Pollster · 941 of 1053
Pharos Research
GRADE B+ NEUTRAL LEAN
Polls scored
13
Mean error
4.1 pt
Signed bias
D+0.58
Aggregation weight
0.97
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components 59
of 100 · tier · moderate
Moderate quality. Worth checking individual signals before relying on this pollster's headline.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
aligned Across 10 graded races, Pharos Research's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +1.5pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
+1.5pp
Median delta
+2.5pp
Std-dev
3.9pp
N graded
10
Recent activity
Total all time
13
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | #7 / 12 | 10 | 4.11 pt | D+0.58 pp |
Recent polls
- 11/5/2012 us-senate-2012-nd Rick Berg 49.0
- 10/28/2012 us-governor-2012-nd Jack Dalrymple 63.0 · Ryan Taylor 34.0
- 10/28/2012 us-senate-2012-mt Jon Tester 48.0 · Denny Rehberg 47.0
- 10/28/2012 us-senate-2012-nd Rick Berg 48.0
- 10/28/2012 us-senate-2012-oh Sherrod Brown 53.0 · Josh Mandel 43.0
- 10/21/2012 us-governor-2012-nd Jack Dalrymple 63.0 · Ryan Taylor 32.0
- 10/21/2012 us-senate-2012-fl Bill Nelson 52.0 · Connie Mack IV 44.0
- 10/21/2012 us-senate-2012-in Richard Mourdock 46.0 · Joe Donnelly 46.0
- 10/21/2012 us-senate-2012-mt Jon Tester 48.0 · Denny Rehberg 46.0
- 10/21/2012 us-senate-2012-nd Rick Berg 48.0