State · /state/hi
Hawaii
3 active races tracked — next up, primary day on Aug 8, in 32 days. Polls, forecasts, and ratings update daily.
Active races
3
1 Gov · 2 House
Next election
Aug 8
in 32 days
Most-competitive
Safe D
Governor
State PVI
D+14
Cook-style index
Registered
861K
state_sos
Polls · 90d
0
across 3 races
District tilt · 2 House districts
iEach shape is a 2026 congressional district, colored by our current rating of its U.S. House race. Hover a district for the matchup; click to open the race.
Shape = district · color = rating · hover for detail · click → raceLoading district map…
Each shape = 1 congressional district
Safe DLean DTossupLean RSafe R
Each district is shaded by our current rating of its 2026 U.S. House race. Hover for the matchup and rating; click a district to open the race.
Key districts · most competitive
iThe most competitive U.S. House races in the state, closest rating first.
Upcoming races · 4iEvery election still ahead for this state, grouped by date — primary day, special elections, then the November general. Closest dates first.
Primary day · Aug 8
in 32 days · nominees chosen for the November ballot| Race | Candidates | Rating | D-margin | Polls · 90d | Last poll | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House · 1 · D primary | Ed Case + 3 more | — | — | 0 | 266d ago | › |
General election · Nov 3
in 119 days · 3 races| Race | Candidates | Rating | D-margin | Polls · 90d | Last poll | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| House · 1 | 4 candidates tracked | Safe D | — | 0 | 266d ago | › |
| House · 2 | Jill Tokuda (D) vs Brenton Awa (R) | Safe D | — | 0 | no polls | › |
| Governor | Joshua Green (D) vs Gary Cordery (R) | Safe D | — | 0 | no polls | › |
Voter registration iRegistered voters by party from the state's latest Secretary-of-State report, with the change since the prior cycle. States that don't register by party are omitted.
state_sos · November 2024| Affiliation | Registered | % | vs prior |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | — | — | — |
| Unaffiliated | 860,868 | 100.0% | — |
| Republican | — | — | — |
| Other | — | — | — |
Past races · 34iDecided races in this state across past cycles, with the winner, their party, and victory margin. Click any race for the full result.
- 2024President · 2024Kamala Harris(D) +23.1
- 2024Hawaii · Senate · 2024Mazie Hirono(D) +32.7
- 2024HI-1 · House · 2024Ed Case(D) +43.6
- 2024HI-2 · House · 2024Jill Tokuda(D) +36.3
- 2022Hawaii · Senate · 2022Brian Schatz(D) +45.2
- 2022Hawaii · Governor · 2022Josh Green Sylvia Luke(D) +26.3
- 2022HI-1 · House · 2022Ed Case(D) +47.4
- 2022HI-2 · House · 2022Jill Tokuda(D) +26.9
- 2020President · 2020Joe Biden(D) +29.5
- 2020HI-1 · House · 2020Ed Case(D) +44.0
- 2020HI-2 · House · 2020Kai Kahele(D) +32.1
- 2018Hawaii · Senate · 2018Mazie Hirono(D) +42.3
- 2018Hawaii · Governor · 2018David Ige(D) +29.0
- 2018HI-1 · House · 2018Ed Case(D) +50.0
- 2018HI-2 · House · 2018Tulsi Gabbard(D) +54.8
- 2016President · 2016Hillary Rodham Clinton(D) +32.2
- 2016Hawaii · Senate · 2016Brian Schatz(D) +51.4
- 2016HI-1 · House · 2016Colleen Hanabusa(D) +49.2
- 2016HI-2 · House · 2016Tulsi Gabbard(D) +62.4
- 2014Hawaii · Senate (special) · 2014Brian Schatz(D) +42.1
- 2014Hawaii · Governor · 2014David Ige(D) +12.4
- 2014HI-1 · House · 2014Mark Takai(D) +3.8
- 2014HI-2 · House · 2014Tulsi Gabbard(D) +60.1
- 2012President · 2012Barack Obama(D) +25.2
- 2012Hawaii · Senate · 2012Mazie Hirono(D) +25.2
- 2012HI-1 · House · 2012Colleen Hanabusa(D) +9.2
- 2012HI-2 · House · 2012Tulsi Gabbard(D) +61.0
- 2010Hawaii · Senate · 2010Daniel Inouye(D) +53.2
- 2010Hawaii · Governor · 2010Neil Abercrombie(D) +17.1
- 2008President · 2008Barack Obama(D) +45.3
- 2006Hawaii · Senate · 2006Daniel Akaka(D) +24.6
- 2006Hawaii · Governor · 2006Linda Lingle(R) +27.2
- 2004President · 2004John Kerry(D) +8.7
- 2004Hawaii · Senate · 2004Daniel Inouye(D) +54.5
Other competitive states
iNearby battleground states, ranked by their most competitive 2026 race. Click through to that state's page.
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