Pollster · 262 of 1053
St. Pete Polls
GRADE A+ D-LEAN
Polls scored
25
Mean error
2.8 pt
Signed bias
D+2.18
Aggregation weight
1.44
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components 76
of 100 · tier · strong
Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
aligned Across 13 graded races, St. Pete Polls's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +0.0pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
+0.0pp
Median delta
-0.5pp
Std-dev
3.3pp
N graded
13
Recent activity
Total all time
25
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | #1 / 25 | 9 | 2.28 pt | D+1.47 pp |
Recent polls
- 10/25/2024 us-senate-2024-fl Rick Scott 49.0 · Debbie Mucarsel- Powell 46.0
- 11/19/2021 us-governor-2022-fl Ron DeSantis 51.0 · Charlie Crist 45.0
- 11/19/2021 us-governor-2022-fl Ron DeSantis 51.0 · Nikki Fried 42.0
- 11/19/2021 us-senate-2022-fl Marco Rubio 51.0 · Val Demings 44.0
- 8/17/2021 us-senate-2022-fl Marco Rubio 48.0 · Val Demings 46.0
- 8/3/2021 us-governor-2022-fl Ron DeSantis 44.0 · Charlie Crist 45.0
- 8/3/2021 us-governor-2022-fl Ron DeSantis 45.0 · Nikki Fried 42.0
- 3/24/2021 us-governor-2022-fl Ron DeSantis 45.0 · Nikki Fried 45.0
- 11/4/2018 us-governor-2018-fl Ron DeSantis 45.0 · Andrew Gillum 50.0
- 11/4/2018 us-senate-2018-fl Bill Nelson 50.0 · Rick Scott 46.0