Pollster · 152 of 1769
AtlasIntel
Polls scored
10
Mean error
1.9 pt
Signed bias
R+0.17
Aggregation weight
2.09
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components88
of 100 · tier · elite
Top-tier across most measured dimensions. Elite signal among the 10 polls scored.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
r-leanAcross 41 graded races, AtlasIntel's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -4.0pp. That's a measurable R-lean vs the consensus.
Mean delta
-4.0pp
Median delta
-3.0pp
Std-dev
2.9pp
N graded
41
Recent activity
Total all time
53
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | #5 / 26 | 29 | 1.84 pt | D+0.45 pp |
Recent polls
- 11/3/2024North Carolina · Governor · 2024Josh Stein 54.0 · Mark Robinson 38.0
- 11/3/2024Arizona · Senate · 2024Ruben Gallego 48.0 · Kari Lake 48.0
- 11/3/2024Michigan · Senate · 2024Elissa Slotkin 49.0 · Mike Rogers 48.0
- 11/3/2024Minnesota · Senate · 2024Royce White 41.0
- 11/3/2024Montana · Senate · 2024Jon Tester 39.0 · Tim Sheehy 50.0
- 11/3/2024Nevada · Senate · 2024Jacky Rosen 48.0 · Sam Brown 43.0
- 11/3/2024Ohio · Senate · 2024Sherrod Brown 46.0 · Bernie Moreno 49.0
- 11/3/2024Pennsylvania · Senate · 2024Bob Casey Jr. 49.0 · Dave McCormick 47.0
- 11/3/2024Texas · Senate · 2024Ted Cruz 53.0 · Colin Allred 46.0
- 11/3/2024Virginia · Senate · 2024Tim Kaine 53.0 · Hung Cao 44.0