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Pollster · 389 of 1769

Civiqs/Daily Kos

GRADE CWEIGHT TIER T4D-LEAN</> Embed
Polls scored
11
Mean error
5.7 pt
Signed bias
D+5.49
Aggregation weight
0.91
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components
78
of 100 · tier · strong

Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.

Aggregator weight45
Verification rate100
Sample size median89
Citation rate100
Outlier rate (inv.)not yet measured
Rater alignment93
Pollster vs editorial consensus
aligned

Across 9 graded races, Civiqs/Daily Kos's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -0.9pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.

Mean delta
-0.9pp
Median delta
+1.0pp
Std-dev
5.9pp
N graded
9
Recent activity
Total all time
18
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0

Last poll 10/31/2020 (2074d ago)· status dormant

Per-cycle debrief appearances
CycleRankPollsMAESigned bias
2020#2 / 2054.42 ptD+3.98 pp
Recent polls