Democratic primary · March 3, 2026
Texas Senate Democratic primary
James Talarico won the Democratic primary on March 3, 2026, advancing to the general election on November 3, 2026.
Caution · early warning
Editorial raters moved while polling has gone quiet
The last rating change here was 4d ago, but only 0 polls have landed in the last 60 days. When raters move and pollsters don't, the rating shift may be running ahead of the data. Watch for a late-cycle correction in either direction.
Where this race stands
VerifiedShowing the Democratic primary view. General-election ratings, forecasts, and tipping-point odds aren't meaningful for a single-party primary — switch to the general election view for those.
Primary result · Democratic primary
Official outcome · March 3, 2026 · forecast shown for reference1James TalaricoTexas state representative · Austin
2Jasmine CrockettJasmine Felicia Crockett (born March 29, 1981) is an American politician serving as the U.S. representative for Texas's 30th congressional d…
Polling average
Weighted, plus each pollster's measured bias subtracted before averaging.
All polls · 35 results
strongpositiveinfocautionflag
| Date | Pollster · trust signals | n · pop | Talarico | Crockett | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 26 | YouGov | 2,408 · LV | 53 | 40 | +13 |
| Mar 1, 26 | YouGov | 2,427 · LV | 53 | 40 | +13 |
| Feb 28, 26 | Emerson College | 850 · LV | 52 | 47 | +5 |
| Feb 26, 26 | Emerson College | 850 · LV | 52 | 47 | +5 |
| Feb 26, 26 | Univ. of Texas - Tyler | 451 · LV | 37 | 55 | +18 |
| Feb 25, 26 | Blueprint Polling | 472 · LV | 52 | 40 | +12 |
| Feb 24, 26 | Public Policy Polling | 599 · LV | 48 | 42 | +6 |
| Feb 24, 26 | University of Texas | 369 · RV | 44 | 56 | +12 |
| Feb 23, 26 | Blueprint Polling | 472 · LV | 52 | 40 | +12 |
| Feb 21, 26 | UT Tyler | 488 · LV | 37 | 55 | +18 |
Endorsements · Democratic primary · 71 total
Source · Wikipedia · 0 candidates with no endorsements yetJames Talarico · 48Jasmine Crockett · 23
DJames Talarico48 endorsers
Most notable · Barack Obama · former president of the United States (2009–2017)
Elected officials22
Federal 15State 6Local 0
Elected officials · 22
- Barack Obama · former president of the United States (2009–2017)
- Kamala Harris · former vice president of the United States (2021–2025)
- Chuck Schumer · Senate minority leader (2017–2021, 2025–present) from New York (1999–present)
- Christian Manuel · HD-22 (2023–present)
- Greg Casar · TX-35 (2023–present)
- Jake Auchincloss · MA-04 (2021–present)
- Jasmine Crockett · TX-30 (2023–present) and former candidate for this seat
- Julie Johnson · TX-32 (2025–present)
- Lizzie Fletcher · TX-07 (2019–present)
- Roland Gutierrez · SD-19 (2021–present)
- Royce West · SD-23 (1993–present) and candidate for this seat in 2020
- Sarah Eckhardt · SD-14 (2021–present)
- Toni Rose · HD-110 (2013–present)
- Adam Schiff · California (2024–present)
- Beto O'Rourke · former TX-16 (2013–2019), 2018 U.S. senate nominee and 2022 gubernatorial nominee
- Chris Coons · Delaware (2010–present)
- Colin Allred · former TX-32 (2019–2025), 2024 U.S. senate nominee and former candidate for this seat
- Julian Castro · former U.S. secretary of housing and urban development (2014–2017)
- Kirsten Gillibrand · New York (2009–present)
- Martin Heinrich · New Mexico (2013–present)
- Rodney Ellis · former SD-13 (1990–2017)
- Texas State Board of Education · oard of Education
Organizations16
Organizations · 16
- AFL-CIO · FL-CIO
- American Federation of Teachers · Texas
- College Democrats of America
- Feminist Majority PAC
- Giffords
- High School Democrats of America
- Houston LGBTQ+ Political Caucus
- Human Rights Campaign
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers · Local 278
- League of Conservation Voters
- Our Revolution
- People for the American Way
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee
- Southern Regional Council of Carpenters
- Texas A&M · College Democrats
- University of Texas at Austin · College Democrats
Newspapers6
Newspapers · 6
- Austin American-Statesman
- Daily Kos
- Dallas Morning News
- Fort Worth Star-Telegram
- Houston Chronicle
- The Austin Chronicle
Celebrity3
Celebrity · 3
- Bobby Pulido · Tejano musician and Democratic candidate for TX-15 in 2026
- Matthew DeSarno · former FBI special agent
- Olivia Julianna · political activist
Other1
Other · 1
- Jeff Flake · United States Ambassador to Turkey (2022–2024) (Republican)
DJasmine Crockett23 endorsers
Most notable · Kamala Harris · former vice president of the United States (2021–2025)
Elected officials13
Federal 9State 3Local 1
Elected officials · 13
- Kamala Harris · former vice president of the United States (2021–2025)
- Adelita Grijalva · AZ-7 (2025–present)
- Ayanna Pressley · MA-7 (2019–present)
- Barbara Gervin-Hawkins · HD-120 (2017–present)
- Bonnie Watson Coleman · NJ-12 (2015–present)
- Christian Manuel · HD-22 (2023–present)
- LaMonica McIver · NJ-10 (2024–present)
- Ro Khanna · CA-17 (2017–present)
- Angela Alsobrooks · Maryland (2025–present)
- Christian Menefee · TX-18, (2026–present)
- Colin Allred · former TX-32 (2019–2025), 2024 senate nominee
- Ras Baraka · mayor of Newark (2014–present)
- Rodney Ellis · former SD-13 (1990–2017)
Organizations5
Organizations · 5
- Congressional Black Caucus PAC
- EMILYs List
- Elect Democratic Women
- March On
- Service Employees International Union · Texas
Celebrity4
Celebrity · 4
- Cardi B · rapper
- Kelly Rowland · singer-songwriter
- Kerry Washington · actress
- Method Man · rapper
Newspapers1
Newspapers · 1
- San Antonio Express-News
Money in this primary
FEC · per-candidate committees · last filing 2026-06-29James TalaricoS6TX00479 ↗
Raised
$40.28M
Cash on hand
$9.86M
Cumulative receipts · 4 filings
Top industries
Education$70K
Education · $70K
- University of Texas · $35K
- Baylor College of Medicine · $35K
Individuals $70K · PACs $0
Internet$43K
Internet · $43K
- Google, INC. · $23K
- Google · $20K
Individuals $43K · PACs $0
Computers / electronics$19K
Computers / electronics · $19K
- Apple, INC. · $19K
Individuals $19K · PACs $0
Lawyers / law firms$17K
Lawyers / law firms · $17K
- Jackson Walker, LLP · $17K
Individuals $17K · PACs $0
Jasmine CrockettS6TX00552 ↗
Raised
$11.09M
Cash on hand
$633K
Cumulative receipts · 3 filings
Top industries
Lawyers / law firms$32K
Lawyers / law firms · $32K
- Smith Lacien LLP · $11K
- Montgomery Law · $7K
- Law Office of Reginald E. Mckamie · $7K
- Sidley · $7K
Individuals $32K · PACs $0
Colin AllredS4TX00722 ↗
Raised
$7.63M
Cash on hand
$12K
Cumulative receipts · 4 filings
Top industries
Lawyers / law firms$47K
Lawyers / law firms · $47K
- Aza Law · $20K
- Blank Rome LLP · $11K
- Blank Rome, LLP · $9K
- Mullin Hoard & Brown, LLP · $8K
Individuals $47K · PACs $0
Health professionals$9K
Health professionals · $9K
- Ut Southwestern Medical Center · $9K
Individuals $9K · PACs $0
Internet$8K
Internet · $8K
- Google, INC. · $8K
Individuals $8K · PACs $0
In the news
40 shown · last 30d · Google NewsNews volume · 30d
91 articles · building history
News volume · last 30d
Articles91
Trendbuilding history
Article counts indexed by Google News; the sparkline traces weekly volume across the window.
Net favorability
+0.12
Coverage lean (D−R) · shift +0.07 wk
Net favorability
Score+0.12
Week-over-weekshift +0.07 wk
Tone of coverage, D minus R, scored from −1 (all R-favorable) to +1 (all D-favorable). 0 is balanced.
Coverage tilt
D 15%
Neutral 81%
R 3%
19% of outlets rated · by editorial lean
Coverage tilt · by outlet lean
D-leaning outlets15%
Neutral81%
R-leaning outlets3%
19% of outlets classified by editorial lean
N
Affordability emerging as a key issue in Texas' Senate race
A
Scoop: Thune to attend Paxton fundraiser
S
Why both Ken Paxton and James Talarico should be nervous
S
Talarico targets Paxton over plea deal in Texas child sex abuse case
K
EAST TEXAS POLITICS: One year later — State senator discusses findings from Texas Hill Country flood investigation
A
Texas Senate candidate Talarico calls for major increase in minimum wage
H
Ken Paxton takes issue with James Talarico labeling him a California transplant
T
Supreme Court decision loosening campaign finance rules could be boon for Paxton in Senate race
D
From breakfast tacos to free eggs, food takes center stage in Texas Senate race
F
WATCH: Obama, Harris advisor warns ‘betrayed’ Black voters could be Texas Senate candidate's kryptonite
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Verification trail
Polls verified0 / 35deterministic
Polls flagged—none
Markets ingested4 platformsupdated 11h ago
FEC filingssyncedcommittee + IE · 2026-06-29
Endorsements267 totalWikipedia scrape
News coverage40 / 30dGoogle News
Method · bounds + percentage totals + date-order checks