Races · house · 2022 · Texas
house · open seat
Mikal Williams vs Randy Weber
Where this race stands
VerifiedSafe R · model 99% R
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+17) suggests Safe R.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts R+32.8 with an 80% CI ranging from R+44.8 (10th pctile) to R+20.8 (90th pctile), giving R a 99% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · safe-r
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
R +32.8
80% CI: R +44.8 → R +20.8 · win prob 1%
R+45R+23TIEDD+23D+45
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 0 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | R+37.1 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Endorsements · 0 total
Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yetRRandy Weber0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
DMikal Williams0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-12-03Randy WeberH2TX14149 ↗
Receipts
$1.0M
Disburse
$1.1M
Cash on hand
$441.9K
Debts
$124.0K
Top industries
Lawyers / law firms$23.2K
Lawyers / law firms · $23.2K
- Sullivan Interests · $11.6K
- Azhar Chaudhary Law Firm PC · $5.8K
- Sullivan Companies · $5.8K
Individuals $23.2K · PACs $0
Oil & gas$5.8K
Oil & gas · $5.8K
- Marathon Group · $5.8K
Individuals $5.8K · PACs $0
Top contributors
SULLIVAN INTERESTS$11.6K
ACTION RESTORATION$10.0K
TEICHMAN GROUP LLC$8.7K
TRANS-GLOBAL SOLUTIONS INC.$8.7K
T&T MARINE SALVAGE INC.$5.8K
Mikal Williams
Receipts
$77.3K
Disburse
$56.5K
Cash on hand
$21.9K
Debts
$700
Top industries
Health professionals$2.0K
Health professionals · $2.0K
- Physicians Acute Care Services · $1.0K
- Amd · $1.0K
Individuals $2.0K · PACs $0
Education$850
Education · $850
- Cynthia and Geroge Mitchell Fo · $850
Individuals $850 · PACs $0
Lawyers / law firms$500
Lawyers / law firms · $500
- The Degrasse Law Firm PC · $500
Individuals $500 · PACs $0
Govt employees$500
Govt employees · $500
- State of Texas · $500
Individuals $500 · PACs $0
Top contributors
NOT EMPLOYEED$6.0K
UTMB$5.3K
WORLD WIDE HOLDINGS CORP$2.9K
KCM$2.5K
CTAHI$1.5K
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$1.2K
D side
$0 · 0%
R side
$1.2K · 100%
Top spender
HOUSE FREEDOM FUND
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSE FREEDOM FUND pac · boosts R
| R | $1.1K | 92% | for Randy Weber |
| TEXAS ALLIANCE FOR LIFE FED PAC super pac · boosts R
| R | $97.86 | 8% | for Randy Weber |
Editorial ratings · 6 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Safe R6
Safe R · 6 raters
- The Cook Political Report · Oct 24
- DDHQ · Jul 19
- The Economist · Sep 27
- 538 · Jun 29
- Inside Elections · Nov 14
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Nov 10
The Cook Political Report
Safe RDDHQ
Safe RThe Economist
Safe R538
Safe RInside Elections
Safe RSabato's Crystal Ball
Safe RDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2022-12-03
Endorsements—nothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks