Pollster · 297 of 1053

The Tarrance Group

GRADE A+ NEUTRAL LEAN
↗ Wikipedia
Polls scored
15
Mean error
1.1 pt
Signed bias
D+1.06
Aggregation weight
3.77
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components
83
of 100 · tier · elite

Top-tier across most dimensions. Elite signal among the 15 polls scored.

Aggregator weight 100
Verification rate 47
Sample size median 57
Citation rate 100
Outlier rate (inv.) 100
Rater alignment 98
Pollster vs editorial consensus
noisy

Across 5 graded races, The Tarrance Group's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +0.3pp. Noisy — high variance vs the consensus, hard to characterize.

Mean delta
+0.3pp
Median delta
+2.0pp
Std-dev
11.4pp
N graded
5
Sample races (links to detail):
us-senate-2024-nvus-governor-2022-iaus-senate-2022-co
Recent activity
Total all time
15
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0

Last poll 9/19/2024 (597d ago) · status dormant

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