Pollster · 155 of 1769
UMass Lowell/YouGov
Polls scored
6
Mean error
4.3 pt
Signed bias
D+3.40
Aggregation weight
0.93
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components74
of 100 · tier · strong
Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
d-leanAcross 12 graded races, UMass Lowell/YouGov's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +3.0pp. That's a measurable D-lean vs the consensus.
Mean delta
+3.0pp
Median delta
+4.0pp
Std-dev
4.0pp
N graded
12
Recent activity
Total all time
12
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
1
Last 180d
1
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | #25 / 26 | 3 | 7.41 pt | D+7.41 pp |
| 2022 | #2 / 36 | 3 | 1.17 pt | R+0.60 pp |
Recent polls
- 5/25/2026Maine · Senate · 2026Susan Collins 43.0 · Graham Platner 48.0
- 10/23/2024Michigan · Senate · 2024Elissa Slotkin 48.0 · Mike Rogers 39.0
- 10/22/2024North Carolina · Governor · 2024Josh Stein 48.0 · Mark Robinson 36.0
- 10/22/2024New Hampshire · Governor · 2024Kelly Ayotte 45.0 · Joyce Craig 43.0
- 10/22/2024Pennsylvania · Senate · 2024Bob Casey Jr. 48.0 · Dave McCormick 42.0
- 10/9/2024New Hampshire · Governor · 2024Kelly Ayotte 42.0 · Joyce Craig 41.0
- 10/8/2024Pennsylvania · Senate · 2024Bob Casey Jr. 48.0 · Dave McCormick 39.0
- 9/18/2024Pennsylvania · Senate · 2024Bob Casey Jr. 47.0 · Dave McCormick 38.0
- 11/27/2022Georgia · Senate · 2022Raphael Warnock 51.0 · Herschel Walker 46.0
- 10/24/2022Massachusetts · Governor · 2022Geoff Diehl 32.0 · Maura Healey 59.0