| 11/3/2018 | The Trafalgar Group | 0.89 | R(R+3.4) | 2171 | ±2.1 | unknown | 🟠commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned🟠historical bias R+3.4pt+2- 🟠
commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned This poll was commissioned by a Republican-aligned committee, party, or PAC (Internal R-aligned). Such polls historically lean toward their sponsor. - 🟠
historical bias R+3.4pt Across 52 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is R+3.4pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2745d old Poll was fielded 2745 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
n=2,171 Sample size of 2,171 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.1pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Brian Kemp 52.0 · Stacey Abrams 40.0 | pollarch |
| 11/2/2018 | 20/20 Insight (D-Southern Majority) | 1.00 | — | 614 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2746d old- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2746d old Poll was fielded 2746 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Brian Kemp 46.0 · Stacey Abrams 50.0 · Ted Metz 1.0 | pollarch |
| 10/31/2018 | Emerson College | 1.00 | —(D+0.7) | 724 | ±3.7 | unknown | 🟡2748d old🔵tracks editorial consensus+1- 🟡
2748d old Poll was fielded 2748 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 234 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom. - 🟢
accurate · bias D+0.7pt Across 117 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is D+0.7pt — within ±1pt.
| Brian Kemp 49.0 · Stacey Abrams 47.0 · Ted Metz 1.0 | pollarch |
| 10/30/2018 | Cygnal | 1.04 | R(D+1.8) | 504 | ±4.4 | unknown | 🟠commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned🟡2749d old+1- 🟠
commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned This poll was commissioned by a Republican-aligned committee, party, or PAC (Internal R-aligned). Such polls historically lean toward their sponsor. - 🟡
2749d old Poll was fielded 2749 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 72 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Brian Kemp 49.0 · Stacey Abrams 47.0 · Ted Metz 4.0 | pollarch |
| 10/30/2018 | University of Georgia | 3.10 | —(R+0.0) | 1091 | ±3.0 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2749d old+1- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2749d old Poll was fielded 2749 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
weight 3.10 Aggregation weight is 3.10 (1.0 ≈ average). Weight is a derived metric combining historical accuracy, methodology, and recency.
| Brian Kemp 47.0 · Stacey Abrams 47.0 · Ted Metz 2.0 | pollarch |
| 10/29/2018 | Opinion Savvy | 1.00 | — | 623 | ±3.9 | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2750d old- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2750d old Poll was fielded 2750 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Brian Kemp 47.0 · Stacey Abrams 48.0 · Ted Metz 2.0 | pollarch |
| 10/22/2018 | Opinion Savvy | 1.00 | — | 824 | ±3.4 | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2757d old- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2757d old Poll was fielded 2757 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Brian Kemp 48.0 · Stacey Abrams 48.0 · Ted Metz 1.0 | pollarch |
| 10/18/2018 | Marist College | 1.00 | —(D+2.4) | 554 | ±4.8 | LV | 🟡bias D+2.4pt🟡2761d old+2- 🟡
bias D+2.4pt Across 20 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.4pt. - 🟡
2761d old Poll was fielded 2761 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 44 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Brian Kemp 46.0 · Stacey Abrams 45.0 · Ted Metz 4.0 | pollarch |
| 10/11/2018 | Ipsos | 1.00 | —(R+1.9) | 1088 | ±3.4 | unknown | 🟡2768d old🔵tracks editorial consensus- 🟡
2768d old Poll was fielded 2768 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 16 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Brian Kemp 47.0 · Stacey Abrams 46.0 · Ted Metz 2.0 | pollarch |
| 10/9/2018 | University of Georgia | 3.10 | —(R+0.0) | 1232 | ±2.8 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2770d old+1- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2770d old Poll was fielded 2770 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
weight 3.10 Aggregation weight is 3.10 (1.0 ≈ average). Weight is a derived metric combining historical accuracy, methodology, and recency.
| Brian Kemp 48.0 · Stacey Abrams 46.0 · Ted Metz 2.0 | pollarch |
| 10/8/2018 | SurveyUSA | 1.00 | —(D+1.5) | 655 | ±4.9 | unknown | 🟡2771d old🔵tracks editorial consensus- 🟡
2771d old Poll was fielded 2771 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 73 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Brian Kemp 47.0 · Stacey Abrams 45.0 | pollarch |
| 10/6/2018 | Public Policy Polling (D-Georgia Engaged) | 1.00 | — | 729 | ±3.0 | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2773d old- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2773d old Poll was fielded 2773 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Brian Kemp 46.0 · Stacey Abrams 46.0 | pollarch |
| 10/1/2018 | Landmark Communications | 1.25 | L(D+2.4) | 964 | ±3.2 | unknown | 🟡2778d old- 🟡
2778d old Poll was fielded 2778 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Brian Kemp 48.0 · Stacey Abrams 46.0 · Ted Metz 2.0 | pollarch |
| 9/24/2018 | SurveyMonkey | 1.00 | —(D+6.1) | 1955 | ±3.0 | unknown | 🟠historical bias D+6.1pt🟡2785d old+2- 🟠
historical bias D+6.1pt Across 236 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+6.1pt — a measurable house effect. - 🟡
2785d old Poll was fielded 2785 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 236 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - 🔵
n=1,955 Sample size of 1,955 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.2pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Brian Kemp 43.0 · Stacey Abrams 43.0 | pollarch |
| 9/20/2018 | Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Abrams) | 1.00 | — | 603 | ±4.1 | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2789d old- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2789d old Poll was fielded 2789 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Brian Kemp 42.0 · Stacey Abrams 48.0 · Ted Metz 3.0 | pollarch |
| 9/4/2018 | University of Georgia | 3.10 | —(R+0.0) | 1020 | ±3.1 | unknown | 🟡3 scored polls🟡2805d old+1- 🟡
3 scored polls Pollster has only 3 historical polls with a known outcome to score against — too few for stable accuracy estimates. - 🟡
2805d old Poll was fielded 2805 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
weight 3.10 Aggregation weight is 3.10 (1.0 ≈ average). Weight is a derived metric combining historical accuracy, methodology, and recency.
| Brian Kemp 45.0 · Stacey Abrams 45.0 · Ted Metz 2.0 | pollarch |
| 7/29/2018 | Gravis Marketing | 0.72 | L(D+2.9) | 650 | ±3.8 | unknown | 🟡bias D+2.9pt🟡2842d old+1- 🟡
bias D+2.9pt Across 33 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+2.9pt. - 🟡
2842d old Poll was fielded 2842 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 49 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results.
| Brian Kemp 44.0 · Stacey Abrams 46.0 | pollarch |
| 7/19/2018 | SurveyUSA | 1.00 | —(D+1.5) | 1199 | ±4.3 | unknown | 🟡2852d old🔵tracks editorial consensus- 🟡
2852d old Poll was fielded 2852 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 73 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Brian Kemp 46.0 · Stacey Abrams 44.0 | pollarch |
| 7/19/2018 | SurveyUSA | 1.00 | —(D+1.5) | 1199 | ±4.3 | unknown | 🟡2852d old🔵tracks editorial consensus- 🟡
2852d old Poll was fielded 2852 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 73 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Casey Cagle 45.0 · Stacey Abrams 43.0 | pollarch |
| 5/25/2018 | Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Abrams) | 1.00 | — | 601 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2907d old- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2907d old Poll was fielded 2907 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Brian Kemp 40.0 · Stacey Abrams 49.0 | pollarch |
| 5/25/2018 | Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Abrams) | 1.00 | — | 601 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡no scored polls🟡2907d old- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
2907d old Poll was fielded 2907 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average.
| Casey Cagle 43.0 · Stacey Abrams 48.0 | pollarch |
| 5/15/2018 | SurveyUSA | 1.00 | —(D+1.5) | 2339 | ±3.5 | unknown | 🟡2917d old🔵n=2,339+1- 🟡
2917d old Poll was fielded 2917 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
n=2,339 Sample size of 2,339 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.0pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 73 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Casey Cagle 46.0 · Stacey Abrams 41.0 | pollarch |
| 5/15/2018 | SurveyUSA | 1.00 | —(D+1.5) | 2339 | ±3.5 | unknown | 🟡2917d old🔵n=2,339+1- 🟡
2917d old Poll was fielded 2917 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
n=2,339 Sample size of 2,339 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.0pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 73 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Casey Cagle 45.0 · Stacey Evans 41.0 | pollarch |
| 2/23/2018 | Mason-Dixon | 0.56 | R(R+2.4) | 625 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡bias R+2.4pt🟡2998d old+1- 🟡
bias R+2.4pt Across 12 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is R+2.4pt. - 🟡
2998d old Poll was fielded 2998 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 15 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Brian Kemp 37.0 · Stacey Abrams 40.0 | pollarch |
| 2/23/2018 | Mason-Dixon | 0.56 | R(R+2.4) | 625 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡bias R+2.4pt🟡2998d old+1- 🟡
bias R+2.4pt Across 12 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is R+2.4pt. - 🟡
2998d old Poll was fielded 2998 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 15 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Casey Cagle 45.0 · Stacey Abrams 39.0 | pollarch |
| 2/23/2018 | Mason-Dixon | 0.56 | R(R+2.4) | 625 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡bias R+2.4pt🟡2998d old+1- 🟡
bias R+2.4pt Across 12 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is R+2.4pt. - 🟡
2998d old Poll was fielded 2998 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 15 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Clay Tippins 40.0 · Stacey Abrams 41.0 | pollarch |
| 2/23/2018 | Mason-Dixon | 0.56 | R(R+2.4) | 625 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡bias R+2.4pt🟡2998d old+1- 🟡
bias R+2.4pt Across 12 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is R+2.4pt. - 🟡
2998d old Poll was fielded 2998 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 15 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Hunter Hill 37.0 · Stacey Abrams 43.0 | pollarch |
| 2/23/2018 | Mason-Dixon | 0.56 | R(R+2.4) | 625 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡bias R+2.4pt🟡2998d old+1- 🟡
bias R+2.4pt Across 12 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is R+2.4pt. - 🟡
2998d old Poll was fielded 2998 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 15 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Casey Cagle 47.0 · Stacey Evans 38.0 | pollarch |
| 2/23/2018 | Mason-Dixon | 0.56 | R(R+2.4) | 625 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡bias R+2.4pt🟡2998d old+1- 🟡
bias R+2.4pt Across 12 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is R+2.4pt. - 🟡
2998d old Poll was fielded 2998 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 15 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Brian Kemp 42.0 · Stacey Evans 39.0 | pollarch |
| 2/23/2018 | Mason-Dixon | 0.56 | R(R+2.4) | 625 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡bias R+2.4pt🟡2998d old+1- 🟡
bias R+2.4pt Across 12 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is R+2.4pt. - 🟡
2998d old Poll was fielded 2998 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 15 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Clay Tippins 41.0 · Stacey Evans 38.0 | pollarch |
| 2/23/2018 | Mason-Dixon | 0.56 | R(R+2.4) | 625 | ±4.0 | unknown | 🟡bias R+2.4pt🟡2998d old+1- 🟡
bias R+2.4pt Across 12 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is R+2.4pt. - 🟡
2998d old Poll was fielded 2998 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 15 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom.
| Hunter Hill 35.0 · Stacey Evans 36.0 | pollarch |
| 5/30/2016 | Public Policy Polling | 1.00 | —(D+1.1) | 724 | ±3.6 | unknown | 🟡3632d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus+1- 🟡
3632d old Poll was fielded 3632 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 368 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
bias D+1.1pt Across 72 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+1.1pt.
| Casey Cagle 40.0 · Jason Carter 39.0 | pollarch |
| 5/30/2016 | Public Policy Polling | 1.00 | —(D+1.1) | 724 | ±3.6 | unknown | 🟡3632d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus+1- 🟡
3632d old Poll was fielded 3632 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 368 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
bias D+1.1pt Across 72 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+1.1pt.
| Casey Cagle 46.0 · Kasim Reed 33.0 | pollarch |
| 5/30/2016 | Public Policy Polling | 1.00 | —(D+1.1) | 724 | ±3.6 | unknown | 🟡3632d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus+1- 🟡
3632d old Poll was fielded 3632 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 368 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
bias D+1.1pt Across 72 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+1.1pt.
| Brian Kemp 38.0 · Jason Carter 40.0 | pollarch |
| 5/30/2016 | Public Policy Polling | 1.00 | —(D+1.1) | 724 | ±3.6 | unknown | 🟡3632d old🟡uncorrelated with editorial consensus+1- 🟡
3632d old Poll was fielded 3632 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 368 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - 🔵
bias D+1.1pt Across 72 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is D+1.1pt.
| Brian Kemp 43.0 · Kasim Reed 33.0 | pollarch |