Races · President · 2020 · Arizona
President · open seat
Arizona President
Where this race stands
VerifiedTilt R
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+2) suggests Tilt R.
CITATIONS · tilt-r
Polling average
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.
All polls · 69 results
strongpositiveinfocautionflag
| Date | Pollster · trust signals | n · pop | Lean | Bias · track | vs raters | D · R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | Marist College | 717 · unknown | D-LEAN | D +2.025 tracked | +1.7aligned | — |
| Oct 30 | Change Research | 409 · unknown | D-LEAN | D +3.718 tracked | +5.7noisy | — |
| Oct 29 | Emerson College | 732 · unknown | NEUTRAL | D +0.7118 tracked | +0.8aligned | — |
| Oct 29 | AtlasIntel | 641 · unknown | NEUTRAL | D +0.330 tracked | -4.0r lean | — |
| Oct 29 | Ipsos | 610 · unknown | NEUTRAL | R +1.912 tracked | +0.3aligned | — |
| Oct 28 | Data for Progress | 1,195 · unknown | NEUTRAL | D +1.151 tracked | +0.8aligned | — |
| Oct 28 | Data Orbital | 550 · unknown | NEUTRAL | R +0.210 tracked | -0.3aligned | — |
| Oct 28 | Swayable+1 | 360 · unknown | D-LEAN | D +7.817 tracked | +2.5d lean | — |
| Oct 27 | Rasmussen Reports | 800 · unknown | NEUTRAL | R +1.9124 tracked | -0.9aligned | — |
| Oct 27 | The New York Times/Siena College | 1,252 · unknown | NEUTRAL | — | — | — |
Endorsements · 0 total
Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yetDEMJoe Biden0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
REPDonald Trump0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2021-02-25Joe BidenP80000722 ↗
Receipts
$1.1B
Disburse
$1.1B
Cash on hand
$260.5K
Debts
$0
Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
No contributor data.
Donald TrumpP80001571 ↗
Receipts
$744.4M
Disburse
$752.9M
Cash on hand
$10.7M
Debts
$2.7M
Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
No contributor data.
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$8.1M
D side
$7.8M · 96%
R side
$353.6K · 4%
Top spender
PRIORITIES USA ACTION
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRIORITIES USA ACTION super pac · boosts D
| D | $2.8M | 35% | for Joe Biden |
| UNITE HERE PAC super pac · boosts D
| D | $953.8K | 12% | for Joe Biden |
| FOR OUR FUTURE super pac · boosts D
| D | $952.5K | 12% | against Donald Trump |
| VOTE NURSES VALUES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE: CALIFORNIA NURSES ASSOCIATION super pac · boosts D
| D | $729.8K | 9% | for Joe Biden |
| PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERAL super pac · boosts D
| D | $714.3K | 9% | for Joe Biden |
| UNIDOSUS ACTION PAC super pac · boosts D
| D | $495.9K | 6% | for Joe Biden |
| SAFE AND SECURE AMERICA PAC super pac · boosts R
| R | $286.6K | 4% | for Donald Trump |
| PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES super pac · boosts D
| D | $250.0K | 3% | against Donald Trump |
| MIJENTE PAC super pac · boosts D
| D | $74.2K | 1% | against Donald Trump |
Demographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 69deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2021-02-25
Endorsements—nothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks