Races · house · 2022 · Arizona
house · open seat
Javier Ramos vs Andy Biggs
Where this race stands
VerifiedLikely R · model 99% R
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+10) suggests Likely R.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts R+22.8 with an 80% CI ranging from R+34.8 (10th pctile) to R+10.8 (90th pctile), giving R a 99% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · likely-r
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
R +22.8
80% CI: R +34.8 → R +10.8 · win prob 1%
R+45R+23TIEDD+23D+45
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 0 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | R+19.3 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Endorsements · 0 total
Source · Wikipedia · 3 candidates with no endorsements yetRAndy Biggs0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
DJavier Ramos0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
IClint Smith0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2022-10-24Clint SmithH2AZ05173 ↗
Receipts
$197.5K
Disburse
$197.5K
Cash on hand
$0
Debts
$0
Top industries
Education$3.0K
Education · $3.0K
- Arizona State University · $3.0K
Individuals $3.0K · PACs $0
Lawyers / law firms$2.5K
Lawyers / law firms · $2.5K
- Law Office of H Micheal Wright · $2.5K
Individuals $2.5K · PACs $0
Top contributors
TREEHOUSE COMMUNITIES$5.8K
ALLKIOSK, INC$5.8K
JAREN CORPORATION$4.5K
GREGORY R. KNIGHT & ASSOCIATES, P.C.$4.0K
DERMATOLOGY FOR ANIMALS$3.9K
Andy BiggsH6AZ05083 ↗
Receipts
$2.1M
Disburse
$2.5M
Cash on hand
$235.5K
Debts
$0
Top industries
Health professionals$5.8K
Health professionals · $5.8K
- 21st Century Healthcare, INC. · $5.8K
Individuals $5.8K · PACs $0
Real estate$5.8K
Real estate · $5.8K
- Farnsworth Realty · $5.8K
Individuals $5.8K · PACs $0
Top contributors
WAY CONSTRUCTION$5.8K
JW CHILDS ASSOC.$5.8K
BILL LUKE CHRYSLER JEEP AND DODGE$5.8K
ULINE$5.8K
21ST CENTURY HEALTHCARE, INC.$5.8K
Javier Ramos
Receipts
$16.6K
Disburse
$15.6K
Cash on hand
$1.0K
Debts
$0
Top industries
No industry data.
Top contributors
INTRINSIC IMAGERY$500
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$14.7K
D side
$8.8K · 60%
R side
$5.9K · 40%
Top spender
TURNING POINT PAC INC.
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TURNING POINT PAC INC. super pac · boosts D
| D | $29.5K | 201% | against Clint Smith |
| REALLY AMERICAN PAC super pac · boosts D
| D | $8.8K | 60% | against Andy Biggs |
| HOUSE FREEDOM FUND pac · boosts R
| R | $2.5K | 17% | for Andy Biggs |
| NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND pac · boosts R
| R | $1.2K | 8% | for Andy Biggs |
Editorial ratings · 6 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Safe R6
Safe R · 6 raters
- The Cook Political Report · Oct 24
- DDHQ · Oct 25
- The Economist · Oct 15
- FiveThirtyEight · Oct 25
- Inside Elections · Oct 20
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Oct 25
The Cook Political Report
Safe RDDHQ
Safe RThe Economist
Safe RFiveThirtyEight
Safe RInside Elections
Safe RSabato's Crystal Ball
Safe RDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2022-10-24
Endorsements—nothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks