Pollster · 85 of 1053
Patriot Polling
GRADE A R-LEAN
Polls scored
16
Mean error
2.9 pt
Signed bias
R+1.39
Aggregation weight
1.37
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components 84
of 100 · tier · elite
Top-tier across most dimensions. Elite signal among the 16 polls scored.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
r-lean Across 16 graded races, Patriot Polling's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -3.2pp. That's a measurable R-lean vs the consensus.
Mean delta
-3.2pp
Median delta
-3.5pp
Std-dev
2.1pp
N graded
16
Recent activity
Total all time
16
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
1
Last 180d
1
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | #3 / 26 | 6 | 1.27 pt | D+1.27 pp |
| 2022 | #28 / 36 | 4 | 5.39 pt | R+5.39 pp |
Recent polls
- 3/16/2026 us-governor-2026-wi Francesca Hong 42.0 · Tom Tiffany 46.0
- 11/3/2024 us-senate-2024-az Ruben Gallego 51.0 · Kari Lake 48.0
- 11/3/2024 us-senate-2024-mi Elissa Slotkin 50.0 · Mike Rogers 49.0
- 11/3/2024 us-senate-2024-nv Jacky Rosen 51.0 · Sam Brown 48.0
- 11/3/2024 us-senate-2024-pa Bob Casey Jr. 50.0 · Dave McCormick 49.0
- 11/3/2024 us-senate-2024-wi Tammy Baldwin 51.0 · Eric Hovde 49.0
- 10/26/2024 us-senate-2024-mi Elissa Slotkin 51.0 · Mike Rogers 48.0
- 10/14/2024 us-senate-2024-wi Tammy Baldwin 50.0 · Eric Hovde 49.0
- 9/29/2024 us-senate-2024-pa Bob Casey Jr. 51.0 · Dave McCormick 48.0
- 12/2/2022 us-senate-2022-ga Raphael Warnock 49.0 · Herschel Walker 47.0