Pollster · 80 of 1053
Quinnipiac University
GRADE A− NEUTRAL LEAN ★ AAPOR TI MEMBER
Polls scored
290
Mean error
3.9 pt
Signed bias
D+1.92
Aggregation weight
1.00
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components 68
of 100 · tier · strong
Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
aligned Across 81 graded races, Quinnipiac University's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +1.1pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
+1.1pp
Median delta
+1.0pp
Std-dev
5.8pp
N graded
81
Recent activity
Total all time
290
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
1
Last 180d
1
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | #10 / 26 | 3 | 3.68 pt | D+3.68 pp |
| 2018 | #11 / 25 | 12 | 4.24 pt | D+0.95 pp |
| 2016 | #5 / 19 | 11 | 3.44 pt | D+3.40 pp |
| 2014 | #11 / 21 | 12 | 4.12 pt | D+0.61 pp |
Recent polls
- 2/23/2026 us-governor-2026-pa Josh Shapiro 55.0 · Stacy Garrity 37.0
- 9/29/2025 us-governor-2026-pa Josh Shapiro 55.0 · Stacy Garrity 39.0
- 9/29/2025 us-governor-2026-pa Josh Shapiro 56.0 · Doug Mastriano 39.0
- 10/28/2024 us-senate-2024-pa Bob Casey Jr. 50.0 · Dave McCormick 47.0
- 10/21/2024 us-senate-2024-mi Elissa Slotkin 52.0 · Mike Rogers 44.0
- 10/21/2024 us-senate-2024-wi Tammy Baldwin 49.0 · Eric Hovde 48.0
- 10/14/2024 us-governor-2024-nc Josh Stein 54.0 · Mark Robinson 42.0
- 10/7/2024 us-senate-2024-mi Elissa Slotkin 48.0 · Mike Rogers 48.0
- 10/7/2024 us-senate-2024-pa Bob Casey Jr. 51.0 · Dave McCormick 43.0
- 10/7/2024 us-senate-2024-wi Tammy Baldwin 50.0 · Eric Hovde 46.0