Pollster · 276 of 1053
OnMessage, Inc. *
GRADE A+ NEUTRAL LEAN
Polls scored
17
Mean error
1.2 pt
Signed bias
R+0.21
Aggregation weight
3.36
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components 88
of 100 · tier · elite
Top-tier across most dimensions. Elite signal among the 17 polls scored.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
r-lean Across 10 graded races, OnMessage, Inc. *'s released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -4.1pp. That's a measurable R-lean vs the consensus.
Mean delta
-4.1pp
Median delta
-4.0pp
Std-dev
3.6pp
N graded
10
Recent activity
Total all time
17
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | #2 / 26 | 5 | 1.19 pt | R+0.21 pp |
Recent polls
- 10/31/2024 us-senate-2024-mi Elissa Slotkin 47.0 · Mike Rogers 46.0
- 10/31/2024 us-senate-2024-wi Tammy Baldwin 48.0 · Eric Hovde 47.0
- 10/22/2024 us-senate-2024-nv Jacky Rosen 48.0 · Sam Brown 48.0
- 10/22/2024 us-senate-2024-oh Sherrod Brown 47.0 · Bernie Moreno 49.0
- 10/22/2024 us-senate-2024-wi Tammy Baldwin 48.0 · Eric Hovde 49.0
- 2/21/2023 us-senate-2024-mt Jon Tester 41.0 · Matt Rosendale 46.0
- 10/10/2022 us-senate-2022-az Mark Kelly 46.0 · Blake Masters 43.0 · Marc Victor 4.0
- 9/27/2022 us-senate-2022-co Michael Bennet 46.0 · Joe O'Dea 45.0
- 9/27/2022 us-senate-2022-wa Patty Murray 46.0 · Tiffany Smiley 42.0
- 9/13/2022 us-senate-2022-wi Ron Johnson 49.0 · Mandela Barnes 45.0