Pollster · 78 of 1053
Susquehanna Polling & Research
GRADE A− NEUTRAL LEAN
Polls scored
22
Mean error
3.6 pt
Signed bias
D+0.09
Aggregation weight
1.12
Composite quality score
0–100 · weighted of 6 components 76
of 100 · tier · strong
Strong on the components we measure; one or two areas pull the composite below the elite threshold.
Pollster vs editorial consensus
d-lean Across 15 graded races, Susquehanna Polling & Research's released topline differed from the median editorial-rater consensus by an average of +2.3pp. That's a measurable D-lean vs the consensus.
Mean delta
+2.3pp
Median delta
+2.5pp
Std-dev
4.6pp
N graded
15
Recent activity
Total all time
22
Last 30d
0
Last 90d
1
Last 180d
1
Per-cycle debrief appearances
| Cycle | Rank | Polls | MAE | Signed bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | #9 / 36 | 3 | 2.70 pt | R+2.48 pp |
Recent polls
- 3/29/2026 us-governor-2026-pa Josh Shapiro 58.0 · Stacy Garrity 36.0
- 9/28/2025 us-governor-2026-pa Josh Shapiro 54.0 · Stacy Garrity 36.0
- 9/28/2025 us-governor-2026-pa Josh Shapiro 55.0 · Doug Mastriano 37.0
- 10/31/2024 us-senate-2024-nv Jacky Rosen 46.0 · Sam Brown 47.0
- 10/22/2024 us-senate-2024-pa Bob Casey Jr. 49.0 · Dave McCormick 46.0
- 9/22/2024 us-senate-2024-pa Bob Casey Jr. 48.0 · Dave McCormick 40.0
- 7/28/2024 us-senate-2024-pa Bob Casey Jr. 47.0 · Dave McCormick 42.0
- 3/7/2024 us-senate-2024-pa Bob Casey Jr. 48.0 · Dave McCormick 42.0
- 1/21/2024 us-senate-2024-pa Bob Casey Jr. 46.0 · Dave McCormick 42.0
- 5/8/2023 us-senate-2024-pa Bob Casey Jr. 53.0 · Dave McCormick 41.0