Races · house · 2020 · Arizona
house · open seat
Hiral Tipirneni vs David Schweikert
Where this race stands
VerifiedTossup · model 75% R
No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+0) suggests Tossup.
The poliagg-v34 ensemble forecasts R+4.0 with an 80% CI ranging from R+16.0 (10th pctile) to D+8.0 (90th pctile), giving R a 75% chance of winning.
CITATIONS · tossup
Forecast · poliagg-v34
Predicted final margin
R +4.0
80% CI: R +16.0 → D +8.0 · win prob 25%
R+30R+15TIEDD+15D+30
Quality · inputs
Data quality · medium
| Polls used | 0 |
| Days to election | passed |
| Actual result | R+4.4 |
| Residual σ | 6.00pt |
| Generated | 7/1/2026 |
Endorsements · 61 total
Source · Wikipedia · 1 candidate with no endorsements yet61
Endorsements tracked
Hiral Tipirneni0 · 0%
David Schweikert61 · 100%
Total61
Scraped from each candidate’s Wikipedia endorsement list.
RDavid Schweikert61 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States
Other25
Other · 25
- Kevin McCarthy · minority leader of the United States House of Representatives
- AAPI Victory Fund
- AFT · Arizona
- Anita Malik · businesswoman, entrepreneur, and nominee for this seat in 2018
- Brady Campaign
- Center for Arizona Policy
- Club for Growth
- Concerned Women for America
- Democracy for America
- EMILY's List
- Elect AAPI
- End Citizens United
- High School Democrats of America
- Hiral Tipirneni · emergency room physician and nominee for Arizona's 8th congressional district in the 2018 special and general elections
- Human Rights Campaign
- Litchfield Park · former Litchfield Park city manager and councilman
- Maggie's List
- NARAL Pro-Choice America
- Peace Action
- RightNOW Women
- Sierra Club
- Stonewall Democrats · emocrats
- Stonewall Democrats of Arizona
- Susan B. Anthony List
- United States Chamber of Commerce
Organizations23
Organizations · 23
- 314 Action · Fund
- 60 Plus Association
- ASPIRE PAC
- Amalgamated Transit Union · Local 1433
- American Conservative Union
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees · Local 2384
- Communication Workers of America · Arizona State Council
- Communications Workers of America
- Congressional Hispanic Caucus · (CHC) Bold PAC
- Equality PAC
- Everytown for Gun Safety · Action Fund
- Freedom Caucus
- International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers · (SMART) Local 359
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers · Local 640
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters · Local 104
- International Union of Painters and Allied Trades
- League of Conservation Voters · Action Fund
- National Federation of Independent Business
- National Right to Life Committee
- NewDem Action Fund
- Off the Sidelines PAC
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund
- United Food and Commercial Workers · Local 99
Elected officials13
Federal 4State 9Local 0
Elected officials · 13
- Barack Obama · 44th president of the United States
- Charlene Fernandez · state representative and state House minority leader
- Rebecca Rios · state senator and former state House minority leader (2017–2019), state representative (2015–2019), and state senator (2005–2011)
- Jon Kyl · former U.S. senator from Arizona (1995–2013, 2018)
- Robert Meza · state representative and former state senator (2011–2019) and state representative (2003–2011)
- Ann Kirkpatrick · U.S. representative (AZ-02)
- Jamescita Peshlakai · state senator and former state representative (2013–2015)
- Lela Alston · state senator and former state representative (2011–2019)
- Martín Quezada · state senator and former state representative (2013–2015)
- Randy Friese · state representative
- Rich Andrade · state representative
- Tom O'Halleran · U.S. representative (AZ-01)
- Victoria Steele · state senator and former state representative (2013–2016)
DHiral Tipirneni0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
Money raised · own committees
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2020-11-20Hiral TipirneniH8AZ08083 ↗
Receipts
$6.3M
Disburse
$6.4M
Cash on hand
$35.0K
Debts
$70.0K
Top industries
Education$24.5K
Education · $24.5K
- Arizona State University · $16.1K
- Stanford University · $8.5K
Individuals $24.5K · PACs $0
Health professionals$17.9K
Health professionals · $17.9K
- Mayo Clinic · $9.5K
- Mass General Hospital · $8.4K
Individuals $17.9K · PACs $0
Internet$15.3K
Internet · $15.3K
- Google · $15.3K
Individuals $15.3K · PACs $0
Securities & investment$7.1K
Securities & investment · $7.1K
- Blackrock · $7.1K
Individuals $7.1K · PACs $0
Top contributors
ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY$16.1K
GOOGLE$15.3K
MAYO CLINIC$9.5K
BESSEMER VENTURE PARTNERS$9.4K
BANNER HEALTH$8.7K
Outside spending · independent expenditures
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reportsIE total
$3.5M
D side
$924.3K · 26%
R side
$2.6M · 74%
Top spender
CONGRESSIONAL LEADE…
| Spender | Side | Amount | Share | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND super pac · boosts R
| R | $2.0M | 56% | against Hiral Tipirneni |
| CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION super pac · boosts D
| D | $784.9K | 22% | for Hiral Tipirneni |
| HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION super pac · boosts R
| R | $500.0K | 14% | against Hiral Tipirneni |
| NATIONAL HORIZON super pac · boosts R
| R | $140.0K | 4% | against Hiral Tipirneni |
Editorial ratings · 6 raters
Cook · Sabato · Inside Elections · 538 · DDHQ et al.Lean D1
Lean D · 1 rater
- Sabato's Crystal Ball · Nov 1
Tossup4
Tossup · 4 raters
- The Cook Political Report · Nov 1
- Decision Desk HQ · Nov 2
- 538 · Nov 2
- Inside Elections · Oct 27
Lean R1
Lean R · 1 rater
- Elections Daily · Oct 31
The Cook Political Report
TossupDecision Desk HQ
TossupElections Daily
Lean R538
TossupInside Elections
TossupSabato's Crystal Ball
Lean DDemographic crosstabs
age · education · race · genderNo demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 0deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2020-11-20
Endorsements61 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks