| 4/13/2026 | Stetson University | 1.00 | — | 848 | ±4.1 | LV | 🟡no scored polls⚪✓ verified 5d ago+1- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| Byron Donalds 46.0 · Jerry Demings 42.0 | pollarch |
| 4/13/2026 | Stetson University | 1.00 | — | 848 | ±4.1 | LV | 🟡no scored polls⚪✓ verified 5d ago+1- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| Byron Donalds 47.0 · David Jolly 40.0 | pollarch |
| 4/9/2026 | Echelon Insights | 1.00 | —(R+1.0) | 406 | ±6.0 | LV | 🟡high variance vs editorial consensus⚪✓ verified 5d ago+1- 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 45 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| Byron Donalds 48.0 · Jerry Demings 44.0 | pollarch |
| 4/9/2026 | Echelon Insights | 1.00 | —(R+1.0) | 406 | ±6.0 | LV | 🟡high variance vs editorial consensus⚪✓ verified 5d ago+1- 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 45 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| Byron Donalds 49.0 · David Jolly 43.0 | pollarch |
| 4/6/2026 | Keystone Analytics | 1.00 | — | 795 | ±3.5 | LV | 🟡no scored polls⚪✓ verified 5d ago+1- 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| James Fishback 44.0 · David Jolly 40.0 | pollarch |
| 4/3/2026 | MDW Communications | 1.00 | — | 1834 | ±2.0 | LV | 🟠commissioned by D-aligned: Internal D-aligned🟡no scored polls+4- 🟠
commissioned by D-aligned: Internal D-aligned This poll was commissioned by a Democratic-aligned committee, party, or PAC (Internal D-aligned). Such polls historically lean toward their sponsor. - 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
uncorrelated with editorial consensus Across 55 historical paired polls, this pollster's margins don't track the editorial consensus (Pearson r < 0.5). Independence from consensus is informational — could indicate genuine methodological independence or noisy results. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
n=1,834 Sample size of 1,834 respondents implies a margin of error around ±2.3pt — tighter than the ~600-respondent typical.
| Byron Donalds 41.0 · David Jolly 41.0 | pollarch |
| 3/31/2026 | Emerson College | 1.00 | —(D+0.7) | 1165 | ±2.8 | LV | ⚪✓ verified 5d ago⚪likely-voter screen+2- ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 234 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom. - 🟢
accurate · bias D+0.7pt Across 117 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is D+0.7pt — within ±1pt.
| Byron Donalds 45.0 · Jerry Demings 36.0 | pollarch |
| 3/31/2026 | Emerson College | 1.00 | —(D+0.7) | 1165 | ±2.8 | LV | ⚪✓ verified 5d ago⚪likely-voter screen+2- ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 234 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom. - 🟢
accurate · bias D+0.7pt Across 117 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is D+0.7pt — within ±1pt.
| Byron Donalds 44.0 · David Jolly 39.0 | pollarch |
| 3/31/2026 | Emerson College | 1.00 | —(D+0.7) | 1165 | ±2.8 | LV | ⚪✓ verified 5d ago⚪likely-voter screen+2- ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 234 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom. - 🟢
accurate · bias D+0.7pt Across 117 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is D+0.7pt — within ±1pt.
| Casey DeSantis 39.0 · David Jolly 40.0 | pollarch |
| 3/31/2026 | Emerson College | 1.00 | —(D+0.7) | 1165 | ±2.8 | LV | ⚪✓ verified 5d ago⚪likely-voter screen+2- ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
tracks editorial consensus Across 234 historical paired polls, this pollster's D-margins track the rater consensus (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.) with high correlation (r ≥ 0.85) and small mean delta (|Δ| ≤ 2pt). Their results align with conventional wisdom. - 🟢
accurate · bias D+0.7pt Across 117 historical scored polls this pollster's average error vs. actual margin is D+0.7pt — within ±1pt.
| Casey DeSantis 41.0 · Jerry Demings 39.0 | pollarch |
| 3/2/2026 | University of North Florida | 0.81 | L(D+5.0) | 786 | ±4.0 | LV | 🟡69d old🟡D+8.6pt vs editors+3- 🟡
69d old Poll was fielded 69 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
D+8.6pt vs editors Across 18 historical polls where ≥2 editorial raters had rated the race (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.), this pollster's D-margin averaged 8.6pt MORE D-favorable than the rater consensus. Systematic D-lean relative to conventional wisdom. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
newspaper-sponsored: Orlando Sentinel Commissioned by Orlando Sentinel, an independent media or academic sponsor. Independent sponsorship doesn't guarantee accuracy but rules out direct campaign funding.
| Byron Donalds 43.0 · Jerry Demings 36.0 | pollarch |
| 3/2/2026 | University of North Florida | 0.81 | L(D+5.0) | 786 | ±4.0 | LV | 🟡69d old🟡D+8.6pt vs editors+3- 🟡
69d old Poll was fielded 69 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
D+8.6pt vs editors Across 18 historical polls where ≥2 editorial raters had rated the race (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.), this pollster's D-margin averaged 8.6pt MORE D-favorable than the rater consensus. Systematic D-lean relative to conventional wisdom. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
newspaper-sponsored: Orlando Sentinel Commissioned by Orlando Sentinel, an independent media or academic sponsor. Independent sponsorship doesn't guarantee accuracy but rules out direct campaign funding.
| Byron Donalds 42.0 · David Jolly 36.0 | pollarch |
| 2/16/2026 | Targoz Market Research | 0.77 | —(R+1.0) | 1129 | ±2.8 | LV | 🟡83d old🟡high variance vs editorial consensus+4- 🟡
83d old Poll was fielded 83 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 26 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls. - 🔵
university-sponsored: James Madison Institute Commissioned by James Madison Institute, an independent media or academic sponsor. Independent sponsorship doesn't guarantee accuracy but rules out direct campaign funding. - 🔵
bias R+1.0pt Across 11 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is R+1.0pt.
| Byron Donalds 41.0 · David Jolly 36.0 | pollarch |
| 10/25/2025 | University of North Florida | 0.81 | L(D+5.0) | 728 | ±4.3 | LV | 🟡197d old🟡D+8.6pt vs editors+2- 🟡
197d old Poll was fielded 197 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
D+8.6pt vs editors Across 18 historical polls where ≥2 editorial raters had rated the race (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.), this pollster's D-margin averaged 8.6pt MORE D-favorable than the rater consensus. Systematic D-lean relative to conventional wisdom. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| Byron Donalds 45.0 · Jerry Demings 33.0 | pollarch |
| 10/25/2025 | University of North Florida | 0.81 | L(D+5.0) | 728 | ±4.3 | LV | 🟡197d old🟡D+8.6pt vs editors+2- 🟡
197d old Poll was fielded 197 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
D+8.6pt vs editors Across 18 historical polls where ≥2 editorial raters had rated the race (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.), this pollster's D-margin averaged 8.6pt MORE D-favorable than the rater consensus. Systematic D-lean relative to conventional wisdom. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| Byron Donalds 45.0 · David Jolly 34.0 | pollarch |
| 10/25/2025 | University of North Florida | 0.81 | L(D+5.0) | 728 | ±4.3 | LV | 🟡197d old🟡D+8.6pt vs editors+2- 🟡
197d old Poll was fielded 197 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
D+8.6pt vs editors Across 18 historical polls where ≥2 editorial raters had rated the race (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.), this pollster's D-margin averaged 8.6pt MORE D-favorable than the rater consensus. Systematic D-lean relative to conventional wisdom. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| Casey DeSantis 47.0 · David Jolly 34.0 | pollarch |
| 10/25/2025 | University of North Florida | 0.81 | L(D+5.0) | 728 | ±4.3 | LV | 🟡197d old🟡D+8.6pt vs editors+2- 🟡
197d old Poll was fielded 197 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
D+8.6pt vs editors Across 18 historical polls where ≥2 editorial raters had rated the race (Cook / Sabato / IE / 538 / DDHQ etc.), this pollster's D-margin averaged 8.6pt MORE D-favorable than the rater consensus. Systematic D-lean relative to conventional wisdom. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| Casey DeSantis 47.0 · Jerry Demings 36.0 | pollarch |
| 9/18/2025 | Targoz Market Research | 0.77 | —(R+1.0) | 1118 | ±2.8 | RV | 🟠flagged on verification🟡234d old+3- 🟠
flagged on verification Automated verification flagged this poll: results sum to 68.0% (expected ~100; n=2 cands, floor=70). Either the scrape misread the source table or the source itself looks unusual. Cross-check the citation URL before relying on this row. - 🟡
234d old Poll was fielded 234 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 26 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize. - 🔵
bias R+1.0pt Across 11 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is R+1.0pt.
| Byron Donalds 36.0 · David Jolly 32.0 | pollarch |
| 9/18/2025 | Targoz Market Research | 0.77 | —(R+1.0) | 1123 | ±2.8 | RV | 🟠flagged on verification🟡234d old+3- 🟠
flagged on verification Automated verification flagged this poll: results sum to 67.0% (expected ~100; n=2 cands, floor=70). Either the scrape misread the source table or the source itself looks unusual. Cross-check the citation URL before relying on this row. - 🟡
234d old Poll was fielded 234 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 26 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize. - 🔵
bias R+1.0pt Across 11 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is R+1.0pt.
| Paul Renner 34.0 · David Jolly 33.0 | pollarch |
| 9/9/2025 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 1.00 | — | 631 | ±4.0 | LV | 🟠commissioned by D-aligned: Internal D-aligned🟡no scored polls+3- 🟠
commissioned by D-aligned: Internal D-aligned This poll was commissioned by a Democratic-aligned committee, party, or PAC (Internal D-aligned). Such polls historically lean toward their sponsor. - 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
243d old Poll was fielded 243 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| Byron Donalds 40.0 · David Jolly 41.0 | pollarch |
| 9/9/2025 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 1.00 | — | 631 | ±4.0 | LV | 🟠commissioned by D-aligned: Internal D-aligned🟡no scored polls+3- 🟠
commissioned by D-aligned: Internal D-aligned This poll was commissioned by a Democratic-aligned committee, party, or PAC (Internal D-aligned). Such polls historically lean toward their sponsor. - 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
243d old Poll was fielded 243 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| Paul Renner 42.0 · David Jolly 40.0 | pollarch |
| 8/27/2025 | AIF Center | 1.00 | R | 800 | ±3.5 | LV | 🟠commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned🟡no scored polls+3- 🟠
commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned This poll was commissioned by a Republican-aligned committee, party, or PAC (Internal R-aligned). Such polls historically lean toward their sponsor. - 🟡
no scored polls Pollster has no historical polls with a known outcome in our database, so accuracy and bias cannot be measured. - 🟡
256d old Poll was fielded 256 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| Byron Donalds 49.0 · David Jolly 41.0 | pollarch |
| 6/10/2025 | Victory Insights | 0.55 | L(D+4.0) | 600 | ±2.8 | LV | 🟠flagged on verification🟠commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned+3- 🟠
flagged on verification Automated verification flagged this poll: results sum to 68.0% (expected ~100; n=2 cands, floor=70). Either the scrape misread the source table or the source itself looks unusual. Cross-check the citation URL before relying on this row. - 🟠
commissioned by R-aligned: Internal R-aligned This poll was commissioned by a Republican-aligned committee, party, or PAC (Internal R-aligned). Such polls historically lean toward their sponsor. - 🟡
334d old Poll was fielded 334 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 7 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
likely-voter screen Likely-voter screen — pollster filters respondents by reported turnout intent. Generally tighter for predicting elections than registered- or adult-population polls.
| Byron Donalds 37.0 · David Jolly 31.0 | pollarch |
| 5/7/2025 | Targoz Market Research | 0.77 | —(R+1.0) | 1200 | ±2.8 | RV | 🟡368d old🟡high variance vs editorial consensus+3- 🟡
368d old Poll was fielded 368 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 26 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize. - 🔵
bias R+1.0pt Across 11 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is R+1.0pt.
| Byron Donalds 38.0 · Daniella Levine Cava 34.0 · Jason Pizzo 5.0 | pollarch |
| 5/7/2025 | Targoz Market Research | 0.77 | —(R+1.0) | 1200 | ±2.8 | RV | 🟡368d old🟡high variance vs editorial consensus+3- 🟡
368d old Poll was fielded 368 days ago. Older polls reflect an earlier state of the race and are weighted down in the rolling average. - 🟡
high variance vs editorial consensus Stdev of (poll − rater consensus) across 26 historical paired polls exceeds 8pt — this pollster's results swing widely relative to where the editors place the same races. - ⚪
✓ verified 5d ago auto-checked on 5/4/2026. Deterministic checks confirmed bounds + structure (percentages in [0,100], totals plausibly close to 100%, dates ordered). Source page itself was not re-fetched. - ⚪
registered voters Registered-voter sample — broader than likely-voter screens; typical for early-cycle polling before turnout signals stabilize. - 🔵
bias R+1.0pt Across 11 historical scored polls the average error vs. actual margin is R+1.0pt.
| Casey DeSantis 39.0 · Daniella Levine Cava 35.0 · Jason Pizzo 8.0 | pollarch |
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