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Daily report · Wednesday, June 10, 2026

Maine's open governor race downgraded from safe to likely Democratic.

This report covers three developments: a downgrade of Maine's open 2026 governor race from safe-Democratic to likely-Democratic in this aggregator's ratings as both parties' primaries proceed, new national polling on U.S. strikes on Iran and gas-price expectations, and a fresh AP-NORC survey showing fewer Americans view the United States as exceptional ahead of the country's 250th anniversary.

This aggregator's race ratings moved the Maine governor contest from safe-Democratic to likely-Democratic on June 8, 2026, the only rating change recorded in the prior 24 hours. The seat is open: Democratic Gov. Janet Mills is barred by term limits from seeking another term, producing wide primary fields in both parties decided under Maine's ranked-choice voting system.[1] The Democratic field includes Secretary of State Shenna Bellows, former state Senate President Troy Jackson, renewable-energy company co-founder Angus King III, former state House Speaker Hannah Pingree, and former Maine CDC official Nirav Shah.[2] On the Republican side, former State Department official Bobby Charles led the first-choice tally, with a field that also included healthcare businessman Jonathan Bush, real estate businessman David Jones, former state legislator Garrett Mason, and businessman Ben Midgley.[1][3] Maine has not elected consecutive governors from the same party in 74 years.[2]

likely-d
Current ME Governor rating
Prediction-market D-yes price history · ME Governor
Coverage of Maine's 2026 gubernatorial primary
Coverage of Maine's 2026 gubernatorial primary · Photo: NBC News
D+2.2
Forecast margin · ME Governor

A Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted over six days and reported June 9 found 36% of Americans approved of U.S. strikes on Iran, and 25% said the benefits of the strikes had been worth the costs (n=4,531, ±2.0pp).[5] On energy costs, 59% of respondents said they expected U.S. gas prices to get worse over the next year, against 17% who expected improvement.[5] The poll also recorded a generic congressional ballot of 41% for Democrats to 37% for Republicans among registered voters, and a near-even split on which party has the better economic plan (37% Republicans, 36% Democrats).[5] Separately, the Associated Press reported that the Consumer Price Index rose from 2.4% at the start of the year to 3.8% as of April amid the conflict-driven rise in gas prices.[6]

Reuters/Ipsos polling graphic on views of U.S. strikes on Iran
Reuters/Ipsos polling graphic on views of U.S. strikes on Iran · Photo: Reuters
  • 36% approved of U.S. strikes on Iran; 25% said the benefits were worth the costs.[5]
  • 59% expected gas prices to worsen over the next year; 17% expected improvement.[5]
  • Generic congressional ballot: Democrats 41%, Republicans 37% among registered voters.[5]

An Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research survey published June 8, conducted April 16-20 (n=2,596, ±2.6pp), found that about one-quarter of U.S. adults (25%) said the United States "stands above all other countries in the world," while 44% said it is among the greatest countries alongside some others, and about 3 in 10 said there are better countries than the U.S. — up from 19% in an AP-NORC poll conducted in June 2016.[7][9][10] On the American Dream, 34% said the idea that hard work lets a person get ahead still holds true, 51% said it once held true but no longer does, and 15% said it was never true.[11] The survey recorded a wide partisan gap: 57% of Republicans said the American Dream still holds, compared with 17% of Democrats, and about half of Republicans said the U.S. stands above all other countries, compared with 7% of Democrats.[9][11] Among adults under 30, 22% said the American Dream still holds.[9]

  • 25% say the U.S. stands above all other nations; 44% say it is among the greatest; about 30% say other countries are better, up from 19% in 2016.[7][10]
  • American Dream: 34% say it still holds, 51% say it once did but no longer, 15% say it never did.[11]
  • Partisan gap on the American Dream still holding: 57% of Republicans vs. 17% of Democrats.[9][11]

References

  1. [1]Maine's race for governor heads to ranked choice tallies in both primaries · NBC News
  2. [2]Live Results: Maine midterm primaries · PBS
  3. [3]Maine voters head to polls on Tuesday for closely watched primary election · The Guardian
  4. [4]Maine primary election results 2026 live updates · The Washington Post
  5. [5]Trump approval stays near record low as most Americans expect higher gas prices · Reuters
  6. [6]Inflation likely reached 3-year high last month as Iran war spikes gas prices · AP News
  7. [7]Americans Believing There Are Better Countries Than US Rises—Poll · Newsweek
  8. [8]As 250th nears, fewer Americans say US is best country in the world · USA Today
  9. [9]As America 250 approaches, fewer Americans see their country as exceptional, AP-NORC poll finds · AP News
  10. [10]As America 250 approaches, fewer Americans see their country as exceptional, AP-NORC poll finds · Chicago Tribune
  11. [11]Stunningly low percentage of adults in US think America stands above every other nation: poll · Fox News
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