Pollster · 326 of 1053

Civiqs

GRADE B+ D-LEAN
↗ official site ↗ methodology ↗ Wikipedia
Polls scored
33
Mean error
4.0 pt
Signed bias
D+2.54
Aggregation weight
0.99
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components
76
of 100 · tier · strong

Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.

Aggregator weight 50
Verification rate 97
Sample size median 71
Citation rate 100
Outlier rate (inv.) 100
Rater alignment 70
Pollster vs editorial consensus
d-lean

Across 32 graded races, Civiqs's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +4.0pp. That's a measurable D-lean vs the consensus.

Mean delta
+4.0pp
Median delta
+3.8pp
Std-dev
7.9pp
N graded
32
Sample races (links to detail):
us-governor-2022-azus-governor-2022-cous-governor-2022-fl
Recent activity
Total all time
33
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0

Last poll 11/7/2022 (1279d ago) · status dormant

Per-cycle debrief appearances
Cycle Rank Polls MAE Signed bias
2022 #22 / 36 22 4.02 pt D+2.54 pp
Recent polls