Races · house · 2024 · TN
house · open seat
Maryam Abolfazli vs Andy Ogles
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
Verified Likely R
likely-r
Money in this race
FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2024-11-19Total IE spending
$3.2M
For candidates
$3.1M
Against candidates
$149K
Latest filing: 11/19/2024
Source: FEC Schedule E
Source: FEC Schedule E
$1.6M for ·
$142K against
Cash on hand
$13K
Total raised (cycle)
$982K
Total spent
$969K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $1.6M for CONSERVATIVES WITH CHARACTER, INC. Super PAC
- $107K against HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION Super PAC
- $30K against VOLUNTEERS FOR FREEDOM PAC Super PAC
- $5K for HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION Super PAC
- $5K against GUN RIGHTS AMERICA Super PAC
Andy Ogles (R)
$1.4M for ·
$0 against
Cash on hand
$62K
Total raised (cycle)
$986K
Total spent
$1.0M
Debts
$20K
Source: FEC
- $1.1M for AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION Super PAC
- $243K for HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION Super PAC
- $60K for VOLUNTEERS FOR FREEDOM PAC Super PAC
- $26K for CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC PAC
- $24K for GUN RIGHTS AMERICA Super PAC
Maryam Abolfazli (D)
$0 for ·
$7K against
Cash on hand
$0
Total raised (cycle)
$429K
Total spent
$429K
Debts
$0
Source: FEC
- $7K against GUN RIGHTS AMERICA Super PAC
Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).
last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
- 5/6/2026 Likely R via pvi