Races · house · 2018 · AZ
house · open seat

Ann Kirkpatrick vs Lea Marquez-Peterson

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Lean R — · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands
Verified

Lean R

lean-r

Money in this race

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2018-12-11
Total IE spending
$7.3M
For candidates
$190K
Against candidates
$7.1M
Latest filing: 12/11/2018
Source: FEC Schedule E
Lea Marquez-Peterson (R)
$33K for · $5.1M against
Cash on hand
$9K
Total raised (cycle)
$1.5M
Total spent
$1.5M
Debts
$12K
Source: FEC
Ann Kirkpatrick (D)
$11K for · $1.1M against
Cash on hand
$72K
Total raised (cycle)
$4.6M
Total spent
$4.5M
Debts
$24K
Source: FEC
Matt Heinz (D)
$0 for · $778K against
Cash on hand
$500
Total raised (cycle)
$1.0M
Total spent
$1.0M
Debts
$312K
Source: FEC
Martha McSally (R)
$146K for · $247K against
Cash on hand
$67K
Total raised (cycle)
$4.2M
Total spent
$4.5M
Debts
$0
Source: FEC

Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).

last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
  • 5/7/2026 Lean R via pvi