Pollster · 288 of 1769
Mason-Dixon
Polls scored
49
Mean error
5.6 pt
Signed bias
D+0.20
Aggregation weight
0.73
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components52
of 100 · tier · moderate
Moderate quality. Worth checking individual signals before relying on this pollster's headline.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
noisyAcross 18 graded races, Mason-Dixon's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -2.9pp. Noisy — high variance vs the consensus, hard to characterize.
Mean delta
-2.9pp
Median delta
-2.8pp
Std-dev
8.1pp
N graded
18
Recent activity
Total all time
171
Last 30d
3
Last 90d
5
Last 180d
7
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | #12 / 12 | 7 | 8.22 pt | R+8.22 pp |
| 2010 | #14 / 21 | 6 | 5.41 pt | D+2.55 pp |
| 2004 | #5 / 10 | 8 | 3.60 pt | D+0.57 pp |
Recent polls
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- 1/14/2026Florida · Governor · 2026Jolly 23.0 · Demings 19.0
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- 2/9/2022Florida · Governor · 2022Ron DeSantis 51.0 · Charlie Crist 43.0
- 2/9/2022Florida · Governor · 2022Ron DeSantis 53.0 · Nikki Fried 42.0