Pollster · 389 of 1769
Civiqs/Daily Kos
Polls scored
11
Mean error
5.7 pt
Signed bias
D+5.49
Aggregation weight
0.91
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components78
of 100 · tier · strong
Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
alignedAcross 9 graded races, Civiqs/Daily Kos's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -0.9pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
-0.9pp
Median delta
+1.0pp
Std-dev
5.9pp
N graded
9
Recent activity
Total all time
18
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | #2 / 20 | 5 | 4.42 pt | D+3.98 pp |
Recent polls
- 10/31/2020Iowa · Senate · 2020Joni Ernst 47.0 · Theresa Greenfield 50.0
- 10/25/2020Mississippi · Senate · 2020Cindy Hyde-Smith 52.0 · Mike Espy 44.0
- 10/19/2020Minnesota · Senate · 2020Jason Lewis 43.0
- 10/13/2020Colorado · Senate · 2020Cory Gardner 42.0 · John Hickenlooper 53.0
- 10/13/2020North Carolina · Senate · 2020Thom Tillis 45.0 · Cal Cunningham 51.0 · Shannon Bray 2.0
- 10/13/2020Virginia · Senate · 2020Mark Warner 54.0 · Daniel Gade 43.0
- 10/5/2020Iowa · Senate · 2020Joni Ernst 46.0 · Theresa Greenfield 49.0
- 10/5/2020Texas · Senate · 2020John Cornyn 47.0 · MJ Hegar 46.0
- 9/28/2020Kansas · Senate · 2020Roger Marshall 50.0 · Barbara Bollier 43.0
- 9/28/2020Oregon · Senate · 2020Jeff Merkley 55.0 · Jo Rae Perkins 35.0