Pollster · 221 of 1053

AtlasIntel

GRADE A+ NEUTRAL LEAN
↗ official site ↗ Wikipedia
Polls scored
42
Mean error
1.9 pt
Signed bias
D+0.31
Aggregation weight
2.09
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components
96
of 100 · tier · elite

Top-tier across most dimensions. Elite signal among the 42 polls scored.

Aggregator weight 100
Verification rate 100
Sample size median 100
Citation rate 100
Outlier rate (inv.) 100
Rater alignment 70
Pollster vs editorial consensus
r-lean

Across 41 graded races, AtlasIntel's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -4.0pp. That's a measurable R-lean vs the consensus.

Mean delta
-4.0pp
Median delta
-3.0pp
Std-dev
2.9pp
N graded
41
Sample races (links to detail):
us-governor-2024-ncus-governor-2024-ncus-governor-2024-nc
Recent activity
Total all time
42
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0

Last poll 11/4/2024 (551d ago) · status dormant

Per-cycle debrief appearances
Cycle Rank Polls MAE Signed bias
2024 #5 / 26 29 1.84 pt D+0.45 pp
Recent polls