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Every daily report, Sunday digest, and post-cycle debrief in one place. The header 'Daily' tab still goes to today's report; this is where you find everything older or longer.
July 2026
Jul 7DAILYOhio governor shifts to tossup as Senate special hardens to lean-Republican.
Mallory McMorrow suspends Michigan Senate bid, reshaping August primary
Michigan Senate flips to Tilt-Democratic on AOC's El-Sayed endorsement; TX-28, SC Senate, and NC-1 also shift ratings in a busy week for the 2026 midterm map.
Michigan Senate flips to Tilt-Democratic as AOC endorses El-Sayed.
Iowa Senate moves to tilt-D as new polls favor Turek over Hinson.
Iowa Senate race moves to tossup as polls show deadlocked contest.
Phil Weiser upsets Sen. Michael Bennet in Colorado's Democratic governor primary
June 2026
Jun 30DAILYMaryland and South Carolina governor races each downgraded one rating tier.
Texas Senate 2026 polls show Paxton, Talarico locked in near-tie
Four House districts shifted ratings in the week ending June 28, with AZ-2 and FL-7 flipping to lean-Democratic and VA-01 moving the other way; prediction markets diverged from polling-based ratings across contested seats.
Arizona and Florida House seats flip to lean-Democratic.
Sen. Van Hollen backs El-Sayed in Michigan Democratic Senate primary.
Record 48% of Americans say U.S. too supportive of Israel, Quinnipiac finds.
Mamdani slate ousts two New York House incumbents in Tuesday primaries.
South Carolina Republicans head to governor runoff with Trump backing both candidates
Poll: Most Americans oppose legal wagering on political events
National polls put Trump's overall approval at 37% this week amid broad disapproval of his Iran policy; Georgia Republicans resolved contested Senate and gubernatorial runoffs, and TX-15 moved to tilt-Democratic.
New AP-NORC poll: 65% of Americans disapprove of Trump's Iran policy.
Georgia Republicans pick Collins or Dooley to face Ossoff in Senate runoff.
43 House districts shift toward Democrats in ratings update.
Weekly recap of 3 daily reports through 2026-06-14.
Trump loses ground with independents in new AP-NORC polling.
Maine's open governor race downgraded from safe to likely Democratic.
Becerra advances in California; Oklahoma GOP primary tightens after Trump nod.
Michigan Senate moves off the tossup line as House ratings shuffle in four districts.
Brown leads Husted 53-45 in Fox News Ohio Senate poll.
Texas Senate race tightens as Paxton-Talarico fight begins amid Trump's record-low approval.
May 2026
May 31DAILYCalifornia's wide-open governor primary tops a busy pre-election Tuesday.
Trump approval on inflation falls to record low in May polling.
Trump's inflation approval hits record -47 as House ratings shift right.
Texas Senate runoff polling shows tight race as Paxton rides Trump endorsement.
Bottoms, Drazan win primaries; Polymarket–Kalshi 2026 gov spreads widen.
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