Pollster · 85 of 1769
Patriot Polling
Polls scored
11
Mean error
3.9 pt
Signed bias
R+3.02
Aggregation weight
1.37
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components74
of 100 · tier · strong
Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
r-leanAcross 16 graded races, Patriot Polling's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -3.2pp. That's a measurable R-lean vs the consensus.
Mean delta
-3.2pp
Median delta
-3.5pp
Std-dev
2.1pp
N graded
16
Recent activity
Total all time
26
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
5
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | #3 / 26 | 6 | 1.27 pt | D+1.27 pp |
| 2022 | #26 / 36 | 4 | 5.39 pt | R+5.39 pp |
Recent polls
- 3/15/2026Wisconsin · Governor · 2026Francesca Hong 42.0 · Tom Tiffany 46.0
- 3/15/2026Wisconsin · Governor · 2026David Crowley 6.0 · Francesca Hong 27.0 · Mandela Barnes 18.0 · Sara Rodriguez 6.0
- 3/15/2026Wisconsin · Governor · 2026Andy Manske 8.0 · Tom Tiffany 65.0
- 1/28/2026Florida · Governor · 2026Byron Donalds 37.0 · James Fishback 23.0
- 1/23/2026FL-2 · House · 2026Keith Gross 34.0 · Evan Power 32.0
- 11/2/2024Arizona · Senate · 2024Ruben Gallego 51.0 · Kari Lake 48.0
- 11/2/2024Michigan · Senate · 2024Elissa Slotkin 50.0 · Mike Rogers 49.0
- 11/2/2024Nevada · Senate · 2024Jacky Rosen 51.0 · Sam Brown 48.0
- 11/2/2024Pennsylvania · Senate · 2024Bob Casey Jr. 50.0 · Dave McCormick 49.0
- 11/2/2024Wisconsin · Senate · 2024Tammy Baldwin 51.0 · Eric Hovde 49.0