Pollster · 126 of 1769
Marist College
Polls scored
45
Mean error
4.6 pt
Signed bias
D+1.92
Aggregation weight
0.92
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components55
of 100 · tier · moderate
Moderate quality. Worth checking individual signals before relying on this pollster's headline.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
alignedAcross 44 graded races, Marist College's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +1.7pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
+1.7pp
Median delta
+1.8pp
Std-dev
5.4pp
N graded
44
Recent activity
Total all time
229
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | #12 / 26 | 4 | 3.91 pt | D+3.91 pp |
| 2022 | #11 / 36 | 9 | 3.05 pt | D+2.86 pp |
| 2018 | #6 / 25 | 6 | 3.34 pt | D+1.02 pp |
| 2010 | #8 / 21 | 3 | 3.85 pt | R+3.85 pp |
Recent polls
- 10/29/2024Michigan · Senate · 2024Elissa Slotkin 52.0 · Mike Rogers 46.0
- 10/29/2024Pennsylvania · Senate · 2024Bob Casey Jr. 50.0 · Dave McCormick 48.0
- 10/29/2024Wisconsin · Senate · 2024Tammy Baldwin 51.0 · Eric Hovde 48.0
- 10/21/2024North Carolina · Governor · 2024Josh Stein 55.0 · Mark Robinson 41.0
- 10/21/2024Arizona · Senate · 2024Ruben Gallego 53.0 · Kari Lake 45.0
- 10/6/2024Florida · Senate · 2024Rick Scott 50.0 · Debbie Mucarsel- Powell 48.0
- 10/6/2024Ohio · Senate · 2024Sherrod Brown 50.0 · Bernie Moreno 48.0
- 10/6/2024Texas · Senate · 2024Ted Cruz 51.0 · Colin Allred 46.0
- 9/23/2024North Carolina · Governor · 2024Josh Stein 54.0 · Mark Robinson 42.0
- 9/23/2024Arizona · Senate · 2024Ruben Gallego 54.0 · Kari Lake 44.0