Pollster · 872 of 1769
Pharos Research
Polls scored
7
Mean error
4.6 pt
Signed bias
D+0.68
Aggregation weight
0.97
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components55
of 100 · tier · moderate
Moderate quality. Worth checking individual signals before relying on this pollster's headline.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
alignedAcross 10 graded races, Pharos Research's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +1.5pp. That's well-aligned with the consensus — useful as a sanity check, less useful as a contrarian signal.
Mean delta
+1.5pp
Median delta
+2.5pp
Std-dev
3.9pp
N graded
10
Recent activity
Total all time
13
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | #7 / 12 | 10 | 4.11 pt | D+0.58 pp |
Recent polls
- 11/4/2012North Dakota · Senate · 2012Rick Berg 49.0
- 10/27/2012North Dakota · Governor · 2012Jack Dalrymple 63.0 · Ryan Taylor 34.0
- 10/27/2012Montana · Senate · 2012Jon Tester 48.0 · Denny Rehberg 47.0
- 10/27/2012North Dakota · Senate · 2012Rick Berg 48.0
- 10/27/2012Ohio · Senate · 2012Sherrod Brown 53.0 · Josh Mandel 43.0
- 10/20/2012North Dakota · Governor · 2012Jack Dalrymple 63.0 · Ryan Taylor 32.0
- 10/20/2012Florida · Senate · 2012Bill Nelson 52.0 · Connie Mack IV 44.0
- 10/20/2012Indiana · Senate · 2012Richard Mourdock 46.0 · Joe Donnelly 46.0
- 10/20/2012Montana · Senate · 2012Jon Tester 48.0 · Denny Rehberg 46.0
- 10/20/2012North Dakota · Senate · 2012Rick Berg 48.0