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Pollster · 360 of 1769

Gravis Marketing

GRADE DWEIGHT TIER T5D-LEAN</> Embed
Polls scored
55
Mean error
6.6 pt
Signed bias
D+1.08
Aggregation weight
0.72
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components
54
of 100 · tier · moderate

Moderate quality. Worth checking individual signals before relying on this pollster's headline.

Aggregator weight36
Verification rate4
Sample size median100
Citation rate65
Outlier rate (inv.)not yet measured
Rater alignment99
Pollster vs editorial consensus
aligned

Across 41 graded races, Gravis Marketing's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +0.1pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.

Mean delta
+0.1pp
Median delta
-0.5pp
Std-dev
5.7pp
N graded
41
Recent activity
Total all time
378
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
1

Last poll 2/4/2026 (152d ago)· status slow

Per-cycle debrief appearances
CycleRankPollsMAESigned bias
2020#4 / 2044.84 ptD+4.84 pp
2018#10 / 25174.19 ptD+2.67 pp
2016#17 / 1957.75 ptD+7.75 pp
2014#20 / 2147.71 ptD+4.03 pp
2012#11 / 1237.64 ptR+7.64 pp
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