Pollster · 132 of 1769
Rasmussen Reports
Polls scored
158
Mean error
6.2 pt
Signed bias
R+0.29
Aggregation weight
0.70
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components50
of 100 · tier · moderate
Moderate quality. Worth checking individual signals before relying on this pollster's headline.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
alignedAcross 74 graded races, Rasmussen Reports's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -0.9pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
-0.9pp
Median delta
-1.0pp
Std-dev
3.7pp
N graded
74
Recent activity
Total all time
1110
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
2
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | #17 / 26 | 3 | 4.48 pt | D+4.48 pp |
| 2022 | #28 / 36 | 4 | 5.77 pt | R+5.77 pp |
| 2014 | #16 / 21 | 14 | 5.02 pt | D+2.71 pp |
| 2012 | #9 / 12 | 29 | 6.09 pt | R+5.04 pp |
| 2010 | #16 / 21 | 55 | 6.23 pt | R+2.24 pp |
| 2008 | #2 / 5 | 12 | 3.91 pt | ±0 |
| 2004 | #6 / 10 | 4 | 3.85 pt | R+0.58 pp |
Recent polls
- 2/11/2026Georgia · Governor · 2026Chris Carr 10.0 · Rick Jackson 22.0 · Burt Jones 16.0 · Brad Raffensperger 18.0
- 2/11/2026Georgia · Senate · 2026Buddy Carter 19.0 · Mike Collins 34.0 · Derek Dooley 11.0
- 10/29/2024Nevada · Senate · 2024Jacky Rosen 50.0 · Sam Brown 41.0
- 10/28/2024Arizona · Senate · 2024Ruben Gallego 48.0 · Kari Lake 44.0
- 10/24/2024Texas · Senate · 2024Ted Cruz 47.0 · Colin Allred 43.0
- 10/13/2024Nevada · Senate · 2024Jacky Rosen 47.0 · Sam Brown 44.0
- 9/21/2024Arizona · Senate · 2024Ruben Gallego 47.0 · Kari Lake 45.0
- 9/21/2024Nevada · Senate · 2024Jacky Rosen 50.0 · Sam Brown 40.0
- 8/19/2024Montana · Senate · 2024Jon Tester 43.0 · Tim Sheehy 50.0
- 8/17/2024Nevada · Senate · 2024Jacky Rosen 50.0 · Sam Brown 39.0