State · /state/az
Arizona
10 active races tracked — next up, primary day on Jul 21, in 14 days. Polls, forecasts, and ratings update daily.
Active races
10
1 Gov · 9 House
Next election
Jul 21
in 14 days
Most-competitive
Tilt D
House · 1
State PVI
R+2
Cook-style index
Registered
4.3M
state_sos
Polls · 90d
21
across 10 races
District tilt · 9 House districts
iEach shape is a 2026 congressional district, colored by our current rating of its U.S. House race. Hover a district for the matchup; click to open the race.
Shape = district · color = rating · hover for detail · click → raceLoading district map…
Each shape = 1 congressional district
Safe DLean DTossupLean RSafe R
Each district is shaded by our current rating of its 2026 U.S. House race. Hover for the matchup and rating; click a district to open the race.
Key districts · most competitive
iThe most competitive U.S. House races in the state, closest rating first.
Upcoming races · 15iEvery election still ahead for this state, grouped by date — primary day, special elections, then the November general. Closest dates first.
Primary day · Jul 21
in 14 days · nominees chosen for the November ballot| Race | Candidates | Rating | D-margin | Polls · 90d | Last poll | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House · 4 · D primary | Kai Newkirk · Greg Stanton· watch | — | — | 2 | 8d ago | › |
| Governor · R primary | Andy Biggs · David Schweikert · Karrin Taylor Robson | — | — | 14 | 19d ago | › |
| House · 1 · D primary | Field not yet tracked | — | — | 3 | 20d ago | › |
| House · 1 · R primary | Joseph Chaplik · Jay Feely · John Trobough | — | — | 3 | 20d ago | › |
| House · 5 · R primary | Mark Lamb + 3 more | — | — | 0 | 214d ago | › |
General election · Nov 3
in 119 days · 10 races| Race | Candidates | Rating | D-margin | Polls · 90d | Last poll | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House · 4 | 2 candidates tracked· watch | Likely D | — | 2 | 8d ago | › |
| Governor | Katie Hobbs (D) vs Andy Biggs (R) | Lean D | +7.0 | 14 | 19d ago | › |
| House · 2 | Jonathan Nez (D) vs Eli Crane (R) | Likely R | -3.0 | 1 | 22d ago | › |
| House · 6 | JoAnna Mendoza (D) vs Juan Ciscomani (R) | Lean D | +2.5 | 1 | 26d ago | › |
| House · 1 | 3 candidates tracked | Tilt D | — | 3 | 20d ago | › |
| House · 5 | 4 candidates tracked | Safe R | — | 0 | 214d ago | › |
| House · 8 | Bernadette Greene Placentia (D) vs Abraham Hamadeh (R) | Safe R | — | 0 | no polls | › |
| House · 7 | Adelita Grijalva (D) vs Daniel Butierez (R) | Safe D | — | 0 | no polls | › |
| House · 3 | 1 candidate tracked | Safe D | — | 0 | no polls | › |
| House · 9 | Gene Paul Scharer (D) vs Paul Gosar (R) | Safe R | — | 0 | no polls | › |
Voter registration iRegistered voters by party from the state's latest Secretary-of-State report, with the change since the prior cycle. States that don't register by party are omitted.
state_sos · March 2026| Affiliation | Registered | % | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 1,221,223 | 28.1% | — |
| Unaffiliated | 1,496,589 | 34.5% | — |
| Republican | 1,542,604 | 35.5% | — |
| Other | 80,444 | 1.9% | — |
Ballot measures · 8iStatewide ballot questions for this state, with polling or the certified result. Sourced from Wikipedia and Ballotpedia.
Source · Wikipedia · BallotpediaAZ 133Failed
Would require partisan primaries to be held for all partisan offices.
YES
42%
NO
58%
AZ 134On ballot
Would require a certain number of signatures from each legislative district for citizen-initiated ballot mea…
No public polling yet
AZ 135On ballot
Would allow the legislature to change emergency powers granted to the Governor.
No public polling yet
AZ 136On ballot
Would allow legal challenges to ballot initiatives before one has been passed.
No public polling yet
AZ 137On ballot
Would replace county and statewide judge term limits with retention elections and judicial review.
No public polling yet
AZ 138On ballot
Would allow for tipped workers to be paid less than minimum wage.
No public polling yet
AZ 139Passed
Would constitutionally protect the right to abortion until fetal viability.
YES
62%
NO
38%
AZ 140On ballot
Would require nonpartisan primaries and majority vote in general elections.
No public polling yet
Past races · 84iDecided races in this state across past cycles, with the winner, their party, and victory margin. Click any race for the full result.
- 2025AZ-07 · House (special) · 2025Result pending
- 2024President · 2024Donald Trump(R) +5.5
- 2024Arizona · Senate · 2024Ruben Gallego(D) +2.4
- 2024AZ-1 · House · 2024David Schweikert(R) +3.8
- 2024AZ-2 · House · 2024Eli Crane(R) +9.0
- 2024AZ-3 · House · 2024Yassamin Ansari(D) +44.3
- 2024AZ-4 · House · 2024Greg Stanton(D) +7.3
- 2024AZ-5 · House · 2024Andy Biggs(R) +20.8
- 2024AZ-6 · House · 2024Juan Ciscomani(R) +2.5
- 2024AZ-7 · House · 2024Raúl Grijalva(D) +26.8
- 2024AZ-8 · House · 2024Abraham Hamadeh(R) +13.0
- 2024AZ-9 · House · 2024Paul Gosar(R) +30.6
- 2022Arizona · Senate · 2022Mark Kelly(D) +4.9
- 2022Arizona · Governor · 2022Katie Hobbs(D) +0.7
- 2022AZ-1 · House · 2022David Schweikert(R) +0.9
- 2022AZ-2 · House · 2022Eli Crane(R) +7.7
- 2022AZ-3 · House · 2022Ruben Gallego(D) +54.0
- 2022AZ-4 · House · 2022Greg Stanton(D) +12.2
- 2022AZ-5 · House · 2022Andy Biggs(R) +19.3
- 2022AZ-6 · House · 2022Juan Ciscomani(R) +1.5
- 2022AZ-7 · House · 2022Raúl Grijalva(D) +29.0
- 2022AZ-8 · House · 2022Debbie Lesko(R) +94.0
- 2022AZ-9 · House · 2022Paul Gosar(R) +96.0
- 2020President · 2020Joe Biden(D) +2.4
- 2020Arizona · Senate (special) · 2020Mark Kelly(D) +2.4
- 2020AZ-1 · House · 2020Tom O'Halleran(D) +3.2
- 2020AZ-2 · House · 2020Ann Kirkpatrick(D) +10.2
- 2020AZ-3 · House · 2020Raúl Grijalva(D) +29.2
- 2020AZ-4 · House · 2020Paul Gosar(R) +39.5
- 2020AZ-5 · House · 2020Andy Biggs(R) +17.8
- 2020AZ-6 · House · 2020David Schweikert(R) +4.4
- 2020AZ-7 · House · 2020Ruben Gallego(D) +53.4
- 2020AZ-8 · House · 2020Debbie Lesko(R) +19.2
- 2020AZ-9 · House · 2020Greg Stanton(D) +23.2
- 2018Arizona · Senate · 2018Kyrsten Sinema(D) +2.4
- 2018Arizona · Governor · 2018Doug Ducey(R) +14.2
- 2018AZ-1 · House · 2018Tom O'Halleran(D) +7.7
- 2018AZ-2 · House · 2018Ann Kirkpatrick(D) +9.5
- 2018AZ-3 · House · 2018Raúl Grijalva(D) +27.8
- 2018AZ-4 · House · 2018Paul Gosar(R) +37.7
- 2018AZ-5 · House · 2018Andy Biggs(R) +18.8
- 2018AZ-6 · House · 2018David Schweikert(R) +10.4
- 2018AZ-7 · House · 2018Ruben Gallego(D) +71.4
- 2018AZ-8 · House · 2018Debbie Lesko(R) +11.0
- 2018AZ-9 · House · 2018Greg Stanton(D) +22.2
- 2016President · 2016Donald Trump(R) +3.5
- 2016Arizona · Senate · 2016John McCain(R) +13.0
- 2016AZ-1 · House · 2016Tom O'Halleran(D) +7.3
- 2016AZ-2 · House · 2016Martha McSally(R) +14.0
- 2016AZ-3 · House · 2016Raúl Grijalva(D) +97.7
- 2016AZ-4 · House · 2016Paul Gosar(R) +42.8
- 2016AZ-5 · House · 2016Andy Biggs(R) +28.2
- 2016AZ-6 · House · 2016David Schweikert(R) +24.2
- 2016AZ-7 · House · 2016Ruben Gallego(D) +50.6
- 2016AZ-8 · House · 2016Trent Franks(R) +37.0
- 2016AZ-9 · House · 2016Kyrsten Sinema(D) +21.8
- 2014Arizona · Governor · 2014Doug Ducey(R) +11.8
- 2014AZ-1 · House · 2014Ann Kirkpatrick(D) +5.2
- 2014AZ-2 · House · 2014Martha McSally(R) +0.1
- 2014AZ-3 · House · 2014Raúl Grijalva(D) +11.5
- 2014AZ-4 · House · 2014Paul Gosar(R) +44.2
- 2014AZ-5 · House · 2014Matt Salmon(R) +39.2
- 2014AZ-6 · House · 2014David Schweikert(R) +29.8
- 2014AZ-7 · House · 2014Ruben Gallego(D) +60.1
- 2014AZ-8 · House · 2014Trent Franks(R) +51.6
- 2014AZ-9 · House · 2014Kyrsten Sinema(D) +12.8
- 2012President · 2012Mitt Romney(R) +3.0
- 2012Arizona · Senate · 2012Jeff Flake(R) +3.0
- 2012AZ-1 · House · 2012Ann Kirkpatrick(D) +3.7
- 2012AZ-2 · House · 2012Ron Barber(D) +0.8
- 2012AZ-3 · House · 2012Raúl M. Grijalva(D) +21.3
- 2012AZ-4 · House · 2012Paul Gosar(R) +38.4
- 2012AZ-5 · House · 2012Matt Salmon(R) +34.4
- 2012AZ-6 · House · 2012David Schweikert(R) +28.0
- 2012AZ-7 · House · 2012Ed Pastor(D) +63.4
- 2012AZ-8 · House · 2012Trent Franks(R) +28.2
- 2012AZ-9 · House · 2012Kyrsten Sinema(D) +4.1
- 2010Arizona · Senate · 2010John McCain(R) +24.3
- 2010Arizona · Governor · 2010Janice Kay Brewer ( inc. )(R) +11.9
- 2008President · 2008John McCain(R) +8.5
- 2006Arizona · Senate · 2006Jon Kyl(R) +9.8
- 2006Arizona · Governor · 2006Janet Napolitano(D) +27.1
- 2004President · 2004George W. Bush(R) +10.5
- 2004Arizona · Senate · 2004Result pending
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