Pollster · 742 of 1053

The Times-Picayune/Lucid

GRADE A− D-LEAN
↗ Wikipedia
Polls scored
12
Mean error
4.0 pt
Signed bias
D+3.97
Aggregation weight
1.01
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components
62
of 100 · tier · strong

Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.

Aggregator weight 50
Verification rate 0
Sample size median 100
Citation rate 100
Outlier rate (inv.) 100
Rater alignment 80
Pollster vs editorial consensus
d-lean

Across 11 graded races, The Times-Picayune/Lucid's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +2.7pp. That's a measurable D-lean vs the consensus.

Mean delta
+2.7pp
Median delta
+3.0pp
Std-dev
6.7pp
N graded
11
Sample races (links to detail):
us-governor-2016-ncus-senate-2016-azus-senate-2016-co
Recent activity
Total all time
12
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0

Last poll 11/1/2016 (3476d ago) · status dormant

Per-cycle debrief appearances
Cycle Rank Polls MAE Signed bias
2016 #9 / 19 7 3.97 pt D+3.97 pp
Recent polls