Lean R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-24 Lean R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-25 Safe R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-26 Likely R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-27 Likely R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-28 Tilt R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-29 Likely D
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-30 Safe D
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-31 Likely R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-32 Likely D
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-33 Safe D
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-34 Tossup
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-35 Safe D
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-36 Safe R
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-37 Safe D
- 2012 us-house-2012-tx-38 Likely R
- 2010 us-governor-2010-tx Lean R
- 2008 us-senate-2008-tx Lean R