Pollster · 260 of 1769
Wick Insights
Polls scored
12
Mean error
4.7 pt
Signed bias
R+3.75
Aggregation weight
0.69
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components77
of 100 · tier · strong
Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
alignedAcross 17 graded races, Wick Insights's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -0.6pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
-0.6pp
Median delta
-2.0pp
Std-dev
5.6pp
N graded
17
Recent activity
Total all time
18
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | #27 / 36 | 9 | 5.76 pt | R+4.53 pp |
Recent polls
- 11/4/2022New Hampshire · Governor · 2022Chris Sununu 53.0 · Tom Sherman 43.0
- 11/4/2022New Hampshire · Senate · 2022Maggie Hassan 48.0 · Don Bolduc 48.0
- 10/29/2022Arizona · Governor · 2022Kari Lake 49.0 · Katie Hobbs 47.0
- 10/29/2022Michigan · Governor · 2022Gretchen Whitmer 49.0 · Tudor Dixon 47.0
- 10/29/2022Wisconsin · Governor · 2022Tony Evers 47.0 · Tim Michels 48.0
- 10/29/2022Arizona · Senate · 2022Mark Kelly 49.0 · Blake Masters 47.0
- 10/29/2022Wisconsin · Senate · 2022Ron Johnson 50.0 · Mandela Barnes 46.0
- 10/26/2022Pennsylvania · Governor · 2022Josh Shapiro 49.0 · Doug Mastriano 43.0
- 10/26/2022Pennsylvania · Senate · 2022Mehmet Oz 48.0 · John Fetterman 46.0
- 10/13/2022Arizona · Governor · 2022Kari Lake 47.0 · Katie Hobbs 47.0