| 10/31/2020 | MWR Research/Consumer Energy Alliance | 1.00 | — | 1005 | — | unknown | 🟡advocacy-funded: Consumer Energy Alliance🟡no scored polls+1- 🟡
advocacy-funded: Consumer Energy Alliance This poll was commissioned by an advocacy group / coalition / Super PAC (Consumer Energy Alliance) — read with attention to their issue stance. - 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2017d old Poll was fielded 2017 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 40.0 · Andrew Gillum 41.0 | pollarch |
| 11/5/2018 | The Trafalgar Group | 0.89 | R(R+3.4) | 1484 | ±2.5 | unknown | 🟠commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned🟠historical bias R+3.4pt+1- 🟠
commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned This poll was commissioned by a Republican-aligned committee, party, or PAC (Internal R-aligned). Such polls historically lean toward their sponsor. - 🟠
historical bias R+3.4pt Across 52 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is R+3.4pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2743d old Poll was fielded 2743 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 50.0 · Andrew Gillum 47.0 | pollarch |
| 11/5/2018 | HarrisX | 1.00 | —(R+0.4) | 600 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡2743d old🔵tracks editorial consensus+1- 🟡
2743d old Poll was fielded 2743 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 67 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom. - 🟢
accurate · bias R+0.4pt Across 65 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is R+0.4pt — within ±1pt.
| Ron DeSantis 46.0 · Andrew Gillum 49.0 | pollarch |
| 11/4/2018 | St. Pete Polls | 1.44 | L(D+2.2) | 3088 | ±1.8 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.2pt🟡2744d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.2pt Across 12 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.2pt. - 🟡
2744d old Poll was fielded 2744 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
n=3,088 Sample size of 3,088 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.8pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 13 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 45.0 · Andrew Gillum 50.0 | pollarch |
| 11/4/2018 | HarrisX | 1.00 | —(R+0.4) | 600 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡2744d old🔵tracks editorial consensus+1- 🟡
2744d old Poll was fielded 2744 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 67 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom. - 🟢
accurate · bias R+0.4pt Across 65 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is R+0.4pt — within ±1pt.
| Ron DeSantis 46.0 · Andrew Gillum 48.0 | pollarch |
| 11/4/2018 | Quinnipiac University | 1.00 | —(D+1.9) | 1142 | ±3.5 | unknown | 🟡2744d old🔵tracks editorial consensus- 🟡
2744d old Poll was fielded 2744 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 81 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 43.0 · Andrew Gillum 50.0 | pollarch |
| 11/3/2018 | Emerson College | 1.00 | —(D+0.7) | 784 | ±3.7 | unknown | 🟡2745d old🔵tracks editorial consensus+1- 🟡
2745d old Poll was fielded 2745 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 234 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom. - 🟢
accurate · bias D+0.7pt Across 117 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is D+0.7pt — within ±1pt.
| Ron DeSantis 46.0 · Andrew Gillum 51.0 | pollarch |
| 11/3/2018 | HarrisX | 1.00 | —(R+0.4) | 600 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡2745d old🔵tracks editorial consensus+1- 🟡
2745d old Poll was fielded 2745 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 67 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom. - 🟢
accurate · bias R+0.4pt Across 65 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is R+0.4pt — within ±1pt.
| Ron DeSantis 46.0 · Andrew Gillum 49.0 | pollarch |
| 11/3/2018 | Research Co. | 1.01 | —(D+1.5) | 450 | ±4.6 | unknown | 🟡2745d old🔵bias D+1.5pt+1- 🟡
2745d old Poll was fielded 2745 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
bias D+1.5pt Across 49 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+1.5pt. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 53 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 46.0 · Andrew Gillum 47.0 | pollarch |
| 11/2/2018 | St. Pete Polls | 1.44 | L(D+2.2) | 2733 | ±1.9 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.2pt🟡2746d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.2pt Across 12 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.2pt. - 🟡
2746d old Poll was fielded 2746 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
n=2,733 Sample size of 2,733 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.9pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 13 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 46.0 · Andrew Gillum 48.0 | pollarch |
| 11/2/2018 | HarrisX | 1.00 | —(R+0.4) | 600 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡2746d old🔵tracks editorial consensus+1- 🟡
2746d old Poll was fielded 2746 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 67 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom. - 🟢
accurate · bias R+0.4pt Across 65 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is R+0.4pt — within ±1pt.
| Ron DeSantis 45.0 · Andrew Gillum 50.0 | pollarch |
| 11/2/2018 | Marist College | 1.00 | —(D+2.4) | 595 | ±5.0 | LV | 🟡bias D+2.4pt🟡2746d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.4pt Across 20 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.4pt. - 🟡
2746d old Poll was fielded 2746 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 44 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 46.0 · Andrew Gillum 50.0 | pollarch |
| 11/2/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 753 | ±3.6 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2746d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2746d old Poll was fielded 2746 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Ron DeSantis 47.0 · Andrew Gillum 48.0 | pollarch |
| 11/1/2018 | HarrisX | 1.00 | —(R+0.4) | 600 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡2747d old🔵tracks editorial consensus+1- 🟡
2747d old Poll was fielded 2747 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 67 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom. - 🟢
accurate · bias R+0.4pt Across 65 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is R+0.4pt — within ±1pt.
| Ron DeSantis 45.0 · Andrew Gillum 50.0 | pollarch |
| 10/31/2018 | Targoz Market Research | 0.77 | —(R+1.0) | 558 | — | unknown | 🟡2748d old🟡high variance vs editorial consensus+1- 🟡
2748d old Poll was fielded 2748 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 26 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - 🔵
bias R+1.0pt Across 11 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is R+1.0pt.
| Ron DeSantis 48.0 · Andrew Gillum 47.0 | pollarch |
| 10/31/2018 | HarrisX | 1.00 | —(R+0.4) | 600 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡2748d old🔵tracks editorial consensus+1- 🟡
2748d old Poll was fielded 2748 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 67 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom. - 🟢
accurate · bias R+0.4pt Across 65 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is R+0.4pt — within ±1pt.
| Ron DeSantis 43.0 · Andrew Gillum 50.0 | pollarch |
| 10/30/2018 | The Trafalgar Group | 0.89 | R(R+3.4) | 2543 | ±1.9 | unknown | 🟠commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned🟠historical bias R+3.4pt+2- 🟠
commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned This poll was commissioned by a Republican-aligned committee, party, or PAC (Internal R-aligned). Such polls historically lean toward their sponsor. - 🟠
historical bias R+3.4pt Across 52 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is R+3.4pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2749d old Poll was fielded 2749 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
n=2,543 Sample size of 2,543 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.9pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Ron DeSantis 46.0 · Andrew Gillum 48.0 | pollarch |
| 10/30/2018 | Vox Populi Polling | 0.96 | —(D+1.9) | 696 | ±3.7 | unknown | 🟡2749d old🔵tracks editorial consensus- 🟡
2749d old Poll was fielded 2749 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 15 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 47.0 · Andrew Gillum 53.0 | pollarch |
| 10/30/2018 | HarrisX | 1.00 | —(R+0.4) | 1400 | ±2.6 | unknown | 🟡2749d old🔵tracks editorial consensus+1- 🟡
2749d old Poll was fielded 2749 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 67 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom. - 🟢
accurate · bias R+0.4pt Across 65 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is R+0.4pt — within ±1pt.
| Ron DeSantis 42.0 · Andrew Gillum 44.0 | pollarch |
| 10/29/2018 | Cygnal | 1.04 | R(D+1.8) | 495 | ±4.4 | unknown | 🟠commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned🟡2750d old+1- 🟠
commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned This poll was commissioned by a Republican-aligned committee, party, or PAC (Internal R-aligned). Such polls historically lean toward their sponsor. - 🟡
2750d old Poll was fielded 2750 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 72 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 47.0 · Andrew Gillum 47.0 | pollarch |
| 10/29/2018 | CNN/SSRS | 1.00 | —(D+4.4) | 781 | ±4.3 | LV | 🟠historical bias D+4.4pt🟡2750d old+1- 🟠
historical bias D+4.4pt Across 17 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+4.4pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2750d old Poll was fielded 2750 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| Ron DeSantis 48.0 · Andrew Gillum 49.0 | pollarch |
| 10/28/2018 | Suffolk University | 1.44 | neutral(D+0.1) | 500 | ±4.4 | unknown | 🟡2751d old🔵bias D+0.1pt+1- 🟡
2751d old Poll was fielded 2751 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
bias D+0.1pt Across 15 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+0.1pt. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 55 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 44.0 · Andrew Gillum 45.0 | pollarch |
| 10/27/2018 | NYT Upshot/Siena College | 0.87 | —(D+1.7) | 737 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2752d old+1- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2752d old Poll was fielded 2752 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
university-sponsored: Siena College Commissioned by Siena College, an independent media or academic sponsor. Independent sponsorship doesn't guarantee accuracy but rules out direct campaign funding.
| Ron DeSantis 43.0 · Andrew Gillum 48.0 | pollarch |
| 10/26/2018 | University of North Florida | 0.81 | L(D+5.0) | 1051 | ±3.0 | unknown | 🟡2753d old🟡D+8.6pt vs editors- 🟡
2753d old Poll was fielded 2753 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
D+8.6pt vs editors Across 18 historical polls where ≥2 editorial raters had rated the race (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.), this pollster's D-margin averaged 8.6pt MORE D-favorable than the rater consensus. Systematic D-lean relative to conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 43.0 · Andrew Gillum 49.0 | pollarch |
| 10/26/2018 | YouGov | 1.00 | —(D+3.7) | 991 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟠historical bias D+3.7pt🟡2753d old- 🟠
historical bias D+3.7pt Across 22 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+3.7pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2753d old Poll was fielded 2753 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 46.0 · Andrew Gillum 47.0 | pollarch |
| 10/25/2018 | Ipsos | 1.00 | —(R+1.9) | 1069 | ±3.4 | unknown | 🟡2754d old🔵tracks editorial consensus- 🟡
2754d old Poll was fielded 2754 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 16 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 44.0 · Andrew Gillum 50.0 | pollarch |
| 10/23/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 773 | ±3.5 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2756d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2756d old Poll was fielded 2756 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Ron DeSantis 46.0 · Andrew Gillum 51.0 | pollarch |
| 10/23/2018 | Strategic Research Associates | 0.73 | —(D+3.7) | 800 | ±3.5 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2756d old- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2756d old Poll was fielded 2756 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 48.0 · Andrew Gillum 45.0 | pollarch |
| 10/22/2018 | 1892 Polling (R-DeSantis) | 1.00 | — | 2500 | ±2.0 | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2757d old+1- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2757d old Poll was fielded 2757 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
n=2,500 Sample size of 2,500 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.0pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Ron DeSantis 47.0 · Andrew Gillum 46.0 | pollarch |
| 10/22/2018 | Saint Leo University | 1.00 | —(D+8.5) | 698 | ±3.5 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2757d old- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2757d old Poll was fielded 2757 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 37.0 · Andrew Gillum 49.0 | pollarch |
| 10/21/2018 | St. Pete Polls | 1.44 | L(D+2.2) | 1575 | ±2.5 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.2pt🟡2758d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.2pt Across 12 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.2pt. - 🟡
2758d old Poll was fielded 2758 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
n=1,575 Sample size of 1,575 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.5pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 13 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 46.0 · Andrew Gillum 47.0 | pollarch |
| 10/21/2018 | Florida Atlantic University | 1.34 | —(D+2.4) | 704 | ±3.6 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2758d old- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2758d old Poll was fielded 2758 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 37.0 · Andrew Gillum 41.0 | pollarch |
| 10/21/2018 | SurveyUSA | 1.00 | —(D+1.5) | 665 | ±5.0 | unknown | 🟡2758d old🔵tracks editorial consensus- 🟡
2758d old Poll was fielded 2758 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 73 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 42.0 · Andrew Gillum 49.0 | pollarch |
| 10/21/2018 | Quinnipiac University | 1.00 | —(D+1.9) | 1161 | ±3.5 | unknown | 🟡2758d old🔵tracks editorial consensus- 🟡
2758d old Poll was fielded 2758 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 81 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 46.0 · Andrew Gillum 52.0 | pollarch |
| 10/20/2018 | Schroth, Eldon and Associates | 1.00 | L | 600 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟠commissioned by D-aligned: Internal D-aligned🟡no scored polls+1- 🟠
commissioned by D-aligned: Internal D-aligned This poll was commissioned by a Democratic-aligned committee, party, or PAC (Internal D-aligned). Such polls historically lean toward their sponsor. - 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2759d old Poll was fielded 2759 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 42.0 · Andrew Gillum 48.0 | pollarch |
| 10/20/2018 | CNN/SSRS | 1.00 | —(D+4.4) | 759 | ±4.2 | LV | 🟠historical bias D+4.4pt🟡2759d old+1- 🟠
historical bias D+4.4pt Across 17 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+4.4pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2759d old Poll was fielded 2759 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| Ron DeSantis 42.0 · Andrew Gillum 54.0 | pollarch |
| 10/18/2018 | OnMessage Inc. (R-Scott) | 1.00 | — | 2200 | ±2.1 | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2761d old+1- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2761d old Poll was fielded 2761 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
n=2,200 Sample size of 2,200 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.1pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Ron DeSantis 48.0 · Andrew Gillum 45.0 | pollarch |
| 10/16/2018 | St. Pete Polls | 1.44 | L(D+2.2) | 1974 | ±2.2 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.2pt🟡2763d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.2pt Across 12 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.2pt. - 🟡
2763d old Poll was fielded 2763 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
n=1,974 Sample size of 1,974 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.2pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 13 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 46.0 · Andrew Gillum 47.0 | pollarch |
| 10/5/2018 | Florida Southern College | 1.00 | — | 476 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2774d old- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2774d old Poll was fielded 2774 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 44.0 · Andrew Gillum 47.0 | pollarch |
| 10/2/2018 | Kaiser Family Foundation/SSRS | 1.00 | — | 522 | ±6.0 | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2777d old- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2777d old Poll was fielded 2777 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 40.0 · Andrew Gillum 48.0 | pollarch |
| 9/30/2018 | St. Pete Polls | 1.44 | L(D+2.2) | 2313 | ±2.0 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.2pt🟡2779d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.2pt Across 12 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.2pt. - 🟡
2779d old Poll was fielded 2779 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
n=2,313 Sample size of 2,313 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.0pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 13 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 45.0 · Andrew Gillum 47.0 | pollarch |
| 9/30/2018 | Public Policy Polling (D-Protect Our Care) | 1.00 | — | 779 | ±3.5 | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2779d old- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2779d old Poll was fielded 2779 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 44.0 · Andrew Gillum 48.0 | pollarch |
| 9/30/2018 | Strategic Research Associates | 0.73 | —(D+3.7) | 800 | ±3.5 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2779d old- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2779d old Poll was fielded 2779 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 43.0 · Andrew Gillum 44.0 | pollarch |
| 9/27/2018 | Mason-Dixon | 0.56 | R(R+2.4) | 815 | ±3.5 | unknown | 🟡bias R+2.4pt🟡2782d old+1- 🟡
bias R+2.4pt Across 12 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is R+2.4pt. - 🟡
2782d old Poll was fielded 2782 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 15 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 44.0 · Andrew Gillum 45.0 | pollarch |
| 9/24/2018 | Quinnipiac University | 1.00 | —(D+1.9) | 888 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡2785d old🔵tracks editorial consensus- 🟡
2785d old Poll was fielded 2785 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 81 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 45.0 · Andrew Gillum 54.0 | pollarch |
| 9/24/2018 | Cherry Communications | 0.63 | —(D+3.8) | 622 | ±4.4 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2785d old+1- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2785d old Poll was fielded 2785 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 7 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Ron DeSantis 42.0 · Andrew Gillum 48.0 | pollarch |
| 9/20/2018 | Marist College | 1.00 | —(D+2.4) | 600 | ±4.7 | LV | 🟡bias D+2.4pt🟡2789d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.4pt Across 20 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.4pt. - 🟡
2789d old Poll was fielded 2789 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 44 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 43.0 · Andrew Gillum 48.0 | pollarch |
| 9/19/2018 | University of North Florida | 0.81 | L(D+5.0) | 605 | — | unknown | 🟡2790d old🟡D+8.6pt vs editors- 🟡
2790d old Poll was fielded 2790 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
D+8.6pt vs editors Across 18 historical polls where ≥2 editorial raters had rated the race (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.), this pollster's D-margin averaged 8.6pt MORE D-favorable than the rater consensus. Systematic D-lean relative to conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 43.0 · Andrew Gillum 47.0 | pollarch |
| 9/16/2018 | Florida Atlantic University | 1.34 | —(D+2.4) | 850 | ±3.3 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2793d old- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2793d old Poll was fielded 2793 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 39.0 · Andrew Gillum 41.0 | pollarch |
| 9/12/2018 | Ipsos | 1.00 | —(R+1.9) | 1000 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡2797d old🔵tracks editorial consensus- 🟡
2797d old Poll was fielded 2797 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 16 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 44.0 · Andrew Gillum 50.0 | pollarch |
| 9/11/2018 | Rasmussen Reports | 1.00 | —(R+2.1) | 800 | ±3.5 | unknown | 🟡bias R+2.1pt🟡2798d old+1- 🟡
bias R+2.1pt Across 50 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is R+2.1pt. - 🟡
2798d old Poll was fielded 2798 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 74 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 42.0 · Andrew Gillum 48.0 | pollarch |
| 9/9/2018 | SurveyUSA | 1.00 | —(D+1.5) | 634 | ±5.3 | unknown | 🟡2800d old🔵tracks editorial consensus- 🟡
2800d old Poll was fielded 2800 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 73 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 43.0 · Andrew Gillum 47.0 | pollarch |
| 9/9/2018 | Cherry Communications | 0.63 | —(D+3.8) | 514 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2800d old+1- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2800d old Poll was fielded 2800 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 7 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Ron DeSantis 43.0 · Andrew Gillum 47.0 | pollarch |
| 9/6/2018 | St. Pete Polls | 1.44 | L(D+2.2) | 2240 | ±2.1 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.2pt🟡2803d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.2pt Across 12 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.2pt. - 🟡
2803d old Poll was fielded 2803 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
n=2,240 Sample size of 2,240 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.1pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 13 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 47.0 · Andrew Gillum 48.0 | pollarch |
| 9/3/2018 | Quinnipiac University | 1.00 | —(D+1.9) | 785 | ±4.3 | unknown | 🟡2806d old🔵tracks editorial consensus- 🟡
2806d old Poll was fielded 2806 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 81 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Ron DeSantis 47.0 · Andrew Gillum 50.0 | pollarch |
| 8/30/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1225 | ±2.8 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2810d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2810d old Poll was fielded 2810 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Ron DeSantis 45.0 · Andrew Gillum 47.0 | pollarch |
| 8/30/2018 | Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | 1.00 | — | 743 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2810d old- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2810d old Poll was fielded 2810 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 43.0 · Andrew Gillum 48.0 | pollarch |
| 8/20/2018 | Frederick Polls | 1.00 | L | 500 | ±4.4 | unknown | 🟠commissioned by D-aligned: Internal D-aligned🟡no scored polls+1- 🟠
commissioned by D-aligned: Internal D-aligned This poll was commissioned by a Democratic-aligned committee, party, or PAC (Internal D-aligned). Such polls historically lean toward their sponsor. - 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2820d old Poll was fielded 2820 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 40.0 · Gwen Graham 44.0 | pollarch |
| 8/16/2018 | Saint Leo University | 1.00 | —(D+8.5) | 500 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2824d old- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2824d old Poll was fielded 2824 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 31.0 · Gwen Graham 36.0 | pollarch |
| 8/16/2018 | Saint Leo University | 1.00 | —(D+8.5) | 500 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2824d old- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2824d old Poll was fielded 2824 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 30.0 · Philip Levine 34.0 | pollarch |
| 8/16/2018 | Saint Leo University | 1.00 | —(D+8.5) | 500 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2824d old- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2824d old Poll was fielded 2824 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Adam Putnam 36.0 · Gwen Graham 31.0 | pollarch |
| 8/16/2018 | Saint Leo University | 1.00 | —(D+8.5) | 500 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2824d old- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2824d old Poll was fielded 2824 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Adam Putnam 37.0 · Philip Levine 30.0 | pollarch |
| 7/14/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1840 | ±2.3 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2857d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2857d old Poll was fielded 2857 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=1,840 Sample size of 1,840 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.3pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Ron DeSantis 39.0 · Andrew Gillum 36.0 | pollarch |
| 7/14/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1840 | ±2.3 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2857d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2857d old Poll was fielded 2857 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=1,840 Sample size of 1,840 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.3pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Ron DeSantis 38.0 · Gwen Graham 42.0 | pollarch |
| 7/14/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1840 | ±2.3 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2857d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2857d old Poll was fielded 2857 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=1,840 Sample size of 1,840 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.3pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Ron DeSantis 39.0 · Jeff Greene 39.0 | pollarch |
| 7/14/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1840 | ±2.3 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2857d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2857d old Poll was fielded 2857 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=1,840 Sample size of 1,840 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.3pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Ron DeSantis 40.0 · Philip Levine 38.0 | pollarch |
| 7/14/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1840 | ±2.3 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2857d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2857d old Poll was fielded 2857 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=1,840 Sample size of 1,840 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.3pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Adam Putnam 41.0 · Andrew Gillum 35.0 | pollarch |
| 7/14/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1840 | ±2.3 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2857d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2857d old Poll was fielded 2857 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=1,840 Sample size of 1,840 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.3pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Adam Putnam 40.0 · Gwen Graham 39.0 | pollarch |
| 7/14/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1840 | ±2.3 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2857d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2857d old Poll was fielded 2857 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=1,840 Sample size of 1,840 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.3pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Adam Putnam 41.0 · Jeff Greene 39.0 | pollarch |
| 7/14/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1840 | ±2.3 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2857d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2857d old Poll was fielded 2857 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=1,840 Sample size of 1,840 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.3pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Adam Putnam 43.0 · Philip Levine 38.0 | pollarch |
| 6/19/2018 | Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | 1.00 | — | 1308 | — | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2882d old- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2882d old Poll was fielded 2882 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 36.0 · Philip Levine 41.0 | pollarch |
| 6/19/2018 | Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | 1.00 | — | 1308 | — | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2882d old- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2882d old Poll was fielded 2882 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Adam Putnam 38.0 · Philip Levine 43.0 | pollarch |
| 6/15/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 485 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2886d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2886d old Poll was fielded 2886 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Ron DeSantis 35.0 · Andrew Gillum 38.0 | pollarch |
| 6/15/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 485 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2886d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2886d old Poll was fielded 2886 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Ron DeSantis 34.0 · Gwen Graham 44.0 | pollarch |
| 6/15/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 485 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2886d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2886d old Poll was fielded 2886 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Ron DeSantis 35.0 · Chris King 37.0 | pollarch |
| 6/15/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 485 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2886d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2886d old Poll was fielded 2886 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Ron DeSantis 33.0 · Philip Levine 43.0 | pollarch |
| 6/15/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 485 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2886d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2886d old Poll was fielded 2886 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Adam Putnam 39.0 · Andrew Gillum 42.0 | pollarch |
| 6/15/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 485 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2886d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2886d old Poll was fielded 2886 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Adam Putnam 39.0 · Gwen Graham 45.0 | pollarch |
| 6/15/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 485 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2886d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2886d old Poll was fielded 2886 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Adam Putnam 39.0 · Chris King 38.0 | pollarch |
| 6/15/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 485 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2886d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2886d old Poll was fielded 2886 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Adam Putnam 39.0 · Philip Levine 43.0 | pollarch |
| 6/15/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 485 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2886d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2886d old Poll was fielded 2886 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Bob White 28.0 · Andrew Gillum 38.0 | pollarch |
| 6/15/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 485 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2886d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2886d old Poll was fielded 2886 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Bob White 27.0 · Gwen Graham 44.0 | pollarch |
| 6/15/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 485 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2886d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2886d old Poll was fielded 2886 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Bob White 28.0 · Chris King 36.0 | pollarch |
| 6/15/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 485 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2886d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2886d old Poll was fielded 2886 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Bob White 29.0 · Philip Levine 42.0 | pollarch |
| 6/15/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 485 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2886d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2886d old Poll was fielded 2886 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Richard Corcoran 27.0 · Andrew Gillum 41.0 | pollarch |
| 6/15/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 485 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2886d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2886d old Poll was fielded 2886 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Richard Corcoran 27.0 · Gwen Graham 44.0 | pollarch |
| 6/15/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 485 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2886d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2886d old Poll was fielded 2886 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Richard Corcoran 29.0 · Chris King 39.0 | pollarch |
| 6/15/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 485 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2886d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2886d old Poll was fielded 2886 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Richard Corcoran 29.0 · Philip Levine 43.0 | pollarch |
| 5/31/2018 | Saint Leo University | 1.00 | —(D+8.5) | 506 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2901d old- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2901d old Poll was fielded 2901 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 16.0 · Gwen Graham 22.0 | pollarch |
| 5/31/2018 | Saint Leo University | 1.00 | —(D+8.5) | 506 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2901d old- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2901d old Poll was fielded 2901 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 17.0 · Philip Levine 22.0 | pollarch |
| 5/31/2018 | Saint Leo University | 1.00 | —(D+8.5) | 506 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2901d old- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2901d old Poll was fielded 2901 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Adam Putnam 25.0 · Gwen Graham 20.0 | pollarch |
| 5/31/2018 | Saint Leo University | 1.00 | —(D+8.5) | 506 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2901d old- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2901d old Poll was fielded 2901 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Adam Putnam 24.0 · Philip Levine 20.0 | pollarch |
| 4/11/2018 | Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | 1.00 | — | 661 | — | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2951d old- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2951d old Poll was fielded 2951 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 36.0 · Gwen Graham 40.0 | pollarch |
| 4/11/2018 | Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | 1.00 | — | 661 | — | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2951d old- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2951d old Poll was fielded 2951 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Ron DeSantis 37.0 · Philip Levine 42.0 | pollarch |
| 4/11/2018 | Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | 1.00 | — | 661 | — | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2951d old- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2951d old Poll was fielded 2951 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Adam Putnam 36.0 · Gwen Graham 37.0 | pollarch |
| 4/11/2018 | Public Policy Polling (D-EDGE Comms.) | 1.00 | — | 661 | — | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2951d old- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2951d old Poll was fielded 2951 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Adam Putnam 37.0 · Philip Levine 41.0 | pollarch |
| 3/19/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 2212 | ±2.1 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2974d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2974d old Poll was fielded 2974 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=2,212 Sample size of 2,212 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.1pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Ron DeSantis 29.0 · Andrew Gillum 33.0 | pollarch |
| 3/19/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 2212 | ±2.1 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2974d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2974d old Poll was fielded 2974 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=2,212 Sample size of 2,212 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.1pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Ron DeSantis 30.0 · Gwen Graham 33.0 | pollarch |
| 3/19/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 2212 | ±2.1 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2974d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2974d old Poll was fielded 2974 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=2,212 Sample size of 2,212 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.1pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Adam Putnam 34.0 · Andrew Gillum 28.0 | pollarch |
| 3/19/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 2212 | ±2.1 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2974d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2974d old Poll was fielded 2974 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=2,212 Sample size of 2,212 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.1pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Adam Putnam 34.0 · Gwen Graham 32.0 | pollarch |
| 3/19/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 2212 | ±2.1 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2974d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2974d old Poll was fielded 2974 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=2,212 Sample size of 2,212 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.1pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Richard Corcoran 26.0 · Andrew Gillum 33.0 | pollarch |
| 3/19/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 2212 | ±2.1 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2974d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2974d old Poll was fielded 2974 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=2,212 Sample size of 2,212 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.1pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Richard Corcoran 28.0 · Gwen Graham 32.0 | pollarch |
| 3/19/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 2212 | ±2.1 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2974d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2974d old Poll was fielded 2974 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=2,212 Sample size of 2,212 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.1pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Adam Putnam 28.0 · Andrew Gillum 23.0 · John Morgan 16.0 | pollarch |
| 3/19/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 2212 | ±2.1 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2974d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2974d old Poll was fielded 2974 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=2,212 Sample size of 2,212 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.1pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Adam Putnam 29.0 · Gwen Graham 22.0 · John Morgan 17.0 | pollarch |
| 3/19/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 2212 | ±2.1 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2974d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2974d old Poll was fielded 2974 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=2,212 Sample size of 2,212 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.1pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Richard Corcoran 25.0 · Andrew Gillum 23.0 · John Morgan 17.0 | pollarch |
| 3/19/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 2212 | ±2.1 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2974d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2974d old Poll was fielded 2974 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=2,212 Sample size of 2,212 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.1pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Richard Corcoran 26.0 · Gwen Graham 21.0 · John Morgan 16.0 | pollarch |
| 2/24/2018 | Saint Leo University | 1.00 | —(D+8.5) | 500 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2997d old- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2997d old Poll was fielded 2997 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Adam Putnam 22.0 · Gwen Graham 18.0 | pollarch |
| 2/18/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1978 | ±2.2 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3003d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3003d old Poll was fielded 3003 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=1,978 Sample size of 1,978 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.2pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Adam Putnam 30.0 · Andrew Gillum 30.0 | pollarch |
| 2/18/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1978 | ±2.2 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3003d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3003d old Poll was fielded 3003 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=1,978 Sample size of 1,978 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.2pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Adam Putnam 33.0 · Gwen Graham 29.0 | pollarch |
| 2/18/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1978 | ±2.2 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3003d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3003d old Poll was fielded 3003 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=1,978 Sample size of 1,978 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.2pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Richard Corcoran 23.0 · Andrew Gillum 32.0 | pollarch |
| 2/18/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1978 | ±2.2 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3003d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3003d old Poll was fielded 3003 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=1,978 Sample size of 1,978 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.2pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Richard Corcoran 24.0 · Gwen Graham 33.0 | pollarch |
| 2/18/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1978 | ±2.2 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3003d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3003d old Poll was fielded 3003 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=1,978 Sample size of 1,978 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.2pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Adam Putnam 27.0 · Andrew Gillum 20.0 · John Morgan 17.0 | pollarch |
| 2/18/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1978 | ±2.2 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3003d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3003d old Poll was fielded 3003 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=1,978 Sample size of 1,978 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.2pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Adam Putnam 28.0 · Gwen Graham 21.0 · John Morgan 17.0 | pollarch |
| 2/18/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1978 | ±2.2 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3003d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3003d old Poll was fielded 3003 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=1,978 Sample size of 1,978 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.2pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Richard Corcoran 20.0 · Andrew Gillum 21.0 · John Morgan 17.0 | pollarch |
| 2/18/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1978 | ±2.2 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3003d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3003d old Poll was fielded 3003 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=1,978 Sample size of 1,978 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.2pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Richard Corcoran 20.0 · Gwen Graham 23.0 · John Morgan 16.0 | pollarch |
| 12/24/2017 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 5778 | ±1.3 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3059d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3059d old Poll was fielded 3059 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=5,778 Sample size of 5,778 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.3pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Adam Putnam 31.0 · Andrew Gillum 31.0 | pollarch |
| 12/24/2017 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 5778 | ±1.3 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3059d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3059d old Poll was fielded 3059 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=5,778 Sample size of 5,778 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.3pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Adam Putnam 32.0 · Gwen Graham 32.0 | pollarch |
| 12/24/2017 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 5778 | ±1.3 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3059d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3059d old Poll was fielded 3059 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=5,778 Sample size of 5,778 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.3pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Richard Corcoran 22.0 · Andrew Gillum 33.0 | pollarch |
| 12/24/2017 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 5778 | ±1.3 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3059d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3059d old Poll was fielded 3059 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=5,778 Sample size of 5,778 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.3pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Richard Corcoran 24.0 · Gwen Graham 33.0 | pollarch |
| 12/24/2017 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 5778 | ±1.3 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3059d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3059d old Poll was fielded 3059 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=5,778 Sample size of 5,778 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.3pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Adam Putnam 26.0 · Andrew Gillum 22.0 · John Morgan 18.0 | pollarch |
| 12/24/2017 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 5778 | ±1.3 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3059d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3059d old Poll was fielded 3059 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=5,778 Sample size of 5,778 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.3pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Adam Putnam 27.0 · Gwen Graham 23.0 · John Morgan 17.0 | pollarch |
| 12/24/2017 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 5778 | ±1.3 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3059d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3059d old Poll was fielded 3059 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=5,778 Sample size of 5,778 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.3pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Richard Corcoran 20.0 · Andrew Gillum 23.0 · John Morgan 19.0 | pollarch |
| 12/24/2017 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 5778 | ±1.3 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3059d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3059d old Poll was fielded 3059 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=5,778 Sample size of 5,778 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.3pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Richard Corcoran 20.0 · Gwen Graham 24.0 · John Morgan 18.0 | pollarch |
| 11/24/2017 | Saint Leo University | 1.00 | —(D+8.5) | 500 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡3089d old- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
3089d old Poll was fielded 3089 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Adam Putnam 19.0 · John Morgan 24.0 | pollarch |
| 9/24/2017 | Cherry Communications | 0.63 | —(D+3.8) | 615 | — | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡3150d old+1- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
3150d old Poll was fielded 3150 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 7 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Adam Putnam 40.0 · Andrew Gillum 33.0 | pollarch |
| 9/24/2017 | Cherry Communications | 0.63 | —(D+3.8) | 615 | — | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡3150d old+1- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
3150d old Poll was fielded 3150 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 7 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Adam Putnam 39.0 · Gwen Graham 37.0 | pollarch |
| 9/24/2017 | Cherry Communications | 0.63 | —(D+3.8) | 615 | — | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡3150d old+1- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
3150d old Poll was fielded 3150 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 7 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Adam Putnam 40.0 · Chris King 31.0 | pollarch |
| 9/24/2017 | Cherry Communications | 0.63 | —(D+3.8) | 615 | — | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡3150d old+1- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
3150d old Poll was fielded 3150 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 7 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Adam Putnam 40.0 · Philip Levine 32.0 | pollarch |
| 9/24/2017 | Cherry Communications | 0.63 | —(D+3.8) | 615 | — | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡3150d old+1- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
3150d old Poll was fielded 3150 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 7 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Adam Putnam 40.0 · John Morgan 37.0 | pollarch |
| 9/16/2017 | Saint Leo University | 1.00 | —(D+8.5) | 500 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡3158d old- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
3158d old Poll was fielded 3158 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Adam Putnam 18.0 · John Morgan 24.0 | pollarch |
| 3/29/2017 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1453 | ±2.6 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3329d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3329d old Poll was fielded 3329 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Adam Putnam 32.0 · Andrew Gillum 31.0 | pollarch |
| 3/29/2017 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1453 | ±2.6 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3329d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3329d old Poll was fielded 3329 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Adam Putnam 32.0 · Gwen Graham 34.0 | pollarch |
| 3/29/2017 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1453 | ±2.6 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3329d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3329d old Poll was fielded 3329 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Richard Corcoran 26.0 · Andrew Gillum 33.0 | pollarch |
| 3/29/2017 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1453 | ±2.6 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3329d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3329d old Poll was fielded 3329 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Richard Corcoran 29.0 · Gwen Graham 34.0 | pollarch |
| 3/29/2017 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1453 | ±2.6 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3329d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3329d old Poll was fielded 3329 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Richard Corcoran 27.0 · John Morgan 39.0 | pollarch |
| 3/29/2017 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 1453 | ±2.6 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3329d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3329d old Poll was fielded 3329 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Adam Putnam 33.0 · John Morgan 34.0 | pollarch |
| 3/11/2017 | Saint Leo University | 1.00 | —(D+8.5) | 507 | ±4.5 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡3347d old- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
3347d old Poll was fielded 3347 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Adam Putnam 20.0 · John Morgan 26.0 | pollarch |
| 12/8/2016 | Cherry Communications | 0.63 | —(D+3.8) | 606 | — | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡3440d old+1- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
3440d old Poll was fielded 3440 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 7 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Adam Putnam 39.0 · Gwen Graham 36.0 | pollarch |
| 12/8/2016 | Cherry Communications | 0.63 | —(D+3.8) | 606 | — | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡3440d old+1- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
3440d old Poll was fielded 3440 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 7 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Adam Putnam 40.0 · John Morgan 37.0 | pollarch |
| 11/25/2016 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 3250 | ±2.4 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3453d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3453d old Poll was fielded 3453 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=3,250 Sample size of 3,250 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.7pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Adam Putnam 34.0 · Gwen Graham 37.0 | pollarch |
| 11/25/2016 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 3250 | ±2.4 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3453d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3453d old Poll was fielded 3453 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=3,250 Sample size of 3,250 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.7pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| David Jolly 31.0 · John Morgan 42.0 | pollarch |
| 11/25/2016 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 3250 | ±2.4 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3453d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3453d old Poll was fielded 3453 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=3,250 Sample size of 3,250 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.7pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Jeff Atwater 32.0 · Gwen Graham 40.0 | pollarch |
| 11/25/2016 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 3250 | ±2.4 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3453d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3453d old Poll was fielded 3453 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=3,250 Sample size of 3,250 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.7pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Jeff Atwater 34.0 · John Morgan 41.0 | pollarch |
| 11/25/2016 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 3250 | ±2.4 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3453d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3453d old Poll was fielded 3453 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=3,250 Sample size of 3,250 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.7pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Pam Bondi 36.0 · Gwen Graham 44.0 | pollarch |
| 11/25/2016 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 3250 | ±2.4 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3453d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3453d old Poll was fielded 3453 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=3,250 Sample size of 3,250 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.7pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Pam Bondi 35.0 · John Morgan 45.0 | pollarch |
| 11/25/2016 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 3250 | ±2.4 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3453d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3453d old Poll was fielded 3453 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=3,250 Sample size of 3,250 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.7pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| David Jolly 29.0 · Gwen Graham 40.0 | pollarch |
| 11/25/2016 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 3250 | ±2.4 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡3453d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
3453d old Poll was fielded 3453 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
n=3,250 Sample size of 3,250 respondents implies a margin of error around ±1.7pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Adam Putnam 35.0 · John Morgan 39.0 | pollarch |