Pollster · 158 of 1769
The Washington Post
Polls scored
8
Mean error
3.0 pt
Signed bias
D+1.77
Aggregation weight
2.08
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components79
of 100 · tier · strong
Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
alignedAcross 7 graded races, The Washington Post's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +0.9pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
+0.9pp
Median delta
-1.0pp
Std-dev
4.0pp
N graded
7
Recent activity
Total all time
16
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Recent polls
- 10/29/2024Pennsylvania · Senate · 2024Bob Casey Jr. 49.0 · Dave McCormick 46.0
- 10/27/2024Michigan · Senate · 2024Elissa Slotkin 48.0 · Mike Rogers 45.0
- 10/6/2024Ohio · Senate · 2024Sherrod Brown 48.0 · Bernie Moreno 47.0
- 9/28/2024North Carolina · Governor · 2024Josh Stein 54.0 · Mark Robinson 38.0
- 9/15/2024Pennsylvania · Senate · 2024Bob Casey Jr. 47.0 · Dave McCormick 46.0
- 10/25/2012Virginia · Senate · 2012Tim Kaine 51.0 · George Allen 44.0
- 10/14/2012Maryland · Senate · 2012Ben Cardin 53.0 · Daniel Bongino 22.0 · Rob Sobhani 14.0
- 9/22/2012Ohio · Senate · 2012Sherrod Brown 53.0 · Josh Mandel 41.0
- 9/15/2012Virginia · Senate · 2012Tim Kaine 51.0 · George Allen 43.0
- 5/1/2012Virginia · Senate · 2012Tim Kaine 46.0 · George Allen 46.0