Pollster · 741 of 1053

NBC/WSJ/Marist

GRADE A− NEUTRAL LEAN
↗ Wikipedia
Polls scored
37
Mean error
3.3 pt
Signed bias
R+0.65
Aggregation weight
1.20
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components
65
of 100 · tier · strong

Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.

Aggregator weight 60
Verification rate 0
Sample size median 86
Citation rate 100
Outlier rate (inv.) 100
Rater alignment 95
Pollster vs editorial consensus
aligned

Across 16 graded races, NBC/WSJ/Marist's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +0.7pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.

Mean delta
+0.7pp
Median delta
+0.5pp
Std-dev
3.4pp
N graded
16
Sample races (links to detail):
us-governor-2016-ncus-governor-2016-ncus-governor-2016-nh
Recent activity
Total all time
37
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0

Last poll 11/1/2016 (3476d ago) · status dormant

Per-cycle debrief appearances
Cycle Rank Polls MAE Signed bias
2016 #4 / 19 7 3.14 pt D+1.86 pp
2012 #5 / 12 6 3.56 pt R+3.56 pp
Recent polls