Pollster · 125 of 1769
YouGov
Polls scored
33
Mean error
5.1 pt
Signed bias
D+3.31
Aggregation weight
0.87
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 5 measured components50
of 100 · tier · moderate
Moderate quality. Worth checking individual signals before relying on this pollster's headline.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
d-leanAcross 36 graded races, YouGov's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +2.2pp. That's a measurable D-lean vs the consensus.
Mean delta
+2.2pp
Median delta
+1.0pp
Std-dev
4.8pp
N graded
36
Recent activity
Total all time
554
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
8
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | #24 / 26 | 10 | 6.61 pt | D+6.61 pp |
| 2018 | #2 / 25 | 5 | 2.49 pt | D+0.53 pp |
| 2014 | #5 / 21 | 6 | 3.39 pt | D+2.94 pp |
Recent polls
- 3/1/2026Texas · Senate · 2026John Cornyn 32.0 · Wesley Hunt 17.0 · Ken Paxton 36.0
- 3/1/2026Texas · Senate · 2026Jasmine Crockett 40.0 · James Talarico 53.0
- 3/1/2026Texas · Governor · 2026Greg Abbott 72.0 · Evelyn Brooks 2.0 · Pete Chambers 11.0 · Arturo Espinosa 0.0 · Mark V. Goloby 0.0
- 3/1/2026Texas · Governor · 2026Chris Bell 4.0 · Bobby Cole 5.0 · Gina Hinojosa 55.0 · Angela Villescaz 2.0
- 3/1/2026Texas · Governor · 2026Hinojosa 55.0 · Bell 4.0 · Cole 5.0 · Villescaz 2.0 · Abrego 2.0 · Hart 0.0
- 3/1/2026Texas · Governor · 2026Abbott 72.0 · Chambers 11.0 · Brooks 2.0 · Espinosa 0.0 · Goloby 0.0
- 3/1/2026Texas · Senate · 2026Paxton 36.0 · Cornyn 32.0 · Hunt 17.0
- 3/1/2026Texas · Senate · 2026Crockett 40.0 · Talarico 53.0
- 10/30/2024Arizona · Senate · 2024Ruben Gallego 49.0 · Kari Lake 45.0
- 10/30/2024Michigan · Senate · 2024Elissa Slotkin 51.0 · Mike Rogers 42.0