Races · house · 2022 · TX
house · open seat
Henry Cuellar vs Cassy Garcia
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Tilt R
tilt-r
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-12-03Total IE spending
$48.0M
For candidates
$5.5M
Against candidates
$42.5M
Latest filing: 12/3/2022
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
Henry Cuellar (D)
$3.9M for ·
$23.5M against
Cash on hand
$45K
Total raised (cycle)
$4.7M
Total spent
$6.2M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $16.0M against NRCC Party
- $7.0M against CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND Super PAC
- $2.6M for NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS CONGRESSIONAL FUND Super PAC
- $670K for HOUSE MAJORITY PAC Super PAC
- $445K against WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC Super PAC
Cassy Garcia (R)
$1.6M for ·
$19.0M against
Cash on hand
$84K
Total raised (cycle)
$3.5M
Total spent
$3.4M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $15.4M against HOUSE MAJORITY PAC Super PAC
- $2.5M against DCCC Party
- $1.1M against CHC BOLD PAC PAC
- $600K for TEXANS FOR FREEDOM Super PAC
- $471K for THE SENTINEL ACTION FUND Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Tilt R via pvi