Races · house · 2018 · AZ

house · open seat

Hiral Tipirneni vs Debbie Lesko

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Likely R — · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago

Caution · early warning

Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands

Verified

Likely R

likely-r

Money in this race

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2018-11-13

Total IE spending

$1.2M

For candidates

$1.2M

Against candidates

Latest filing: 11/13/2018
Source: FEC Schedule E

Debbie Lesko (R)

$1.2M for · $0 against

$1.1M for HOUSE FREEDOM FUND PAC
$28K for NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE PAC
$14K for NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND PAC
$10K for HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION Super PAC
$126 for WINNING FOR WOMEN, INC. PAC PAC

Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).

last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago

Rating history (1 change)

5/7/2026 Likely R via pvi