Races · house · 2022 · TX
house · open seat
Sylvia Garcia vs Robert Schafranek
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Likely D
likely-d
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-10-31Total IE spending
$165
For candidates
$165
Against candidates
$0
Latest filing: 10/31/2022
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Sylvia Garcia (D)
$165 for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$384K
Total raised (cycle)
$941K
Total spent
$804K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $110 for SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION) PAC
- $22 for HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN PAC PAC
- $14 for HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN EQUALITY VOTES Super PAC
- $10 for SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION Super PAC
- $9 for PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Likely D via pvi