NonpartisanIndependent, data-first coverage of US elections — polls, forecasts, and prediction markets, refreshed daily.Updated daily.What's new·Methodology·Send feedback
Pollster · 141 of 1769

HarrisX

GRADE BWEIGHT TIER T4NEUTRAL LEAN</> Embed
Polls scored
11
Mean error
3.5 pt
Signed bias
D+0.22
Aggregation weight
0.83
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components
57
of 100 · tier · moderate

Moderate quality. Worth checking individual signals before relying on this pollster's headline.

Aggregator weight42
Verification rate21
Sample size median70
Citation rate100
Outlier rate (inv.)not yet measured
Rater alignment86
Pollster vs editorial consensus
aligned

Across 67 graded races, HarrisX's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -1.9pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.

Mean delta
-1.9pp
Median delta
-1.0pp
Std-dev
4.6pp
N graded
67
Recent activity
Total all time
67
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0

Last poll 10/18/2024 (626d ago)· status dormant

Per-cycle debrief appearances
CycleRankPollsMAESigned bias
2018#15 / 25634.76 ptR+0.23 pp
Recent polls