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Pollster · 256 of 1769

Big Data Poll

GRADE BWEIGHT TIER T6NEUTRAL LEAN</> Embed
Polls scored
8
Mean error
4.5 pt
Signed bias
R+4.49
Aggregation weight
0.59
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components
68
of 100 · tier · strong

Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.

Aggregator weight29
Verification rate83
Sample size median79
Citation rate100
Outlier rate (inv.)not yet measured
Rater alignment83
Pollster vs editorial consensus
r-lean

Across 10 graded races, Big Data Poll's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -2.3pp. That's a measurable R-lean vs the consensus.

Mean delta
-2.3pp
Median delta
-2.0pp
Std-dev
2.9pp
N graded
10
Recent activity
Total all time
18
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
5
Last 180d
6

Last poll 5/19/2026 (48d ago)· status active

Per-cycle debrief appearances
CycleRankPollsMAESigned bias
2022#32 / 3646.80 ptR+6.80 pp
Recent polls