Pollster · 673 of 1769
The Times-Picayune/Lucid
Polls scored
12
Mean error
6.8 pt
Signed bias
D+6.79
Aggregation weight
0.67
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components57
of 100 · tier · moderate
Moderate quality. Worth checking individual signals before relying on this pollster's headline.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
d-leanAcross 11 graded races, The Times-Picayune/Lucid's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +2.7pp. That's a measurable D-lean vs the consensus.
Mean delta
+2.7pp
Median delta
+3.0pp
Std-dev
6.7pp
N graded
11
Recent activity
Total all time
12
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | #15 / 19 | 8 | 6.01 pt | D+6.01 pp |
Recent polls
- 10/31/2016Arizona · Senate · 2016John McCain 52.0 · Ann Kirkpatrick 40.0
- 10/31/2016Colorado · Senate · 2016Michael Bennet 49.0 · Darryl Glenn 41.0
- 10/31/2016Nevada · Senate · 2016Catherine Cortez Masto 47.0 · Joe Heck 41.0
- 10/20/2016Louisiana · Senate · 2016Charles Boustany 12.0 · Foster Campbell 17.0 · David Duke 4.0 · Caroline Fayard 12.0 · John Fleming 10.0 · John Kennedy 18.0 · Rob Maness 4.0
- 10/17/2016North Carolina · Governor · 2016Pat McCrory 43.0 · Roy Cooper 50.0
- 10/17/2016Florida · Senate · 2016Marco Rubio 45.0 · Patrick Murphy 44.0
- 10/17/2016Georgia · Senate · 2016Johnny Isakson 49.0 · Jim Barksdale 39.0
- 10/17/2016North Carolina · Senate · 2016Richard Burr 46.0 · Deborah Ross 44.0
- 10/9/2016Iowa · Senate · 2016Chuck Grassley 51.0 · Patty Judge 39.0
- 10/9/2016Indiana · Senate · 2016Todd Young 43.0 · Evan Bayh 46.0