Races · house · 2020 · HI
house · open seat

Ed Case vs Ron Curtis

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Likely D — · 0 polls · 0 markets Rating 1d ago
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet

The last rating change here was 1d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.

Where this race stands
Verified

Likely D

likely-d

Money in this race

FEC Schedule E (independent expenditures) + candidate-committee totals · last filing 2020-11-20
Total IE spending
$5K
For candidates
$5K
Against candidates
$115
Latest filing: 11/20/2020
Source: FEC Schedule E
Ed Case (D)
$5K for · $0 against
Cash on hand
$117K
Total raised (cycle)
$606K
Total spent
$571K
Debts
$53K
Source: FEC
Ron Curtis (R)
$0 for · $115 against
Cash on hand
$-109
Total raised (cycle)
$15K
Total spent
$16K
Debts
$9K
Source: FEC

Independent expenditures from FEC Schedule E. "For" = pro-candidate ads / mail / digital. "Against" = anti-candidate. Excludes candidate-committee spending and state-level filings (governor races aren't covered here — they file with state agencies).

last poll — last market quote — rating computed 1 day ago
Rating history (1 change)
  • 5/6/2026 Likely D via pvi