| 11/1/2020 | Swayable | 0.49 | L(D+7.7) | 1042 | — | LV | 🟠historical bias D+7.7pt🟠weight 0.49+3- 🟠
historical bias D+7.7pt Across 15 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+7.7pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟠
weight 0.49 Aggregation weight is 0.49 (1.0 ≈ average). Weight combines historical accuracy, methodology, and recency. - 🟡
2016d old Poll was fielded 2016 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| John Cornyn 57.0 · MJ Hegar 44.0 | pollarch |
| 11/1/2020 | Data for Progress | 1.00 | —(D+1.0) | 926 | — | LV | 🟡2016d old🟡high variance vs editorial consensus+3- 🟡
2016d old Poll was fielded 2016 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 127 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🟢
accurate · bias D+1.0pt Across 50 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is D+1.0pt — within ±1pt.
| John Cornyn 50.0 · MJ Hegar 47.0 | pollarch |
| 10/31/2020 | Emerson College | 1.00 | —(D+0.7) | 763 | — | LV | 🟡2017d old⚪✓ verified 5d ago+3- 🟡
2017d old Poll was fielded 2017 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 234 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom. - 🟢
accurate · bias D+0.7pt Across 117 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is D+0.7pt — within ±1pt.
| John Cornyn 51.0 · MJ Hegar 47.0 | pollarch |
| 10/31/2020 | Morning Consult | 1.00 | —(D+5.0) | 3267 | — | LV | 🟠historical bias D+5.0pt🟡2017d old+4- 🟠
historical bias D+5.0pt Across 29 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+5.0pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2017d old Poll was fielded 2017 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
n=3,267 Sample size of 3,267 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.7pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 62 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 47.0 · MJ Hegar 43.0 | pollarch |
| 10/28/2020 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 670 | — | LV | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2020d old+3- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2020d old Poll was fielded 2020 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| John Cornyn 49.0 · MJ Hegar 43.0 | pollarch |
| 10/28/2020 | RMG Research/PoliticalIQ | 1.00 | — | 800 | — | LV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2020d old+2- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2020d old Poll was fielded 2020 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| John Cornyn 48.0 · MJ Hegar 42.0 | pollarch |
| 10/26/2020 | Swayable | 0.49 | L(D+7.7) | 492 | — | LV | 🟠historical bias D+7.7pt🟠weight 0.49+3- 🟠
historical bias D+7.7pt Across 15 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+7.7pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟠
weight 0.49 Aggregation weight is 0.49 (1.0 ≈ average). Weight combines historical accuracy, methodology, and recency. - 🟡
2022d old Poll was fielded 2022 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| John Cornyn 52.0 · MJ Hegar 48.0 | pollarch |
| 10/26/2020 | YouGov/UMass Lowell | 0.87 | —(D+4.6) | 873 | — | LV | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2022d old+2- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2022d old Poll was fielded 2022 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| John Cornyn 49.0 · MJ Hegar 44.0 | pollarch |
| 10/25/2020 | Data for Progress | 1.00 | —(D+1.0) | 1018 | — | LV | 🟡2023d old🟡high variance vs editorial consensus+3- 🟡
2023d old Poll was fielded 2023 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 127 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🟢
accurate · bias D+1.0pt Across 50 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is D+1.0pt — within ±1pt.
| John Cornyn 48.0 · MJ Hegar 46.0 | pollarch |
| 10/25/2020 | Siena College/NYT Upshot | 0.78 | L(D+5.0) | 802 | — | LV | 🟡2023d old⚪✓ verified 5d ago+2- 🟡
2023d old Poll was fielded 2023 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 11 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 48.0 · MJ Hegar 38.0 | pollarch |
| 10/25/2020 | Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research | 1.00 | — | 758 | — | RV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2023d old+2- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2023d old Poll was fielded 2023 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize.
| John Cornyn 45.0 · MJ Hegar 40.0 | pollarch |
| 10/20/2020 | Citizen Data | 0.61 | —(D+6.6) | 1000 | — | LV | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2028d old+2- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2028d old Poll was fielded 2028 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| John Cornyn 41.0 · MJ Hegar 41.0 | pollarch |
| 10/20/2020 | YouGov/University of Houston | 1.00 | — | 1000 | — | LV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2028d old+2- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2028d old Poll was fielded 2028 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| John Cornyn 49.0 · MJ Hegar 42.0 | pollarch |
| 10/20/2020 | University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News | 1.00 | — | 925 | — | LV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2028d old+2- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2028d old Poll was fielded 2028 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| John Cornyn 42.0 · MJ Hegar 34.0 | pollarch |
| 10/20/2020 | Morning Consult | 1.00 | —(D+5.0) | 3347 | — | LV | 🟠historical bias D+5.0pt🟡2028d old+4- 🟠
historical bias D+5.0pt Across 29 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+5.0pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2028d old Poll was fielded 2028 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
n=3,347 Sample size of 3,347 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.7pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 62 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 46.0 · MJ Hegar 41.0 | pollarch |
| 10/19/2020 | Cygnal | 1.04 | R(D+1.8) | 600 | — | LV | 🟡2029d old⚪✓ verified 5d ago+2- 🟡
2029d old Poll was fielded 2029 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 72 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 49.0 · MJ Hegar 41.0 | pollarch |
| 10/19/2020 | Quinnipiac University | 1.00 | —(D+1.9) | 1145 | — | LV | 🟡2029d old⚪✓ verified 5d ago+2- 🟡
2029d old Poll was fielded 2029 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 81 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 49.0 · MJ Hegar 43.0 | pollarch |
| 10/19/2020 | Cygnal | 1.04 | R(D+1.8) | 600 | — | LV | 🟡2029d old⚪✓ verified 5d ago+2- 🟡
2029d old Poll was fielded 2029 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 72 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Generic Republican 50.0 · Generic Democrat 43.0 | pollarch |
| 10/18/2020 | Data for Progress | 1.00 | —(D+1.0) | 933 | — | LV | 🟡2030d old🟡high variance vs editorial consensus+3- 🟡
2030d old Poll was fielded 2030 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 127 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🟢
accurate · bias D+1.0pt Across 50 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is D+1.0pt — within ±1pt.
| John Cornyn 44.0 · MJ Hegar 41.0 | pollarch |
| 10/15/2020 | Public Policy Polling | 1.00 | —(D+1.1) | 712 | — | unknown | 🟡2033d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus+2- 🟡
2033d old Poll was fielded 2033 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 368 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - 🔵
bias D+1.1pt Across 72 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+1.1pt.
| John Cornyn 49.0 · MJ Hegar 46.0 | pollarch |
| 10/11/2020 | Morning Consult | 1.00 | —(D+5.0) | 3455 | — | LV | 🟠historical bias D+5.0pt🟡2037d old+4- 🟠
historical bias D+5.0pt Across 29 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+5.0pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2037d old Poll was fielded 2037 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
n=3,455 Sample size of 3,455 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.7pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 62 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 47.0 · MJ Hegar 38.0 | pollarch |
| 10/8/2020 | Morning Consult | 1.00 | —(D+5.0) | 2700 | — | LV | 🟠historical bias D+5.0pt🟡2040d old+4- 🟠
historical bias D+5.0pt Across 29 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+5.0pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2040d old Poll was fielded 2040 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
n=2,700 Sample size of 2,700 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.9pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 62 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 47.0 · MJ Hegar 38.0 | pollarch |
| 10/6/2020 | Civiqs/Daily Kos | 0.91 | L(D+4.0) | 895 | — | LV | 🟡2042d old⚪✓ verified 5d ago+1- 🟡
2042d old Poll was fielded 2042 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| John Cornyn 47.0 · MJ Hegar 46.0 | pollarch |
| 10/5/2020 | Data for Progress | 1.00 | —(D+1.0) | 1949 | — | LV | 🟡2043d old🟡high variance vs editorial consensus+4- 🟡
2043d old Poll was fielded 2043 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 127 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
n=1,949 Sample size of 1,949 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.2pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🟢
accurate · bias D+1.0pt Across 50 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is D+1.0pt — within ±1pt.
| John Cornyn 45.0 · MJ Hegar 42.0 | pollarch |
| 10/4/2020 | YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune | 1.00 | — | 908 | — | LV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2044d old+3- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2044d old Poll was fielded 2044 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
newspaper-sponsored: The Texas Tribune Commissioned by The Texas Tribune, an independent media or academic sponsor. Independent sponsorship doesn't guarantee accuracy but rules out direct campaign funding.
| John Cornyn 50.0 · MJ Hegar 42.0 | pollarch |
| 9/30/2020 | Morning Consult | 1.00 | —(D+5.0) | 2700 | — | LV | 🟠historical bias D+5.0pt🟡2048d old+4- 🟠
historical bias D+5.0pt Across 29 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+5.0pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2048d old Poll was fielded 2048 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
n=2,700 Sample size of 2,700 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.9pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 62 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 46.0 · MJ Hegar 39.0 | pollarch |
| 9/25/2020 | YouGov/UMass Lowell | 0.87 | —(D+4.6) | 882 | — | LV | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2053d old+2- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2053d old Poll was fielded 2053 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| John Cornyn 50.0 · MJ Hegar 40.0 | pollarch |
| 9/22/2020 | Siena College/NYT Upshot | 0.78 | L(D+5.0) | 653 | — | LV | 🟡2056d old⚪✓ verified 5d ago+2- 🟡
2056d old Poll was fielded 2056 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 11 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 43.0 · MJ Hegar 37.0 | pollarch |
| 9/22/2020 | Data for Progress | 1.00 | —(D+1.0) | 726 | — | LV | 🟡2056d old🟡high variance vs editorial consensus+3- 🟡
2056d old Poll was fielded 2056 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 127 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🟢
accurate · bias D+1.0pt Across 50 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is D+1.0pt — within ±1pt.
| John Cornyn 40.0 · MJ Hegar 38.0 | pollarch |
| 9/22/2020 | Data for Progress | 1.00 | —(D+1.0) | 726 | — | LV | 🟡2056d old🟡high variance vs editorial consensus+3- 🟡
2056d old Poll was fielded 2056 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 127 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🟢
accurate · bias D+1.0pt Across 50 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is D+1.0pt — within ±1pt.
| Generic Republican 46.0 · Generic Democrat 41.0 | pollarch |
| 9/21/2020 | Quinnipiac University | 1.00 | —(D+1.9) | 1078 | — | LV | 🟡2057d old⚪✓ verified 5d ago+2- 🟡
2057d old Poll was fielded 2057 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 81 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 50.0 · MJ Hegar 42.0 | pollarch |
| 9/20/2020 | Morning Consult | 1.00 | —(D+5.0) | 2616 | — | LV | 🟠historical bias D+5.0pt🟡2058d old+4- 🟠
historical bias D+5.0pt Across 29 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+5.0pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2058d old Poll was fielded 2058 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
n=2,616 Sample size of 2,616 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.9pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 62 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 45.0 · MJ Hegar 39.0 | pollarch |
| 9/18/2020 | YouGov/CBS | 1.00 | — | 1129 | — | LV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2060d old+2- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2060d old Poll was fielded 2060 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| John Cornyn 46.0 · MJ Hegar 41.0 | pollarch |
| 9/17/2020 | Morning Consult | 1.00 | —(D+5.0) | 2555 | — | LV | 🟠historical bias D+5.0pt🟡2061d old+4- 🟠
historical bias D+5.0pt Across 29 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+5.0pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2061d old Poll was fielded 2061 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
n=2,555 Sample size of 2,555 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.9pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 62 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 45.0 · MJ Hegar 38.0 | pollarch |
| 9/11/2020 | Morning Consult | 1.00 | —(D+5.0) | 2700 | — | LV | 🟠historical bias D+5.0pt🟡2067d old+4- 🟠
historical bias D+5.0pt Across 29 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+5.0pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2067d old Poll was fielded 2067 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
n=2,700 Sample size of 2,700 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.9pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 62 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 45.0 · MJ Hegar 38.0 | pollarch |
| 9/2/2020 | Public Policy Polling | 1.00 | —(D+1.1) | 743 | — | unknown | 🟡2076d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus+2- 🟡
2076d old Poll was fielded 2076 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 368 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - 🔵
bias D+1.1pt Across 72 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+1.1pt.
| John Cornyn 44.0 · MJ Hegar 40.0 | pollarch |
| 9/2/2020 | University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News | 1.00 | — | 897 | — | LV | 🟠flagged on verification🟡no scored polls+2- 🟠
flagged on verification Automated verification flagged this poll: results sum to 67.0% (expected ~100; n=2 cands, floor=70). Either the scrape misread the source table or the source itself looks unusual. Cross-check the citation URL before relying on this row. - 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2076d old Poll was fielded 2076 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| John Cornyn 39.0 · MJ Hegar 28.0 | pollarch |
| 9/1/2020 | Morning Consult | 1.00 | —(D+5.0) | 2700 | — | LV | 🟠historical bias D+5.0pt🟡2077d old+4- 🟠
historical bias D+5.0pt Across 29 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+5.0pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2077d old Poll was fielded 2077 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
n=2,700 Sample size of 2,700 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.9pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 62 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 46.0 · MJ Hegar 37.0 | pollarch |
| 8/25/2020 | Tyson Group | 1.00 | — | 906 | — | LV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2084d old+2- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2084d old Poll was fielded 2084 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| John Cornyn 44.0 · MJ Hegar 42.0 | pollarch |
| 8/25/2020 | Data for Progress | 1.00 | —(D+1.0) | 2295 | — | LV | 🟡2084d old🟡high variance vs editorial consensus+4- 🟡
2084d old Poll was fielded 2084 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 127 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
n=2,295 Sample size of 2,295 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.0pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🟢
accurate · bias D+1.0pt Across 50 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is D+1.0pt — within ±1pt.
| John Cornyn 46.0 · MJ Hegar 40.0 | pollarch |
| 8/22/2020 | Morning Consult | 1.00 | —(D+5.0) | 2700 | — | LV | 🟠historical bias D+5.0pt🟡2087d old+4- 🟠
historical bias D+5.0pt Across 29 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+5.0pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2087d old Poll was fielded 2087 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
n=2,700 Sample size of 2,700 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.9pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 62 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 44.0 · MJ Hegar 39.0 | pollarch |
| 8/13/2020 | YouGov/Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation/Rice University's Baker Institute | 1.00 | — | 892 | — | LV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2096d old+2- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2096d old Poll was fielded 2096 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| John Cornyn 44.0 · MJ Hegar 37.0 | pollarch |
| 8/12/2020 | Morning Consult | 1.00 | —(D+5.0) | 2700 | — | LV | 🟠historical bias D+5.0pt🟡2097d old+4- 🟠
historical bias D+5.0pt Across 29 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+5.0pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2097d old Poll was fielded 2097 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
n=2,700 Sample size of 2,700 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.9pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 62 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 44.0 · MJ Hegar 38.0 | pollarch |
| 8/2/2020 | Morning Consult | 1.00 | —(D+5.0) | 2576 | — | LV | 🟠historical bias D+5.0pt🟡2107d old+4- 🟠
historical bias D+5.0pt Across 29 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+5.0pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2107d old Poll was fielded 2107 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
n=2,576 Sample size of 2,576 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.9pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 62 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 44.0 · MJ Hegar 38.0 | pollarch |
| 8/1/2020 | Morning Consult | 1.00 | —(D+5.0) | 2700 | — | LV | 🟠historical bias D+5.0pt🟡2108d old+4- 🟠
historical bias D+5.0pt Across 29 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+5.0pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2108d old Poll was fielded 2108 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
n=2,700 Sample size of 2,700 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.9pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 62 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 44.0 · MJ Hegar 38.0 | pollarch |
| 7/29/2020 | Global Strategy Group | 1.00 | — | 700 | — | LV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2111d old+4- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2111d old Poll was fielded 2111 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 31 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
newspaper-sponsored: Politico Commissioned by Politico, an independent media or academic sponsor. Independent sponsorship doesn't guarantee accuracy but rules out direct campaign funding.
| John Cornyn 44.0 · MJ Hegar 43.0 | pollarch |
| 7/22/2020 | Morning Consult | 1.00 | —(D+5.0) | 2700 | — | LV | 🟠historical bias D+5.0pt🟡2118d old+4- 🟠
historical bias D+5.0pt Across 29 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+5.0pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2118d old Poll was fielded 2118 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
n=2,700 Sample size of 2,700 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.9pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 62 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 40.0 · MJ Hegar 40.0 | pollarch |
| 7/20/2020 | Quinnipiac University | 1.00 | —(D+1.9) | 880 | — | RV | 🟡2120d old⚪✓ verified 5d ago+2- 🟡
2120d old Poll was fielded 2120 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 81 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 47.0 · MJ Hegar 38.0 | pollarch |
| 7/20/2020 | Spry Strategies | 1.00 | R | 750 | — | LV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2120d old+2- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2120d old Poll was fielded 2120 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| John Cornyn 47.0 · MJ Hegar 37.0 | pollarch |
| 7/10/2020 | YouGov/CBS | 1.00 | — | 1179 | — | LV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2130d old+2- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2130d old Poll was fielded 2130 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| John Cornyn 44.0 · MJ Hegar 36.0 | pollarch |
| 7/10/2020 | CBS News/YouGov | 0.92 | L(D+3.4) | 1182 | — | LV | 🟠historical bias D+3.4pt🟡2130d old+3- 🟠
historical bias D+3.4pt Across 16 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+3.4pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2130d old Poll was fielded 2130 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 23 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 43.0 · Royce West 37.0 | pollarch |
| 7/7/2020 | Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler | 1.00 | — | 1677 | — | LV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2133d old+3- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2133d old Poll was fielded 2133 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
n=1,677 Sample size of 1,677 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.4pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| John Cornyn 42.0 · MJ Hegar 29.0 | pollarch |
| 7/7/2020 | Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler | 1.00 | — | 1677 | — | LV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2133d old+3- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2133d old Poll was fielded 2133 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
n=1,677 Sample size of 1,677 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.4pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| John Cornyn 43.0 · Royce West 28.0 | pollarch |
| 6/25/2020 | Public Policy Polling | 1.00 | —(D+1.1) | 729 | — | RV | 🟡2145d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus+3- 🟡
2145d old Poll was fielded 2145 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 368 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize. - 🔵
bias D+1.1pt Across 72 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+1.1pt.
| John Cornyn 42.0 · MJ Hegar 35.0 | pollarch |
| 6/23/2020 | Fox News | 1.00 | —(D+2.6) | 1001 | — | RV | 🟡bias D+2.6pt🟡2147d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.6pt Across 19 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.6pt. - 🟡
2147d old Poll was fielded 2147 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize.
| John Cornyn 46.0 · MJ Hegar 36.0 | pollarch |
| 6/23/2020 | Fox News | 1.00 | —(D+2.6) | 1001 | — | RV | 🟡bias D+2.6pt🟡2147d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.6pt Across 19 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.6pt. - 🟡
2147d old Poll was fielded 2147 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize.
| John Cornyn 47.0 · Royce West 37.0 | pollarch |
| 6/19/2020 | Public Policy Polling | 1.00 | —(D+1.1) | 907 | — | unknown | 🟡2151d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus+2- 🟡
2151d old Poll was fielded 2151 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 368 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - 🔵
bias D+1.1pt Across 72 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+1.1pt.
| Generic Republican 47.0 · Generic Democrat 45.0 | pollarch |
| 4/27/2020 | Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler | 1.00 | — | 1183 | — | RV | 🟠flagged on verification🟡no scored polls+2- 🟠
flagged on verification Automated verification flagged this poll: results sum to 61.0% (expected ~100; n=2 cands, floor=70). Either the scrape misread the source table or the source itself looks unusual. Cross-check the citation URL before relying on this row. - 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2204d old Poll was fielded 2204 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize.
| John Cornyn 37.0 · MJ Hegar 24.0 | pollarch |
| 4/27/2020 | Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler | 1.00 | — | 1183 | — | RV | 🟠flagged on verification🟡no scored polls+2- 🟠
flagged on verification Automated verification flagged this poll: results sum to 59.0% (expected ~100; n=2 cands, floor=70). Either the scrape misread the source table or the source itself looks unusual. Cross-check the citation URL before relying on this row. - 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2204d old Poll was fielded 2204 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize.
| John Cornyn 35.0 · Royce West 24.0 | pollarch |
| 2/27/2020 | NBC News/Marist | 0.75 | L(D+5.1) | 2409 | — | RV | 🟠historical bias D+5.1pt🟡2264d old+4- 🟠
historical bias D+5.1pt Across 11 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+5.1pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2264d old Poll was fielded 2264 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize. - 🔵
n=2,409 Sample size of 2,409 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.0pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 12 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 49.0 · MJ Hegar 41.0 | pollarch |
| 2/26/2020 | Univision/UH | 1.00 | — | 1004 | — | RV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2265d old+2- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2265d old Poll was fielded 2265 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize.
| John Cornyn 43.0 · Generic Democrat 41.0 | pollarch |
| 1/21/2020 | Data for Progress | 1.00 | —(D+1.0) | 1486 | — | LV | 🟡2301d old🟡high variance vs editorial consensus+3- 🟡
2301d old Poll was fielded 2301 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 127 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🟢
accurate · bias D+1.0pt Across 50 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is D+1.0pt — within ±1pt.
| John Cornyn 50.0 · Generic Democrat 42.0 | pollarch |
| 11/21/2019 | Beacon Research | 1.00 | L | 601 | — | RV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2362d old+3- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2362d old Poll was fielded 2362 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 42 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize.
| John Cornyn 44.0 · MJ Hegar 30.0 | pollarch |
| 11/21/2019 | Beacon Research | 1.00 | L | 601 | — | RV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2362d old+3- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2362d old Poll was fielded 2362 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 42 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize.
| John Cornyn 45.0 · Royce West 33.0 | pollarch |
| 11/21/2019 | Beacon Research | 1.00 | L | 601 | — | RV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2362d old+3- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2362d old Poll was fielded 2362 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 42 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize.
| John Cornyn 45.0 · Chris Bell 30.0 | pollarch |
| 11/21/2019 | Beacon Research | 1.00 | L | 601 | — | RV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2362d old+3- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2362d old Poll was fielded 2362 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 42 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize.
| John Cornyn 45.0 · Sema Hernandez 29.0 | pollarch |
| 11/21/2019 | Beacon Research | 1.00 | L | 601 | — | RV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2362d old+3- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2362d old Poll was fielded 2362 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 42 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize.
| John Cornyn 46.0 · Beto O'Rourke 42.0 | pollarch |
| 11/21/2019 | Beacon Research | 1.00 | L | 601 | — | RV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2362d old+3- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2362d old Poll was fielded 2362 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 42 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize.
| John Cornyn 46.0 · Generic Democrat 44.0 | pollarch |
| 9/6/2019 | Univision/UH | 1.00 | — | 1004 | — | RV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2438d old+2- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2438d old Poll was fielded 2438 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize.
| John Cornyn 41.0 · Generic Democrat 40.0 | pollarch |
| 4/28/2019 | Emerson College | 1.00 | —(D+0.7) | 799 | — | RV | 🟠flagged on verification🟡2569d old+3- 🟠
flagged on verification Automated verification flagged this poll: results sum to 41.0% (expected ~100; n=2 cands, floor=70). Either the scrape misread the source table or the source itself looks unusual. Cross-check the citation URL before relying on this row. - 🟡
2569d old Poll was fielded 2569 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 234 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom. - 🟢
accurate · bias D+0.7pt Across 117 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is D+0.7pt — within ±1pt.
| John Cornyn 29.0 · MJ Hegar 12.0 | pollarch |
| 2/25/2019 | Quinnipiac University | 1.00 | —(D+1.9) | 1222 | — | RV | 🟡2631d old⚪✓ verified 5d ago+2- 🟡
2631d old Poll was fielded 2631 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 81 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| John Cornyn 46.0 · Beto O'Rourke 46.0 | pollarch |
| 2/14/2019 | Public Policy Polling | 1.00 | —(D+1.1) | 743 | — | RV | 🟡2642d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus+3- 🟡
2642d old Poll was fielded 2642 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 368 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize. - 🔵
bias D+1.1pt Across 72 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+1.1pt.
| John Cornyn 47.0 · Beto O'Rourke 45.0 | pollarch |
| 1/11/2019 | Atlantic Media & Research | 1.00 | R | 504 | — | LV | 🟡no scored polls🟡2676d old+2- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2676d old Poll was fielded 2676 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| John Cornyn 50.0 · Beto O'Rourke 37.0 | pollarch |