Pollster · 477 of 1769
Vox Populi Polling
Polls scored
21
Mean error
4.4 pt
Signed bias
D+2.52
Aggregation weight
0.96
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components50
of 100 · tier · moderate
Moderate quality. Worth checking individual signals before relying on this pollster's headline.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
alignedAcross 15 graded races, Vox Populi Polling's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +1.2pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
+1.2pp
Median delta
+1.5pp
Std-dev
4.7pp
N graded
15
Recent activity
Total all time
52
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | #13 / 25 | 7 | 4.47 pt | D+3.56 pp |
| 2014 | #6 / 21 | 3 | 3.48 pt | R+1.81 pp |
Recent polls
- 10/29/2018Arizona · Governor · 2018Doug Ducey 54.0 · David Garcia 46.0
- 10/29/2018Florida · Governor · 2018Ron DeSantis 47.0 · Andrew Gillum 53.0
- 10/29/2018Arizona · Senate · 2018Martha McSally 48.0 · Kyrsten Sinema 52.0
- 10/29/2018Florida · Senate · 2018Bill Nelson 50.0 · Rick Scott 50.0
- 10/28/2018Tennessee · Governor · 2018Bill Lee 56.0 · Karl Dean 44.0
- 10/28/2018New Jersey · Senate · 2018Bob Menendez 54.0 · Bob Hugin 46.0
- 10/28/2018Tennessee · Senate · 2018Marsha Blackburn 53.0 · Phil Bredesen 47.0
- 10/28/2018Arizona · Senate · 2018Kyrsten Sinema 52.0 · Martha McSally 48.0
- 10/28/2018Florida · Senate · 2018Bill Nelson 50.0 · Rick Scott 50.0
- 10/27/2018Tennessee · Senate · 2018Phil Bredesen 47.0 · Marsha Blackburn 53.0