Pollster · 141 of 1053
Marist College
GRADE A− NEUTRAL LEAN
Polls scored
91
Mean error
4.2 pt
Signed bias
D+2.43
Aggregation weight
1.00
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components 71
of 100 · tier · strong
Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
aligned Across 44 graded races, Marist College's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +1.7pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
+1.7pp
Median delta
+1.8pp
Std-dev
5.4pp
N graded
44
Recent activity
Total all time
91
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | #12 / 26 | 4 | 3.91 pt | D+3.91 pp |
| 2022 | #12 / 36 | 8 | 3.41 pt | D+3.19 pp |
| 2018 | #6 / 25 | 6 | 3.34 pt | D+1.02 pp |
Recent polls
- 10/30/2024 us-senate-2024-mi Elissa Slotkin 52.0 · Mike Rogers 46.0
- 10/30/2024 us-senate-2024-pa Bob Casey Jr. 50.0 · Dave McCormick 48.0
- 10/30/2024 us-senate-2024-wi Tammy Baldwin 51.0 · Eric Hovde 48.0
- 10/22/2024 us-governor-2024-nc Josh Stein 55.0 · Mark Robinson 41.0
- 10/22/2024 us-senate-2024-az Ruben Gallego 53.0 · Kari Lake 45.0
- 10/7/2024 us-senate-2024-fl Rick Scott 50.0 · Debbie Mucarsel- Powell 48.0
- 10/7/2024 us-senate-2024-oh Sherrod Brown 50.0 · Bernie Moreno 48.0
- 10/7/2024 us-senate-2024-tx Ted Cruz 51.0 · Colin Allred 46.0
- 9/24/2024 us-governor-2024-nc Josh Stein 54.0 · Mark Robinson 42.0
- 9/24/2024 us-senate-2024-az Ruben Gallego 54.0 · Kari Lake 44.0