Pollster · 278 of 1053
Tarrance Group
GRADE A+ NEUTRAL LEAN
Polls scored
13
Mean error
2.5 pt
Signed bias
D+0.93
Aggregation weight
1.61
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components 81
of 100 · tier · elite
Top-tier across most dimensions. Elite signal among the 13 polls scored.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
r-lean Across 5 graded races, Tarrance Group's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of -3.6pp. That's a measurable R-lean vs the consensus.
Mean delta
-3.6pp
Median delta
-3.0pp
Std-dev
1.9pp
N graded
5
Recent activity
Total all time
13
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
0
Last 180d
0
Recent polls
- 10/29/2024 us-senate-2024-mi Elissa Slotkin 48.0 · Mike Rogers 50.0
- 9/18/2024 us-senate-2024-mi Elissa Slotkin 49.0 · Mike Rogers 47.0
- 10/26/2023 us-senate-2024-nv Jacky Rosen 45.0 · Sam Brown 40.0
- 9/26/2023 us-senate-2024-wv Joe Manchin 43.0 · Jim Justice 49.0
- 2/7/2023 us-senate-2024-wv Joe Manchin 42.0 · Jim Justice 52.0
- 2/7/2023 us-senate-2024-wv Joe Manchin 55.0 · Alex Mooney 40.0
- 2/7/2023 us-senate-2024-wv Joe Manchin 52.0 · Patrick Morrisey 42.0
- 10/26/2020 us-senate-2020-mi Gary Peters 48.0 · John James 46.0
- 10/5/2020 us-senate-2020-mi Gary Peters 48.0 · John James 46.0
- 9/3/2020 us-senate-2020-mi Gary Peters 47.0 · John James 46.0