State · /state/vt
Vermont
2 active races tracked — next up, primary day on Aug 11, in 35 days. Polls, forecasts, and ratings update daily.
Active races
2
1 Gov · 1 House
Next election
Aug 11
in 35 days
Most-competitive
Safe R
Governor
State PVI
D+14
Cook-style index
Registered
—
no SoS feed
Polls · 90d
6
across 2 races
District tilt · 1 House districts
iEach shape is a 2026 congressional district, colored by our current rating of its U.S. House race. Hover a district for the matchup; click to open the race.
Shape = district · color = rating · hover for detail · click → raceLoading district map…
Each shape = 1 congressional district
Safe DLean DTossupLean RSafe R
Each district is shaded by our current rating of its 2026 U.S. House race. Hover for the matchup and rating; click a district to open the race.
Key districts · most competitive
iThe most competitive U.S. House races in the state, closest rating first.
Upcoming races · 3iEvery election still ahead for this state, grouped by date — primary day, special elections, then the November general. Closest dates first.
Primary day · Aug 11
in 35 days · nominees chosen for the November ballot| Race | Candidates | Rating | D-margin | Polls · 90d | Last poll | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor · D primary | Amanda Janoo · Aly Richards· watch | — | — | 6 | 7d ago | › |
General election · Nov 3
in 119 days · 2 races| Race | Candidates | Rating | D-margin | Polls · 90d | Last poll | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | Amanda Janoo (D) vs Phil Scott (R)· watch | Safe R | -15.0 | 6 | 7d ago | › |
| House · AL | Candidates not yet tracked | Safe D | — | 0 | no polls | › |
Ballot measures · 2iStatewide ballot questions for this state, with polling or the certified result. Sourced from Wikipedia and Ballotpedia.
Source · Wikipedia · BallotpediaVT 2Passed
Amends the Vermont Constitution to ban slavery as punishment for a crime .
No public polling yet
VT 5Passed
Amends the Vermont Constitution to add a right to reproductive autonomy .
No public polling yet
Past races · 31iDecided races in this state across past cycles, with the winner, their party, and victory margin. Click any race for the full result.
- 2024President · 2024Kamala Harris(D) +31.5
- 2024Vermont · Senate · 2024Bernie Sanders(I) +31.1
- 2024Vermont · Governor · 2024Phil Scott(R) +51.6
- 2024VT at-large · House · 2024Becca Balint(D) +32.5
- 2022Vermont · Senate · 2022Peter Welch(D) +40.4
- 2022Vermont · Governor · 2022Phil Scott(R) +47.0
- 2022VT at-large · House · 2022Becca Balint(D) +33.6
- 2020President · 2020Joe Biden(D) +40.3
- 2020VT at-large · House · 2020Peter Welch(D) +40.3
- 2018Vermont · Senate · 2018Bernie Sanders(I) +40.0
- 2018Vermont · Governor · 2018Phil Scott(R) +14.9
- 2018VT at-large · House · 2018Peter Welch(D) +43.3
- 2016President · 2016Hillary Rodham Clinton(D) +26.4
- 2016Vermont · Senate · 2016Patrick Leahy(D) +28.2
- 2016Vermont · Governor · 2016Phil Scott(R) +8.7
- 2016VT at-large · House · 2016Peter Welch(D) +100.0
- 2014Vermont · Governor · 2014Peter Shumlin(D) +1.3
- 2014VT at-large · House · 2014Peter Welch(D) +33.4
- 2012President · 2012Result pending
- 2012Vermont · Senate · 2012Bernie Sanders(I) +46.1
- 2012Vermont · Governor · 2012Peter Shumlin(D) +20.3
- 2012VT at-large · House · 2012Peter Welch(D) +48.7
- 2010Vermont · Senate · 2010Patrick Leahy(D) +33.4
- 2010Vermont · Governor · 2010Peter Shumlin(D) +1.8
- 2008President · 2008Barack Obama(D) +37.0
- 2008Vermont · Governor · 2008Jim Douglas(R) +31.6
- 2006Vermont · Senate · 2006Bernie Sanders(I) +33.0
- 2006Vermont · Governor · 2006Scudder Parker(D) +8.7
- 2004President · 2004John Kerry(D) +20.1
- 2004Vermont · Senate · 2004Patrick Leahy(D) +46.1
- 2004Vermont · Governor · 2004Jim Douglas ( inc. )(R) +20.8
Other competitive states
iNearby battleground states, ranked by their most competitive 2026 race. Click through to that state's page.
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