Pollster · 257 of 1769
Civiqs
Polls scored
26
Mean error
3.8 pt
Signed bias
D+2.58
Aggregation weight
0.99
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components58
of 100 · tier · moderate
Moderate quality. Worth checking individual signals before relying on this pollster's headline.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
d-leanAcross 32 graded races, Civiqs's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +4.0pp. That's a measurable D-lean vs the consensus.
Mean delta
+4.0pp
Median delta
+3.8pp
Std-dev
7.9pp
N graded
32
Recent activity
Total all time
79
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | #21 / 36 | 22 | 4.02 pt | D+2.54 pp |
Recent polls
- 11/6/2022Ohio · Governor · 2022Mike DeWine 53.0 · Nan Whaley 39.0
- 11/6/2022Wisconsin · Governor · 2022Tony Evers 51.0 · Tim Michels 48.0
- 11/6/2022Indiana · Senate · 2022Todd Young 49.0 · Thomas McDermott Jr. 38.0
- 11/6/2022Missouri · Senate · 2022Eric Schmitt 55.0 · Trudy Busch Valentine 40.0
- 11/6/2022Ohio · Senate · 2022JD Vance 51.0 · Tim Ryan 46.0
- 11/6/2022Wisconsin · Senate · 2022Ron Johnson 50.0 · Mandela Barnes 49.0
- 11/5/2022Wisconsin · Senate · 2022Mandela Barnes 49.0 · Ron Johnson 50.0
- 11/5/2022Ohio · Senate · 2022Tim Ryan 46.0 · J.D. Vance 51.0
- 11/5/2022Indiana · Senate · 2022Thomas McDermott 38.0 · Todd Young 49.0
- 11/5/2022Missouri · Senate · 2022Trudy Busch Valentine 40.0 · Eric Schmitt 55.0