Pollster · 224 of 1053

UMass Lowell/YouGov

GRADE B+ D-LEAN
↗ Wikipedia
Polls scored
11
Mean error
4.3 pt
Signed bias
D+3.40
Aggregation weight
0.93
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components
77
of 100 · tier · strong

Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.

Aggregator weight 47
Verification rate 100
Sample size median 76
Citation rate 100
Outlier rate (inv.) 100
Rater alignment 79
Pollster vs editorial consensus
d-lean

Across 11 graded races, UMass Lowell/YouGov's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +2.8pp. That's a measurable D-lean vs the consensus.

Mean delta
+2.8pp
Median delta
+4.0pp
Std-dev
4.1pp
N graded
11
Sample races (links to detail):
us-governor-2024-ncus-governor-2024-nhus-governor-2024-nh
Recent activity
Total all time
11
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0

Last poll 10/24/2024 (562d ago) · status dormant

Per-cycle debrief appearances
Cycle Rank Polls MAE Signed bias
2024 #25 / 26 3 7.41 pt D+7.41 pp
2022 #4 / 36 3 1.17 pt R+0.60 pp
Recent polls