Pollster · 256 of 1769
Big Data Poll
Polls scored
8
Mean error
4.5 pt
Signed bias
R+4.49
Aggregation weight
0.59
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components68
of 100 · tier · strong
Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
r-leanAcross 10 graded races, Big Data Poll's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -2.3pp. That's a measurable R-lean vs the consensus.
Mean delta
-2.3pp
Median delta
-2.0pp
Std-dev
2.9pp
N graded
10
Recent activity
Total all time
18
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
5
Last 180d
6
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | #32 / 36 | 4 | 6.80 pt | R+6.80 pp |
Recent polls
- 5/19/2026Minnesota · Governor · 2026Lisa Demuth 19.0 · Mike Lindell 21.0 · Kendall Qualls 9.0
- 5/17/2026KY-4 · House · 2026Ed Gallrein 50.0 · Thomas Massie 50.0
- 5/16/2026KY-4 · House · 2026Ed Gallrein 50.0 · Thomas Massie 50.0
- 5/15/2026KY-4 · House · 2026Ed Gallrein 49.0 · Thomas Massie 51.0
- 5/13/2026KY-4 · House · 2026Ed Gallrein 49.0 · Thomas Massie 51.0
- 4/6/2026KY-4 · House · 2026Ed Gallrein 48.0 · Thomas Massie 52.0
- 9/28/2025South Carolina · Senate · 2026Paul Dans 22.0 · Lindsey Graham 46.0 · Mark Lynch 4.0
- 6/10/2025South Carolina · Senate · 2026Paul Dans 9.0 · Lindsey Graham 50.0 · Mark Lynch 11.0
- 11/1/2022Arizona · Governor · 2022Kari Lake 51.0 · Katie Hobbs 47.0
- 11/1/2022Arizona · Senate · 2022Mark Kelly 48.0 · Blake Masters 49.0