State · /state/tn
Tennessee
11 active races tracked — next up, primary day on Aug 6, in 30 days. Polls, forecasts, and ratings update daily.
Active races
11
1 Sen · 1 Gov · 9 House
Next election
Aug 6
in 30 days
Most-competitive
Likely D
House · 9
State PVI
R+14
Cook-style index
Registered
—
no SoS feed
Polls · 90d
7
across 11 races
District tilt · 9 House districts
iEach shape is a 2026 congressional district, colored by our current rating of its U.S. House race. Hover a district for the matchup; click to open the race.
Shape = district · color = rating · hover for detail · click → raceLoading district map…
Each shape = 1 congressional district
Safe DLean DTossupLean RSafe R
Each district is shaded by our current rating of its 2026 U.S. House race. Hover for the matchup and rating; click a district to open the race.
Key districts · most competitive
iThe most competitive U.S. House races in the state, closest rating first.
House · 92 candidates trackedLikely DHouse · 5Chaz Molder (D) vs Andy Ogles (R)Safe RHouse · 7Vincent Dixie (D) vs Matt Van Epps (R)Safe RHouse · 4Victoria Broderick (D) vs Tom Davis (R)Safe RHouse · 3Derek Hawn (D) vs Chuck Fleischmann (R)Safe RHouse · 1Kristi Burke (D) vs Diana Harshbarger (R)Safe R
Upcoming races · 14iEvery election still ahead for this state, grouped by date — primary day, special elections, then the November general. Closest dates first.
Primary day · Aug 6
in 30 days · nominees chosen for the November ballot| Race | Candidates | Rating | D-margin | Polls · 90d | Last poll | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House · 9 · D primary | Steve Cohen · Justin Pearson | — | — | 0 | 154d ago | › |
| Governor · D primary | Jerri Green | — | — | 6 | 61d ago | › |
| Governor · R primary | Marsha Blackburn | — | — | 6 | 61d ago | › |
General election · Nov 3
in 119 days · 11 races| Race | Candidates | Rating | D-margin | Polls · 90d | Last poll | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House · 5 | Chaz Molder (D) vs Andy Ogles (R) | Safe R | -6.0 | 1 | 55d ago | › |
| House · 7 | Vincent Dixie (D) vs Matt Van Epps (R) | Safe R | — | 0 | no polls | › |
| House · 4 | Victoria Broderick (D) vs Tom Davis (R) | Safe R | — | 0 | no polls | › |
| House · 3 | Derek Hawn (D) vs Chuck Fleischmann (R) | Safe R | — | 0 | no polls | › |
| House · 9 | 2 candidates tracked | Likely D | — | 0 | 154d ago | › |
| Senate | Candidates not yet tracked | Safe R | — | 0 | no polls | › |
| Governor | Jerri Green (D) vs Marsha Blackburn (R) | Safe R | — | 6 | 61d ago | › |
| House · 1 | Kristi Burke (D) vs Diana Harshbarger (R) | Safe R | — | 0 | no polls | › |
| House · 8 | 1 candidate tracked | Safe R | — | 0 | no polls | › |
| House · 2 | Michaela Barnett (D) vs Tim Burchett (R) | Safe R | — | 0 | no polls | › |
| House · 6 | Mike Croley (D) vs Johnny Garrett (R) | Safe R | — | 0 | no polls | › |
Past races · 83iDecided races in this state across past cycles, with the winner, their party, and victory margin. Click any race for the full result.
- 2025TN-07 · House (special) · 2025Result pending
- 2024President · 2024Donald Trump(R) +29.7
- 2024Tennessee · Senate · 2024Marsha Blackburn(R) +29.6
- 2024TN-1 · House · 2024Diana Harshbarger(R) +58.7
- 2024TN-2 · House · 2024Tim Burchett(R) +38.5
- 2024TN-3 · House · 2024Chuck Fleischmann(R) +38.1
- 2024TN-4 · House · 2024Scott DesJarlais(R) +43.2
- 2024TN-5 · House · 2024Andy Ogles(R) +17.4
- 2024TN-6 · House · 2024John Rose(R) +36.0
- 2024TN-7 · House · 2024Mark Green(R) +21.4
- 2024TN-8 · House · 2024David Kustoff(R) +46.8
- 2024TN-9 · House · 2024Steve Cohen(D) +45.6
- 2022Tennessee · Governor · 2022Bill Lee(R) +32.0
- 2022TN-1 · House · 2022Diana Harshbarger(R) +58.6
- 2022TN-2 · House · 2022Tim Burchett(R) +35.8
- 2022TN-3 · House · 2022Chuck Fleischmann(R) +38.2
- 2022TN-4 · House · 2022Scott DesJarlais(R) +44.8
- 2022TN-5 · House · 2022Andy Ogles(R) +13.5
- 2022TN-6 · House · 2022John Rose(R) +32.7
- 2022TN-7 · House · 2022Mark Green(R) +21.8
- 2022TN-8 · House · 2022David Kustoff(R) +49.7
- 2022TN-9 · House · 2022Steve Cohen(D) +43.8
- 2020President · 2020Donald Trump(R) +23.2
- 2020Tennessee · Senate · 2020Bill Hagerty(R) +27.0
- 2020TN-1 · House · 2020Diana Harshbarger(R) +52.2
- 2020TN-2 · House · 2020Tim Burchett(R) +36.5
- 2020TN-3 · House · 2020Chuck Fleischmann(R) +36.8
- 2020TN-4 · House · 2020Scott DesJarlais(R) +33.4
- 2020TN-5 · House · 2020Democratic(D) +100.0
- 2020TN-6 · House · 2020John Rose(R) +49.7
- 2020TN-7 · House · 2020Mark Green(R) +42.6
- 2020TN-8 · House · 2020David Kustoff(R) +39.0
- 2020TN-9 · House · 2020Steve Cohen(D) +57.3
- 2018Tennessee · Senate · 2018Marsha Blackburn(R) +10.8
- 2018Tennessee · Governor · 2018Bill Lee(R) +21.0
- 2018TN-1 · House · 2018Phil Roe(R) +56.1
- 2018TN-2 · House · 2018Tim Burchett(R) +32.8
- 2018TN-3 · House · 2018Chuck Fleischmann(R) +29.2
- 2018TN-4 · House · 2018Scott DesJarlais(R) +29.8
- 2018TN-5 · House · 2018Jim Cooper(D) +35.6
- 2018TN-6 · House · 2018John Rose(R) +41.2
- 2018TN-7 · House · 2018Mark Green(R) +34.8
- 2018TN-8 · House · 2018David Kustoff(R) +37.6
- 2018TN-9 · House · 2018Steve Cohen(D) +60.8
- 2016President · 2016Donald Trump(R) +26.0
- 2016TN-1 · House · 2016Phil Roe(R) +63.0
- 2016TN-2 · House · 2016 Jr."(R) +51.2
- 2016TN-3 · House · 2016Chuck Fleischmann(R) +37.5
- 2016TN-4 · House · 2016Scott DesJarlais(R) +30.0
- 2016TN-5 · House · 2016Jim Cooper(D) +25.2
- 2016TN-6 · House · 2016Diane Black(R) +49.3
- 2016TN-7 · House · 2016Marsha Blackburn(R) +48.7
- 2016TN-8 · House · 2016David Kustoff(R) +43.6
- 2016TN-9 · House · 2016Steve Cohen(D) +59.8
- 2014Tennessee · Senate · 2014Lamar Alexander(R) +30.0
- 2014Tennessee · Governor · 2014Bill Haslam(R) +47.5
- 2014TN-1 · House · 2014Phil Roe(R) +75.7
- 2014TN-2 · House · 2014Jimmy Duncan(R) +49.9
- 2014TN-3 · House · 2014Chuck Fleischmann(R) +27.7
- 2014TN-4 · House · 2014Scott DesJarlais(R) +23.0
- 2014TN-5 · House · 2014Jim Cooper(D) +26.6
- 2014TN-6 · House · 2014Diane Black(R) +48.1
- 2014TN-7 · House · 2014Marsha Blackburn(R) +43.2
- 2014TN-8 · House · 2014Stephen Fincher(R) +46.2
- 2014TN-9 · House · 2014Steve Cohen(D) +51.7
- 2012President · 2012Mitt Romney(R) +34.5
- 2012Tennessee · Senate · 2012Bob Corker(R) +34.5
- 2012TN-1 · House · 2012Phil Roe(R) +56.1
- 2012TN-2 · House · 2012Jimmy Duncan(R) +53.8
- 2012TN-3 · House · 2012Chuck Fleischmann(R) +26.1
- 2012TN-4 · House · 2012Scott DesJarlais(R) +11.5
- 2012TN-5 · House · 2012Jim Cooper(D) +32.4
- 2012TN-6 · House · 2012Diane Black(R) +62.0
- 2012TN-7 · House · 2012Marsha Blackburn(R) +47.0
- 2012TN-8 · House · 2012Stephen Fincher(R) +39.9
- 2012TN-9 · House · 2012Steve Cohen(D) +51.3
- 2010Tennessee · Governor · 2010Bill Haslam(R) +31.9
- 2008President · 2008John McCain(R) +33.5
- 2008Tennessee · Senate · 2008Lamar Alexander(R) +33.5
- 2006Tennessee · Senate · 2006Bob Corker(R) +2.7
- 2006Tennessee · Governor · 2006Phil Bredesen(D) +38.9
- 2004President · 2004George W. Bush(R) +14.3
- 2002Tennessee · Senate · 2002Lamar Alexander(R) +9.9
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