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Races · President · 2020 · Ohio
President · open seat

Ohio President

Lean R polls· 32 polls · 0 markets
Where this race stands
Verified

Lean R

No recent polls or markets for this race. PVI baseline (R+6) suggests Lean R.

CITATIONS · lean-r

Polling average

404448525660TRUMP 48.2BIDEN 46.7SEP '20OCT '20OCT '20
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.

All polls · 32 results

strongpositiveinfocautionflag
DatePollster · trust signalsn · popLeanBias · trackvs ratersD · R
Oct 30Civiqs1,136 · unknownD-LEAND +2.522 tracked+4.0d lean
Oct 30Research Co.450 · unknownNEUTRALD +1.450 tracked-0.7aligned
Oct 30Rasmussen Reports800 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.9124 tracked-0.9aligned
Oct 29Emerson College656 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.7118 tracked+0.8aligned
Oct 29Trafalgar Group1,041 · unknownR-LEANR +2.16 tracked-4.1r lean
Oct 29Quinnipiac University1,440 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.454 tracked+1.1aligned
Oct 28AtlasIntel660 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.330 tracked-4.0r lean
Oct 28Swayable516 · unknownD-LEAND +7.817 tracked+2.5d lean
Oct 26Gravis Marketing613 · unknownD-LEAND +2.933 tracked+0.1aligned
Oct 26Wick1,000 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 25Morning Consult+12,179 · unknownD-LEAND +5.230 tracked+1.8aligned
Oct 25SurveyMonkey+26,025 · unknownD-LEAND +6.4240 tracked+2.2noisy
Oct 24Quinnipiac University1,186 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.454 tracked+1.1aligned
Oct 24Swayable440 · unknownD-LEAND +7.817 tracked+2.5d lean
Oct 18Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research1,018 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 18Citizen Data1,000 · unknownNEUTRALD +6.63 tracked
Oct 17Rasmussen Reports800 · unknownNEUTRALR +1.9124 tracked-0.9aligned
Oct 14Morning Consult+12,271 · unknownD-LEAND +5.230 tracked+1.8aligned
Oct 9Quinnipiac University1,160 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.454 tracked+1.1aligned
Oct 9Civiqs586 · unknownD-LEAND +2.522 tracked+4.0d lean
Oct 4SurveyMonkey+26,376 · unknownD-LEAND +6.4240 tracked+2.2noisy
Oct 3The New York Times/Siena College661 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 3Baldwin Wallace University Community Research Institute1,009 · unknownNEUTRAL
Oct 1Trafalgar Group1,035 · unknownR-LEANR +2.16 tracked-4.1r lean
Sep 30YouGov1,114 · unknownD-LEAND +3.423 tracked+2.2d lean
Sep 29OnMessage Inc.800 · unknownNEUTRALR +0.25 tracked-4.1r lean
Sep 25Garin Hart Yang Research Group *400 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 21Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research830 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 18Quinnipiac University1,085 · unknownNEUTRALD +0.454 tracked+1.1aligned
Sep 14Baldwin Wallace University Community Research Institute1,011 · unknownNEUTRAL
Sep 12Civiqs556 · unknownD-LEAND +2.522 tracked+4.0d lean
Sep 12SurveyMonkey+23,092 · unknownD-LEAND +6.4240 tracked+2.2noisy
· 32 polls · 10 per page

Endorsements · 0 total

Source · Wikipedia · 2 candidates with no endorsements yet
DEMJoe Biden0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.
REPDonald Trump0 endorsers
no endorsers yet
No endorsements found yet. Endorsements come from the candidate's Wikipedia article (when one exists) and update with the daily scrape.

Money raised · own committees

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2021-02-25
Joe BidenP80000722 ↗
Receipts
$1.1B
Disburse
$1.1B
Cash on hand
$260.5K
Debts
$0
No industry data.
No contributor data.
Donald TrumpP80001571 ↗
Receipts
$744.4M
Disburse
$752.9M
Cash on hand
$10.7M
Debts
$2.7M
No industry data.
No contributor data.

Outside spending · independent expenditures

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · 24/48-hr IE reports
IE total
$8.1M
D side
$7.8M · 96%
R side
$353.6K · 4%
Top spender
PRIORITIES USA ACTION
For / against split
For Biden $6.0M
Against Trump $1.8M
Against Biden $22.7K
For Trump $330.9K
SpenderSideAmountShareTarget
PRIORITIES USA ACTIOND$2.8M35%for Joe Biden
UNITE HERE PACD$953.8K12%for Joe Biden
FOR OUR FUTURED$952.5K12%against Donald Trump
VOTE NURSES VALUES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE: CALIFORNIA NURSES ASSOCIATIOND$729.8K9%for Joe Biden
PROGRESSNOW AZ - FEDERALD$714.3K9%for Joe Biden
UNIDOSUS ACTION PACD$495.9K6%for Joe Biden
SAFE AND SECURE AMERICA PACR$286.6K4%for Donald Trump
PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESD$250.0K3%against Donald Trump
MIJENTE PACD$74.2K1%against Donald Trump

Demographic crosstabs

age · education · race · gender
No demographic crosstabs published for this race yet. Most pollsters release only topline numbers; subgroup breakdowns (age, education, race, gender) appear here when a pollster publishes them.
Rating timeline
May 13, 2026lean-rpvi
Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 32deterministic
Polls flaggednone
Markets ingested0 platformsnone listed
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2021-02-25
Endorsementsnothing to sync
News coverage< 5 articlesGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks