Pollster · 214 of 1053

Research Co.

GRADE A− NEUTRAL LEAN
↗ Wikipedia
Polls scored
59
Mean error
4.0 pt
Signed bias
D+1.50
Aggregation weight
1.01
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components
69
of 100 · tier · strong

Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.

Aggregator weight 50
Verification rate 64
Sample size median 45
Citation rate 100
Outlier rate (inv.) 100
Rater alignment 95
Pollster vs editorial consensus
aligned

Across 53 graded races, Research Co.'s released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -0.7pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.

Mean delta
-0.7pp
Median delta
-1.0pp
Std-dev
5.5pp
N graded
53
Sample races (links to detail):
us-governor-2024-mous-governor-2024-waus-senate-2024-fl
Recent activity
Total all time
59
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0

Last poll 11/3/2024 (552d ago) · status dormant

Per-cycle debrief appearances
Cycle Rank Polls MAE Signed bias
2024 #16 / 26 11 4.47 pt D+4.47 pp
2022 #10 / 36 18 2.99 pt D+0.55 pp
2020 #19 / 20 3 8.65 pt D+8.65 pp
2018 #8 / 25 17 3.87 pt R+0.69 pp
Recent polls