Pollster · 80 of 1769
Quinnipiac University
Polls scored
50
Mean error
5.2 pt
Signed bias
D+2.45
Aggregation weight
0.95
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components58
of 100 · tier · moderate
Moderate quality. Worth checking individual signals before relying on this pollster's headline.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
alignedAcross 81 graded races, Quinnipiac University's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +1.1pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
+1.1pp
Median delta
+1.0pp
Std-dev
5.8pp
N graded
81
Recent activity
Total all time
521
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
1
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | #10 / 26 | 3 | 3.68 pt | D+3.68 pp |
| 2018 | #11 / 25 | 12 | 4.24 pt | D+0.95 pp |
| 2016 | #5 / 19 | 11 | 3.44 pt | D+3.40 pp |
| 2014 | #11 / 21 | 12 | 4.12 pt | D+0.61 pp |
| 2010 | #12 / 21 | 6 | 5.11 pt | R+4.19 pp |
| 2004 | #8 / 10 | 6 | 5.67 pt | R+5.30 pp |
Recent polls
- 2/22/2026Pennsylvania · Governor · 2026Josh Shapiro 55.0 · Stacy Garrity 37.0
- 9/28/2025Pennsylvania · Governor · 2026Josh Shapiro 55.0 · Stacy Garrity 39.0
- 9/28/2025Pennsylvania · Governor · 2026Josh Shapiro 56.0 · Doug Mastriano 39.0
- 10/27/2024Pennsylvania · Senate · 2024Bob Casey Jr. 50.0 · Dave McCormick 47.0
- 10/20/2024Michigan · Senate · 2024Elissa Slotkin 52.0 · Mike Rogers 44.0
- 10/20/2024Wisconsin · Senate · 2024Tammy Baldwin 49.0 · Eric Hovde 48.0
- 10/13/2024North Carolina · Governor · 2024Josh Stein 54.0 · Mark Robinson 42.0
- 10/6/2024Michigan · Senate · 2024Elissa Slotkin 48.0 · Mike Rogers 48.0
- 10/6/2024Pennsylvania · Senate · 2024Bob Casey Jr. 51.0 · Dave McCormick 43.0
- 10/6/2024Wisconsin · Senate · 2024Tammy Baldwin 50.0 · Eric Hovde 46.0