State · /state/ky
Kentucky
7 active races tracked — next up, general election on Nov 3, in 119 days. Polls, forecasts, and ratings update daily.
Active races
7
1 Sen · 6 House
Next election
Nov 3
in 119 days
Most-competitive
Safe R
Senate
State PVI
R+16
Cook-style index
Registered
3.4M
state_sos
Polls · 90d
17
across 7 races
District tilt · 6 House districts
iEach shape is a 2026 congressional district, colored by our current rating of its U.S. House race. Hover a district for the matchup; click to open the race.
Shape = district · color = rating · hover for detail · click → raceLoading district map…
Each shape = 1 congressional district
Safe DLean DTossupLean RSafe R
Each district is shaded by our current rating of its 2026 U.S. House race. Hover for the matchup and rating; click a district to open the race.
Key districts · most competitive
iThe most competitive U.S. House races in the state, closest rating first.
Upcoming races · 7iEvery election still ahead for this state, grouped by date — primary day, special elections, then the November general. Closest dates first.
General election · Nov 3
in 119 days · 7 races| Race | Candidates | Rating | D-margin | Polls · 90d | Last poll | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House · 6 | Zach Dembo (D) vs Ralph Alvarado (R)· watch | Safe R | 0.0 | 7 | 61d ago | › |
| House · 3 | 2 candidates tracked | Safe D | — | 0 | no polls | › |
| Senate | Charles Booker (D) vs Andy Barr (R) | Safe R | — | 2 | 57d ago | › |
| House · 2 | William Compton (D) vs Joshua Ferguson (R) | Safe R | — | 0 | no polls | › |
| House · 4 | 2 candidates tracked | Safe R | — | 8 | 50d ago | › |
| House · 1 | Drew Williams (D) vs James Comer (R) | Safe R | — | 0 | no polls | › |
| House · 5 | Ned Pillersdorf (D) vs Hal Rogers (R) | Safe R | — | 0 | no polls | › |
Voter registration iRegistered voters by party from the state's latest Secretary-of-State report, with the change since the prior cycle. States that don't register by party are omitted.
state_sos · May 2026| Affiliation | Registered | % | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 1,370,786 | 40.6% | — |
| Unaffiliated | 176,835 | 5.2% | — |
| Republican | 1,620,173 | 48.0% | — |
| Other | 204,734 | 6.1% | — |
Past races · 56iDecided races in this state across past cycles, with the winner, their party, and victory margin. Click any race for the full result.
- 2024President · 2024Donald Trump(R) +30.5
- 2024KY-1 · House · 2024James Comer(R) +49.4
- 2024KY-2 · House · 2024Brett Guthrie(R) +46.2
- 2024KY-3 · House · 2024Morgan McGarvey(D) +23.9
- 2024KY-4 · House · 2024Result pending
- 2024KY-5 · House · 2024Result pending
- 2024KY-6 · House · 2024Andy Barr(R) +26.0
- 2022Kentucky · Senate · 2022Rand Paul(R) +23.6
- 2022KY-1 · House · 2022James Comer(R) +49.8
- 2022KY-2 · House · 2022Brett Guthrie(R) +60.2
- 2022KY-3 · House · 2022Morgan McGarvey(D) +24.0
- 2022KY-4 · House · 2022Thomas Massie(R) +34.0
- 2022KY-5 · House · 2022Hal Rogers(R) +64.4
- 2022KY-6 · House · 2022Andy Barr(R) +29.1
- 2020President · 2020Donald Trump(R) +19.5
- 2020Kentucky · Senate · 2020Mitch McConnell(R) +19.5
- 2020KY-1 · House · 2020James Comer(R) +50.0
- 2020KY-2 · House · 2020Brett Guthrie(R) +44.6
- 2020KY-3 · House · 2020John Yarmuth(D) +25.4
- 2020KY-4 · House · 2020Thomas Massie(R) +34.2
- 2020KY-5 · House · 2020Hal Rogers(R) +68.4
- 2020KY-6 · House · 2020Andy Barr(R) +16.3
- 2018KY-1 · House · 2018James Comer(R) +37.2
- 2018KY-2 · House · 2018Brett Guthrie(R) +35.6
- 2018KY-3 · House · 2018John Yarmuth(D) +25.5
- 2018KY-4 · House · 2018Thomas Massie(R) +27.6
- 2018KY-5 · House · 2018Hal Rogers(R) +57.9
- 2018KY-6 · House · 2018Andy Barr(R) +3.2
- 2016President · 2016Donald Trump(R) +29.8
- 2016Kentucky · Senate · 2016Rand Paul(R) +14.5
- 2016KY-1 · House · 2016James Comer(R) +45.3
- 2016KY-2 · House · 2016Result pending
- 2016KY-3 · House · 2016John Yarmuth(D) +27.0
- 2016KY-4 · House · 2016Thomas Massie(R) +42.6
- 2016KY-5 · House · 2016Result pending
- 2016KY-6 · House · 2016Andy Barr(R) +22.2
- 2014Kentucky · Senate · 2014Mitch McConnell(R) +15.5
- 2014KY-1 · House · 2014Ed Whitfield(R) +46.2
- 2014KY-2 · House · 2014Brett Guthrie(R) +38.4
- 2014KY-3 · House · 2014John Yarmuth(D) +27.9
- 2014KY-4 · House · 2014Thomas Massie(R) +35.4
- 2014KY-5 · House · 2014Hal Rogers(R) +56.6
- 2014KY-6 · House · 2014Andy Barr(R) +20.0
- 2012President · 2012Mitt Romney(R) +22.7
- 2012KY-1 · House · 2012Ed Whitfield(R) +39.2
- 2012KY-2 · House · 2012Brett Guthrie(R) +32.6
- 2012KY-3 · House · 2012John Yarmuth(D) +29.5
- 2012KY-4 · House · 2012Thomas Massie(R) +27.1
- 2012KY-5 · House · 2012Hal Rogers(R) +55.8
- 2012KY-6 · House · 2012Andy Barr(R) +3.9
- 2010Kentucky · Senate · 2010Rand Paul(R) +11.5
- 2008President · 2008John McCain(R) +5.9
- 2008Kentucky · Senate · 2008Mitch McConnell(R) +5.9
- 2004President · 2004George W. Bush(R) +1.3
- 2004Kentucky · Senate · 2004Jim Bunning(R) +1.3
- 2002Kentucky · Senate · 2002Mitch McConnell(R) +29.4
Other competitive states
iNearby battleground states, ranked by their most competitive 2026 race. Click through to that state's page.
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