CC BY-SA 4.0
DemocratRunning for TX U.S. Senate · 2026
James Talarico
Texas state representative · Austin
James Dell Talarico is an American politician and educator who has served since 2018 as a member of the Texas House of Representatives. He is the Democratic nominee in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas.
Born 1989 · Round Rock, Texas , U.S.
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
45.7%
Polling average
our aggregate
43%
Win probability
market-implied
+19
Net favorability
latest public poll
$40.3M
Raised this cycle
FEC · committee
Independence scorecard
Computed · FEC money mixWho Talarico's money comes from.
A−
88/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — small-dollar reliance is the standout.
0 watch items
Small-dollar reliance100
57% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence100
0% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding59
41% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure91
$4.1M in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Career & history
2018Member of the Texas House of Representatives
since 2018
Public favorability
29%
Favorable
10%
Unfavorable
+19
Net
15% HAVE NO OPINION OR HAVEN'T HEARD ENOUGH · YOUGOV RATINGS TRACKER · N=1,762 U.S. ADULTS
Donors & money
FEC itemized filings · cycle-to-dateWho funds the campaign.
$40.3M
Raised
$30.4M
Spent
$9.9M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
57% small (<$200)43% large indiv.0% PAC
59% in-state · 41% out-of-state (itemized)
Top contributors · bundled by employer / org
UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
$35k
BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE
$35k
GOOGLE, INC.
$23k
BGR GROUP
$21k
GOOGLE
$20k
GORMAN CONSULTING
$19k
Top industries · itemized $
Education$70k
Internet$43k
Computers / electronics$19k
Lawyers / law firms$17k
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
The contest Talarico is running in.
TX · SENATE · 2026tilt d
Talarico (D) vs Ken Paxton (R)
45.7%−0.1 Paxton45.8%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Live contract prices tied to Talarico and the seat. Prices are ¢-per-share of the YES outcome; context only, never merged into our polling averages.
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · James Talarico (D)
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Ken Paxton (R)
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Texas?
predictit · Republican Party
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Texas?
predictit · Democratic Party
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
manifold · Democratic Party
Texas Senate winner?
Kalshi · vol $19k · Ken Paxton
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Favorability
Published polls
YouGov ratings tracker · n=1,762 U.S. adults
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: ANTONIOAESPARZA · CC BY-SA 4.0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
Related coverage
nbcdfw.com · 2026-07-06
Affordability emerging as a key issue in Texas' Senate race
axios.com · 2026-07-06
Scoop: Thune to attend Paxton fundraiser
statesman.com · 2026-07-06
Why both Ken Paxton and James Talarico should be nervous
spectrumlocalnews.com · 2026-07-05
Talarico targets Paxton over plea deal in Texas child sex abuse case
Democrat · TX U.S. Senate
James Talarico
Texas state representative · Austin
James Dell Talarico is an American politician and educator who has served since 2018 as a member of the Texas House of Representatives. He is the Democratic nominee in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas.
Where Talarico standsRace →
Talarico 45.7%Ken Paxton 45.8%
Market · wins
43¢
+19 net fav
45.7%
Poll avg
43%
Win prob
+19
Net fav
$40.3M
Raised
In brief
—
No profile summary yet
Summaries are written and fact-checked against the underlying data in nightly batches. This candidate's hasn't been generated or verified yet.
Governing & voting record
—
No legislative record
Roll-call votes and sponsored bills are collected for members of Congress from congress.gov. There is no roll-call source for this office yet.
Where they stand
—
Key positions not yet compiled
Positions are drawn from the candidate's public record and statements. We haven't compiled a verified set for this candidate yet.
Career & history
2018Member of the Texas House of Representatives
since 2018
Public favorability
29%
Favorable
10%
Unfavorable
+19
Net
15% HAVE NO OPINION OR HAVEN'T HEARD ENOUGH · YOUGOV RATINGS TRACKER · N=1,762 U.S. ADULTS
Independence scorecard
Who Talarico's money comes from.
A−
88/100
Independence index
Funding mix leans independent — small-dollar reliance is the standout.
0 watch items
Small-dollar reliance100
57% of individual + PAC money from donors under $200
PAC independence100
0% of individual + PAC money from PACs
In-state funding59
41% of itemized receipts come from out of state
Outside-money exposure91
$4.1M in outside spending supports the campaign
MONEY-MIX INDEX, COMPUTED FROM FEC FILINGS ONLY: SMALL-DOLLAR SHARE, PAC RELIANCE, IN-STATE MONEY AND OUTSIDE (IE) SPENDING. IT DOES NOT SCORE VOTES OR DONOR–VOTE ALIGNMENT. HIGHER = MORE INDEPENDENT · GREEN ≥70 · AMBER 50–69 · RED <50.
How they vote
—
No party-unity or ideology scores
Party-unity and DW-NOMINATE ideology scores are only available for candidates with a congressional roll-call record.
Ratings from advocacy groups
—
No advocacy-group ratings
Interest-group scorecards have no machine-readable feed — they're curated per candidate, and none are on file yet.
Donors & money
$40.3M
Raised
$30.4M
Spent
$9.9M
Cash on hand
Source of funds · individual + PAC
57% small (<$200)43% large indiv.0% PAC
59% in-state · 41% out-of-state (itemized)
Top industries · itemized $
Education$70k
Internet$43k
Computers / electronics$19k
Lawyers / law firms$17k
OWN-COMMITTEE TOTALS FROM FEC FILINGS THROUGH 2026-03-31 · INDUSTRY GROUPS ARE ITEMIZED RECEIPTS CLASSIFIED BY EMPLOYER — A KEYWORD APPROXIMATION, NOT OPENSECRETS CODING. SOURCE: FEC ↗
Race
TX · SENATE · 2026tilt d
Talarico (D) vs Ken Paxton (R)
45.7%−0.1 Paxton45.8%
Open full race detail →
Related prediction markets
All markets →Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · James Talarico (D)
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Polymarket · Ken Paxton (R)
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Texas?
predictit · Republican Party
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Texas?
predictit · Democratic Party
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
manifold · Democratic Party
Texas Senate winner?
Kalshi · vol $19k · Ken Paxton
Sources & provenance
Biography
Public record
Wikipedia + state records
Money & donors
FEC filings
itemized + committee totals
Favorability
Published polls
YouGov ratings tracker · n=1,762 U.S. adults
Markets
Live venues
Polymarket · Kalshi
ALL FIGURES DRAWN FROM PUBLICLY AVAILABLE RECORDS · CANDIDATE PROFILES ARE NONPARTISAN AND CARRY NO ENDORSEMENT. · PHOTO: ANTONIOAESPARZA · CC BY-SA 4.0 (WIKIMEDIA COMMONS)
